NFL Super Bowl Odds For The 2021-22 Season: Chiefs, Bucs Tied At The Top

Week 2 of the NFL season is in the books, so it’s time to completely overreact about which teams will be great and which teams will be terrible for the rest of the season. 

But while the general public might be freaking out about their favorite team’s performance through two weeks, oddsmakers are a little more patient. There wasn’t much movement on the board after Week 1, but some teams did rise and fall after their second games. However, there wasn’t much activity at the top of the board.

It will be a couple of weeks before oddsmakers get a clearer picture of which teams have the best odds to win Super Bowl 56 in Los Angeles, which creates some value for us to take advantage of.


At Bovada, the Kansas City Chiefs are still the favorites in Super Bowl odds, but they are now tied with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +500. Those two are followed by a three-way tie with the Buffalo Bills, San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams all at +1100 to make up the rest of the top five teams.

Here’s a look at the Super Bowl odds for all 32 NFL clubs:


Kansas City Chiefs Lead 2022 Super Bowl Odds

Odds as of September 21 at Bovada

Packers’ Super Bowl Odds Improve With Return Of Rodgers

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers wasn’t happy. The reigning NFL MVP had made it pretty clear that he did not intend on committing to playing for the Packers this season, or ever again, despite being under contract until after the 2023 season. 

But on July 27, Rodgers reported to Packers training camp amid reports that his contract would be reworked to include several concessions to him, including a void of the final year of his contract that potentially sets up a trade after this season.

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That means this year is somewhat of a “last dance” situation for the future Hall of Famer and the Packers. 

Oddsmakers at Bovada immediately incorporated the news into 2022 Super Bowl odds, moving the Pack from +1800 up to +1200 before the season.

A Week 1 debacle against the Saints, one of the worst performances of Rodgers’ career, moved the Packers back down to +1400 – tied for the sixth-best odds in the league. Those odds did not move after a bounce-back performance in Week 2 vs Detroit.

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Can The Super Bowl 55 Champion Buccaneers Go Back To Back?

Tampa Bay, which entered Super Bowl 55 as a 3-point underdog, was dominant from start to finish against Kansas City. Now, the Buccaneers return all 22 starters to their roster (they are the first team in the salary cap era to do so) for another run with Tom Brady at the helm in his second season with the team.

They started off their year with a 31-29 win over the Cowboys on opening night and followed that with a dominant 48-25 victory over Atlanta. 

With the band back together and a proper offseason for Brady and company to practice, there is little reason to believe the Bucs can’t repeat. The betting markets agree, as Tampa Bay is tied the best odds at most NFL sportsbooks.

Acquisition Of Stafford Has Rams’ Super Bowl Odds Skyrocketing

Whether it’s been through big signings in free agency or trades, it’s clear the Rams believe their window to win a championship is now.

 General manager Les Snead made the biggest blockbuster trade of his tenure on January 31, as the Rams acquired veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford from the Detroit Lions. Going back to the Lions were a pair of first-round picks, a third-round pick and QB Jared Goff.

The addition of Stafford, the Lions’ all-time leader in every major quarterbacking category, makes the Rams look downright scary in the NFC.

It’s clear oddsmakers agree, evident in Los Angeles’ +1100 Super Bowl odds. LA’s odds did not move after they took care of the Bears in an easy 34-14 win in their home opener, but they lowered from +1200 to +1100 after their nail-biting victory at Indy in Week 2.

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Cleveland Browns (+1400)

The Cleveland Browns have one of the deepest rosters in the league and are poised to build on their successful 2020 season. The Browns finished third in their division despite going 11-5 and are now tied with the sixth-best odds in the league at +1400. 

The Browns’ odds actually went down after their Week 1 loss to Kansas City. Cleveland led that game into the fourth quarter and is very much capable of hanging with the leader in Super Bowl odds. So this little added value is good for bettors who like the Browns.

The schedule is tough for Cleveland as they play in one of the toughest divisions in the league. But there is an argument to be made that the roster has been upgraded significantly – even after the team won 11 games last season.

Key acquisitions on defense have that side of the ball looking like one of the league’s top units. The Browns already had one of the league’s best offensive lines, the best running back duo, a great group of tight ends and continuity at quarterback and within the coaching staff. We like their chances.

New England Patriots (+3500)

The New England Patriots are another team that made significant upgrades this offseason and seem to be overlooked a little bit in betting markets. At +3500, the Patriots are 17th in Super Bowl odds at Bovada.

