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Michigan looks for continued home success against Penn State

Michigan Wolverines College Football

The Michigan Wolverines are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS in their last seven home games against the Penn State Nittany Lions. The Wolverines will be a heavy favorite to keep this stretch of home success going when they host the Nittany Lions on Saturday.

SHARK BITES
  • Michigan is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games against teams with winning records.
  • Michigan is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games after an ATS loss.
  • The total has gone OVER in Michigan's last 11 games.

Michigan's defense improved from allowing 22.4 points per game in 2014 to 17.2 points per game last year in Jim Harbaugh's first season as head coach. In his second season, Harbaugh has bolstered the offense, which is averaging 53 points per game in 2016. The Wolverines scored just 31.4 points per game last year and never eclipsed 50 points; this year's team has already done so twice.

Penn State is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five games against teams with winning records. To make matters worse for the Nittany Lions, the team is just 3-7 SU and 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road.

The last time these teams met in Michigan, the Wolverines won 18-13. Michigan is 2-0 SU and ATS in its last two games against Penn State after going 0-4 SU and ATS in the previous four games in this head-to-head series.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Penn State Nittany Lions opened as 15.5-point underdogs in this one at BetOnline and most sportsbooks tracked here at Odds Shark. No total had been posted as of writing time check the live lines pages in the coming days to see where the number opened.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 34-21 result in favor of the Wolverines. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan Wolverines Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Michigan battles the Penn State Nittany Lions, currently with a 2-1 mark (1-2 ATS). The over under records, important for totals betting, are 3-0 for the Wolverines and 3-0 for the Penn State Nittany Lions. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Michigan vs Penn State injuries news.

The Michigan Wolverines sit at No. 8 in the current College Football Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the Penn State Nittany Lions are at No. 69 on that chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Michigan Wolverines No. 4-ranked offense (53 PPG) against a Penn State Nittany Lions defense that ranks No. 78 at 27.33 PPG. The Michigan Wolverines passing attack has averaged 254.33 yards per game, more than the Penn State Nittany Lions give up through the air (168.67 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Penn State Nittany Lions own the league's No. 104-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 341 yards per game when on the road. Michigan, on the other hand, rates No. 68 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Chris Godwin was good for 117 receiving yards in the Nittany Lions's most recent action, helping his team to a 34-27 victory over the Owls.

In their last game, the Wolverines were Week 3 winners, coming out on top of the Buffaloes by a score of 45-28.

Betting Trends
  • Penn State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Penn State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Penn State's last 7 games
  • Penn State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Michigan is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games
  • Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Penn State home to Minnesota, Saturday, October 1st
Michigan home to Wisconsin, Saturday, October 1st

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