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NFL Matchup - Jaguars Bills Odds Preview

Buffalo Bills Jacksonville Jaguars
4-9 December 15, 2013, 01:00 | EverBank Field 4-9

Even though they lost last Sunday in Tampa the Buffalo Bills might the luckiest residents of their home town. After coming home for a few days the Bills head right back to Florida this week for a game in Jacksonville Sunday against the Jaguars.

Buffalo just clinched its ninth consecutive losing season with a 27-6 loss to the Bucs in which rookie EJ Manuel threw four interceptions.

Jacksonville, meanwhile, after an 0-8 start, has won four of its last five games, and is in danger of playing itself out of the running for a top-three draft pick.

In the early betting the Bills, who beat the Jags last year 34-18, were favored by two points for Sunday's contest at SportBet.

The Bills are 7-3 ATS past 10 games vs Jaguars and 5-1 ATS as road favorites since 2007. Meanwhile, the Jaguars covered four straight games as underdogs.

They will face the 4-9 Bills, who own a 6-7 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Jaguars are 8-5 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Bills are 8-5 favoring the OVER.

View Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds and Stats.

Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Jaguars as 4.5-point underdogs in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 43.

The Jaguars sit at No. 31 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Bills are at No. 27 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Bills will win this game 17-9.

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Last time out for Buffalo, they were a 27-6 loser as they battled the Buccaneers on the road. The Bills failed to cover in the match as a 3-point underdog, while 33 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Maurice Jones-Drew tore up the turf for 103 rushing yards in the latest Jaguars game, a 27-20 win over the Texans at EverBank Field.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Jacksonville's No. 32-ranked offense, averaging 15.46 PPG, against a Bills defense that ranks No. 22 this week at 25.69 PPG. The Jaguars aerial game is averaging 208.62 yards per game, less than the Bills secondary allows through the air, 220.92 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Bills own the league's No. 26-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 128.5 yards per game when on the road. Jacksonville, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Bills at Jaguars trends to consider:
Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games
Buffalo is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

Next up:
Buffalo home to Miami, Sunday, December 22nd
Jacksonville home to Tennessee, Sunday, December 22nd