San Diego State favored by -3.5 against Air Force on Thursday
|San Diego State Aztecs||Air Force Falcons|
San Diego State takes an 8-3 ATS run in 11 games vs Air Force on the road Thursday, hoping to boost its 2-3 mark in Week 7 action with a victory over the Falcons.
The Aztecs have won and covered four in a row over Air Force. The matchup is one of three Thursday night battles on the NCAA football betting menu.
The Falcons were listed as 3.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as Bovada on the college football lines.
This game matches up the No. 117 (Falcons) and the No. 65 (Aztecs) teams in the league, according to our current NCAAF Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 21-16 result in favor of the Aztecs is predicted by handicapping models.
In their last action, San Diego State was a 51-44 winner at home against Nevada. They covered the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (95) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Falcons suffered a Week 6 loss against Navy in their last game, falling 28-10 at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Air Force's No. 90-ranked offense (25.5 PPG) against a Aztecs defense that ranks No. 105 at 35.2 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 94.33 yards per game, less than the Aztecs give up through the air (305 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Aztecs own the league's No. 103-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 237.33 yards per game when on the road. Air Force, on the other hand, rates No. 12 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Aztecs at Falcons trends to consider:
San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 9 games on the road
San Diego State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Air Force
Air Force is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Air Force is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Air Force is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Air Force is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State at Fresno State, Saturday, October 26th
Air Force at Notre Dame, Saturday, October 26th