Betting line favors Tigers over Volunteers
|Tennessee Volunteers||Missouri Tigers|
Two teams trying to recover from demoralizing losses collide Saturday, when the Missouri Tigers host the Tennessee Volunteers.
Missouri opened as 13-point favorite, but the line had shrunk to 11.5 entering the week, a surprising swing considering Tennessee has lost 11 straight road games since the 2010 season.
The Tigers are looking to bounce back from a devastating loss to South Carolina. Missouri led 17-0 in the second half, only to see South Carolina rally for a 27-24 win in overtime. It was the Tigers’ first loss of the season and sucked the life out of the national-title hopes.
Tennessee, which upset South Carolina two weeks ago, was humbled in a 45-10 loss to No. 1 Alabama.
Missouri won last season’s meeting in Tennessee, 51-48 and they own a 7-1 ATS streak in their past eight games as double-digit favorites.
The Tigers currently sport a record of 7-1, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 7-1 ATS. The Volunteers are 4-4 and 4-4 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Tigers post a 5-3 over under record this season, while the Volunteers have gone 5-2-1 against the number.
This game matches up the No. 34 (Tigers) and the No. 88 (Volunteers) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 46-27 result in favor of the Tigers is predicted by handicapping models.
Tennessee was a 45-10 loser in their most recent outing on the road against Alabama. They failed to cover the 27.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors. Tennessee was hammered in its last outing, as Alabama ran up a 45-10 score against them at Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Tigers suffered a Week 9 loss against South Carolina in their last game, falling 27-24 at Memorial Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Missouri's No. 12-ranked offense (41.75 PPG) against a Volunteers defense that ranks No. 78 at 29.25 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 275.25 yards per game, more than the Volunteers give up through the air (235.75 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Volunteers own the league's No. 99-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 211.67 yards per game when on the road. Missouri, on the other hand, rates No. 30 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Volunteers at Tigers trends to consider:
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tennessee's last 18 games
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Missouri is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Missouri's last 11 games
Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee at Auburn, Saturday, November 9th
Missouri at Kentucky, Saturday, November 9th