It’s never a great bet to count out Pats head coach Bill Belichick. The legendary coach has proven to be one of the great team builders in professional sports and made significant changes to his roster in the post-Brady era.

The Patriots were talent-deficient on offense last season and started a quarterback (Cam Newton) who didn’t sign with the team until July and then had a coronavirus-shortened season.

The Pats have now turned to rookie quarterback Mac Jones after cutting Newton, and should be a more prolific offense after adding multiple starting pass-catchers (Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith, Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne).

The Patriots should also have one of the league’s better defenses as they return multiple players from opt-outs and added a couple of major pieces in free agency and the draft.

They lost a close game – one they should have won – to the Dolphins in Week 1 and then had a dominant defensive performance against the Jets in a 25-6 win.

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Arizona Cardinals (+2500)

There aren’t many players in the league as exciting to watch as Cardinals QB Kyler Murray. Murray put on a dazzling display in a Week 1 road blowout of the Titans (38-13), proving his offense should be one of the better units in the league this season. 

The additions of AJ Green and rookie Rondale Moore at receiver finally give Murray and head coach Kliff Kingsbury four legitimate threats on the outside to run their air raid offense with.

But we kind of knew the Cards would be good at scoring points. The bigger story was the play of the Cardinals defense. Arizona held Ryan Tannehill, Derrick Henry, AJ Brown and Julio Jones to fewer than 250 total yards and just 3.9 yards per play.

Edge rusher Chandler Jones had a whopping five sacks on the day. 

After Week 1, we told people to jump on Arizona at +3000 last week before they blew out the Vikings in Week 2. That blowout didn’t happen, but the offensive fireworks continued and they picked up a 34-33 win at home. 

Those +3000 odds are long gone now and might not be returning any time soon. 

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Washington Football Team (+8000)

The injury to Ryan Fitzpatrick was a huge blow to Washington’s Super Bowl odds as they fell from +4500 to +6600 to +8000. We liked the WFT as a long-shot bet with Fitzpatrick bringing some stability to the quarterback spot paired with a great group of skill players on offense. That, and one of the best defenses in the league.

Now, Taylor Heinicke steps in as the starter. Heinicke played well in Washington’s wild-card loss to the eventual champion Buccaneers last season, but he is a downgrade from Fitzpatrick.

The good news is that Fitz will be back at some point, and the NFC East division is still one of the worst in the league. If Washington can tread water for a few weeks, maybe we can still get that Fitzmagic late in the year. 

Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers (+3300)

The Chargers are an intriguing bet at +3300 after going 7-9 last season with the rookie of the year at quarterback. 

Justin Herbert returns for Year 2 under center with a much-improved offensive line in front of him. Bringing in tackle Bryan Bulaga and center Corey Linsley adds two stars to a previously mediocre line, while first-round pick Rashawn Slater should be an impact player from Day 1 at the left tackle spot.

In fact, the Chargers offensive line had the lowest pressure rate of any unit in the league in Week 1 while playing the vaunted Washington defensive front seven.

That improved line play bodes extremely well for the Chargers’ rest-of-season outlook. They won that Week 1 game on the road at Washington 20-16 and look like a well-balanced team with an emerging star at quarterback.

The Chargers did, however, drop their Week 2 game at home against Dallas. But that only created more value for bettors. We think they’ll figure out the offensive struggles they had in Week 2, and +3300 is still one of the best values on the board.

When it comes to betting on the NFL, odds are available before teams take their first regular-season snaps. You can even bet on a potential Super Bowl winner in August. Certain squads will always be contenders, especially if they won the previous year. When bookmakers set the lines, they look at offseason roster moves, coaching changes and past on-field performance. To bet on the odds for the Super Bowl, you’d make a futures bet.

What Is An NFL Futures Bet?

This is a bet in which you would look at the odds for the Super Bowl, weeks or sometimes months in advance of the big game, and decide which team you think will win. Let’s say you want to make a futures bet today. At your sportsbook of choice, the odds might look something like this:

If this were a moneyline bet, you’d be able to see which team is the clear favorite because it would have a minus sign beside its odds (-). For Super Bowl futures, the team with the lowest odds is favored to win the NFL championship, and the rest are underdogs.

Let’s say you feel strongly about the Saints and believe they’re going to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them and they did triumph, you’d get a payout of $650 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $550. Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

The odds change throughout the season as key players get injured, trades happen and coaches get fired. Line movements for NFL futures happen weekly, so if you see odds you like, it’s best to bet on them ASAP. The Packers may be +900 to win the Super Bowl in October but after a surge in November their odds could jump to +400 and you’ll make less money than you would if you’d bet them at +900.