Dolphins vs. Bills Week 16 Betting

Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck and RG III get all the ink, but another quarterback from the draft class of 2012 has his team on a drive toward the playoffs.

With three straight wins Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins are hanging tough with the Baltimore Ravens in the battle for the second AFC wild-card spot.

Miami will try to make it four wins in a row when it heads up to Buffalo to take on the rival Bills Sunday afternoon.

The Dolphins are 8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS this season, tied with Baltimore for that last playoff slot. But the 'Fins have to make up a game on the Ravens, who beat them back in October.

Buffalo, meanwhile, is 5-9 SU, 7-7 ATS after beating Jacksonville last week 27-20. In the early betting Miami was favored by a field goal over the Bills at Bovada.

The Bills sport a record of 5-9 and 7-7 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Dolphins sit at 8-6 and 9-5 ATS on the season. The over under records are 9-5 for the Bills and 7-7 for the Dolphins.

View Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Odds and Stats.

The Bills were listed as 3-point underdogs at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 42.5 over at

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Bills rated this week at No. 22 and the Dolphins sitting at No. 13. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 22-17 result in favor of the Dolphins this week.


Miami won its last outing, a 24-20 result against the Patriots on December 15. The Dolphins covered in that game as a 2.5-point favorite, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Last time out, Buffalo got 2 scoring strikes from EJ Manuel in a 27-20 win over Jacksonville.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Buffalo's No. 24-ranked offense (21.43 PPG) against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 9 at 21.14 PPG. The Bills passing attack has averaged 192.29 yards per game, less than the Dolphins give up through the air (238.93 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Dolphins feature the league's No. 9-rated road run defense, allowing 103.29 yards per game. Buffalo, meanwhile, ranks No. 1 in rushing offense at home.

A few Dolphins at Bills trends to consider:
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Miami home to New York, Sunday, December 29th
Buffalo at New England, Sunday, December 29th