Let's break down some 2025 Super Bowl odds with the NFL regular season in full swing.

Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs remain the favorites in Super Bowl odds this season, looking to repeat as champions. The favored Chiefs are the second-most bet team to win the Super Bowl, per BetMGM, with the Lions owning the highest ticket and handle.

Here's a complete breakdown of updated 2025 Super Bowl odds and some value picks:

Who Is Favored To Win Super Bowl 59?

The Chiefs remain in the top spots for Super Bowl 59 odds, but there are some other teams moving up behind them. Maybe Joe Burrow can lead his Bengals back to contention?

Odds To Win NFL - Super Bowl LIX 2024-25
EquipoCuotas
Kansas City Chiefs+425
Baltimore Ravens+600
Detroit Lions+800
Buffalo Bills+900
San Francisco 49ers+950
Green Bay Packers+1400
Houston Texans+1400
Minnesota Vikings+1600
Philadelphia Eagles+1800
Washington Commanders+2500
Cincinnati Bengals+2800
Atlanta Falcons+3300
Chicago Bears+4000
Dallas Cowboys+4000
Pittsburgh Steelers+4000
NY Jets+5000
Seattle Seahawks+5000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+5000
LA Chargers+6600
Arizona Cardinals+8000
Indianapolis Colts+8000
Miami Dolphins+8000
Denver Broncos+10000
LA Rams+12500
New Orleans Saints+17500
Jacksonville Jaguars+20000
Cleveland Browns+50000
Las Vegas Raiders+50000
NY Giants+50000
Tennessee Titans+50000
Carolina Panthers+100000
New England Patriots+100000

Odds as of Octubre 23rd, 2024 14:32pm EDT.

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Super Bowl Odds Movement

A variety of things can cause Super Bowl odds movement, including injuries, team performance, or transactions. If you look at 2025 Super Bowl odds now, you'll see movement for teams like the Bengals and Jets:

Riser: Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals' Super Bowl odds bottomed out at +3350 after a Week 5 overtime loss to the Ravens. At that point, Cinci was 1-4 with little hope of a recovery.

But, I'm starting to believe that the Bengals can actually turn this around — and the books agree, pushing the Bengals back up to +2200. The Bengals got needed wins over the Giants and Browns, but now they've got some real challenges coming up. In the next month, the Bengals play the Eagles, Ravens, and Chargers — all losable games for a team that can't afford another mistake.

If there's one benefit for Cinci, it's that the AFC kinda sucks. Right now, the 4-3 Colts and Broncos are currently in playoff spots in the conference — two teams I'm confident the Bengals can surpass.

Faller: New York Jets

The Jets entered the season with a healthy Aaron Rodgers, a revamped offensive line, and one of the best defenses in football. They were +3000 in Super Bowl odds and I (and a lot of other pundits) thought they were a legit threat to win the title. Then the Jets started Jetsing.

New York has since fired a coach, panic-traded for Davante Adams, and still lost four-straight games. The now 2-5 Jets are basically cooked this season, wasting maybe the last year of Aaron Rodgers. Even if the Jets finish the season on a 7-3 run, they still probably would miss the playoffs. So, I won't be putting any cash on the Jets to win the Super Bowl right now.

Super Bowl 2025 Odds Best Bet: Texans (+1200)

It's not that I think the Texans are going to win the Super Bowl. I just think they're underrated at these odds. For starters, they're 5-2 on the year and seem to be running away with the AFC South, so that should have them near the top of the odds. But, I also think they have pretty impressive wins over Buffalo, Indy, and Chicago.

The Texans did just lose a close one to the Packers, but they can still prove a lot with upcoming games against the Lions and Chiefs in the next few weeks. If they can win even one of those contests, I'd expect the Texans to jump up in these Super Bowl odds. So, buy in now!

Exact Super Bowl Matchup Odds

We've got Super Bowl 59 exact matchup odds out, and the top teams are exactly where you think they'd be. If I'm looking for some value off the board, I don't hate a Texans vs 49ers Super Bowl bet at +2400.

2025 Super Bowl Exact Matchup Odds
TeamsOdds
Chiefs vs 49ers+1200
Chiefs vs Lions+2100
Bills vs 49ers+2200
Chiefs vs Eagles+2300
Texans vs 49ers+2400
Ravens vs 49ers+2400

Making A Betting Strategy For Super Bowl 59

Crafting a winning Super Bowl betting strategy begins long before the first kickoff of the regular season. Assessing offseason changes, coaching adjustments, and previous performances are crucial factors.

You're likely to get the best betting value on a team if you place a bet before the season, but there are times in the regular season and even playoffs when you can still place a smart bet. Keep an eye on the odds, as they fluctuate throughout the year due to injuries, trades, and team performance. Acting swiftly when you spot favorable odds ensures maximizing potential winnings, as odds can shift dramatically over time at NFL sportsbooks.

