Longhorns battle Rebels in Week 3 odds
Mississippi Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Odds
Coming off a loss that cost their defensive coordinator his job, the Texas Longhorns move forward with a home date with the Rebels of Ole Miss Saturday night in Austin (8 pm ET).
In the early betting the 'Horns (1-1), who put up 66 points in beating the Rebs in Oxford last year, were favored by 4.5 points over No. 25 Mississippi (2-0).
Power Rankings / Prediction: The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Longhorns rated this week at No. 91 and the Rebels sitting at No. 61. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 45-41 result in favor of the Longhorns this week.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Texas's No. 36-ranked offense (38.5 PPG) against a Rebels defense that ranks No. 59 at 24 PPG. The Longhorns passing attack has averaged 334.5 yards per game, more than the Rebels give up through the air (229.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Rebels feature the league's No. 21-rated road run defense, allowing 126 yards per game. Texas, meanwhile, ranks No. 8 in rushing offense at home.
Mississippi won its last outing, a 31-13 result against Southeast Missouri State on September 7. Mississippi failed to cover in that game as a 49.5-point favorite, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, Mississippi got a 111-yard performance from Barry Brunetti as a key part of its 31-13 win over Southeast Missouri State.
In their last action, Texas was a 40-21 loser on the road against BYU. They failed to cover the 7.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (61) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Last time out, Texas could not slow down WinningWR, who managed 114 receiving yards in the Cougars 40-21 victory over the Longhorns Saturday.
Mississippi Rebels Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3
Texas Longhorns Trends:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 9-1
A few Rebels at Longhorns trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games
Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 8 games on the road
Mississippi is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
Mississippi at Alabama, Saturday, September 28
Texas home to Kansas State, Saturday, September 21