The general key to crafting a betting strategy for Super Bowl odds is comparing a team's likelihood of winning in your mind to where they are on the odds board. Finding a team much more likely to win than the odds indicate is the smartest bet you can make. This strategy holds true for most futures odds, including NFL award odds.

Last 10 Super Bowl Champions

Recent Super Bowl Champs and Preseason Odds
YearTeamPreseason OddsResult
2024 (58)Kansas City Chiefs+600Chiefs 25 - 49ers 22
2023 (57)Kansas City Chiefs+1000Chiefs 38 - Eagles 35
2022 (56)Los Angeles Rams+1200Rams 23 - Bengals 20
2021 (55)Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1000Buccaneers 31 - Chiefs 9
2020 (54)Kansas City Chiefs+600Chiefs 31 - 49ers 20
2019 (53)New England Patriots+600Patriots 13 - Rams 3
2018 (52)Philadelphia Eagles+4000Eagles 41 - Patriots 33
2017 (51)New England Patriots+600Patriots 34 - Falcons 28
2016 (50)Denver Broncos+900Broncos 24 - Panthers 10
2015 (49)New England Patriots+650Patriots 28 - Seahawks 24

The Kansas City Chiefs have been a powerhouse lately, winning three of the last five Super Bowls. Led by coach Andy Reid and QB Patrick Mahomes, you can expect the Chiefs at the top of these odds as long as they're around.

The biggest recent Super Bowl underdog was the 2017 Eagles, who beat Brady’s Patriots in the final. They even did so after their No. 1 QB, Carson Wentz, went down with an injury late in the season. Backup Nick Foles took over under center and earned Super Bowl MVP honors to deliver great preseason odds value to Philly’s Super Bowl 52 bettors.

NFL Teams with the Most Super Bowls

Super Bowl Wins
TeamSuper Bowl WinsSuper Bowl AppearancesLast Win
New England Patriots6112018
Pittsburgh Steelers682008
San Francisco 49ers571994
Dallas Cowboys581995
Green Bay Packers452010
New York Giants452011
Kansas City Chiefs462024
Washington Commanders351991
Denver Broncos382015
Las Vegas Raiders351983
Baltimore Ravens222012
Tampa Bay Buccaneers222020
Indianapolis Colts242006
Miami Dolphins251973
New Orleans Saints112009
New York Jets111968
Chicago Bears121985
Philadelphia Eagles142017
Los Angeles Rams132021
Seattle Seahawks132013

The Steelers and Patriots dominate the history of the Super Bowl. They’ve appeared in 19 of the 57 Super Bowls, winning six each. There is some decent NFL parity, though, with 20 teams claiming a title all-time.

NFL Teams that have never won a Super Bowl

The 12 teams that have never won a Super Bowl are:

  • Buffalo Bills (four Super Bowl appearances)
  • Minnesota Vikings (4)
  • Atlanta Falcons (2)
  • Carolina Panthers (2)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (2)
  • Arizona Cardinals (1)
  • Tennessee Titans (1)
  • Los Angeles Chargers (1)
  • Cleveland Browns (0)
  • Detroit Lions (0)
  • Jacksonville Jaguars (0)
  • Houston Texans (0)

Super Bowl Betting Trends

Trends aren't the only thing that dictates future success, but they can give insight into some teams and details both bettors and sportsbooks often overlook. Check out these Super Bowl trends below or weekly NFL betting trends for game-to-game data.

  • 8 of the last 12 Super Bowls have been won by an AFC team.
  • 13 of the last 16 Super Bowl-winning QBs have been at least 27 at the time of their victory.
  • No rookie QB has ever won the Super Bowl as a starter.
  • Cheap out at RB: The rushing leader of nine of the last 11 Super Bowl Champs has made $2.5 million or less base salary.
  • A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 15 of the last 23 years.

Super Bowl Odds FAQ

What other options are there to bet on?

Other options to bet on for Super Bowl 58 include game props, the coin toss (heads or tails), the color of the Gatorade shower, national anthem props on the Star-Spangled Banner, halftime show props, exotic props, Most Valuable Player prop odds, player props and live or in-play Super Bowl betting.

What are the odds on the Super Bowl?

Oddsmakers listed the Kansas City Chiefs as betting favorites in the opening odds to win Super Bowl 58. The Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2023, and opened the offseason as favorites to repeat as champions again in 2024.

Can I bet on Super Bowl futures?

Yes, you can bet on the Super Bowl and a potential winning team. You’re always going to have your top contenders, especially the teams that were really good the previous year like the Chiefs. Having said that, the lines are set with the consideration of offseason roster moves and coaching changes, as well as past performances on the field.

Where can I learn how to bet on the NFL Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl is one of the biggest sporting events in the world. But action on the NFL championship game can be a little overwhelming, especially if you’re new to betting on football. Our How to Bet on the Super Bowlpage will help you learn all the ins and outs to getting money down on the biggest game of the season.

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