Yankees

2025 World Series Odds: Mets Up To 2nd After Soto Signing

It's already time to look at the 2025 World Series odds!

After dismantling the Yankees this year, the Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win the title again next year, with the Mets and Braves rounding out the top three at Caesars Sportsbook.

I'll break down if the Dodgers can actually repeat and my best 2025 World Series value picks below:

Who Is Favored To Win The 2025 World Series?

Odds To Win MLB - World Series 2025
TeamsOdds
LA Dodgers+350
NY Mets+750
Atlanta Braves+800
NY Yankees+900
Philadelphia Phillies+1000
Houston Astros+1200
Baltimore Orioles+1600
San Diego Padres+1600
Boston Red Sox+2000
Chi Cubs+2200
Cleveland Guardians+2800
Minnesota Twins+3300
Seattle Mariners+3300
Texas Rangers+3300
Detroit Tigers+4000
Milwaukee Brewers+4000
Arizona Diamondbacks+5000
Kansas City Royals+5000
Tampa Bay Rays+5000
Cincinnati Reds+6000
San Francisco Giants+6600
Toronto Blue Jays+6600
LA Angels+8000
St. Louis Cardinals+8000
Pittsburgh Pirates+10000
Oakland Athletics+15000
Washington Nationals+15000
Miami Marlins+30000
Colorado Rockies+40000
Chi White Sox+50000

Odds as of December 14th, 2024 08:10am EST.

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Can The Dodgers Repeat as WS Champs?

I don't see a reason the Dodgers can't steamroll their way back to a World Series in 2025. Los Angeles was expected to be the best team in baseball coming into 2024 and ended up being exactly that and winning the title, but it's not like they played their best baseball all year. They worked through significant injuries to Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Mookie Betts, Tyler Glasnow, and others — and still came out on top.

L.A. made more headlines this winter by signing two-time Cy Young Blake Snell. The Dodgers will get Glasnow and Shohei Ohtani back in the rotation next year, plus guys like Dustin May and Tony Gonsolin should contribute. As long as the Dodgers can replace the offensive contribution of Teoscar Hernandez this winter, I don't expect them to take any kind of step back. If anything, I think they can be even better next year.

Mets A Popular Bet after signing Juan Soto

There was tons of betting action after news of Soto's 15-year, $765-million extension with the Mets broke on Dec. 8. Before the signing, the Mets sat at +1200 in the World Series odds. With Soto, they've moved to +700, per BetMGM. Since the Mets signed Soto, 66% of the money is on the Amazins' to win the World Series.

“Juan Soto to the Mets significantly improves their chances of winning the World Series. A move from +1200 to +700 is massive for one player, but it also indicates that Steve Cohen and the Mets look to be all in and will continue adding pieces to their team," said Hal Egeland the Trading Strategy Manager at BetMGM.

As a peripheral effect, the runner-up Yankees dropped from +800 to +900 after failing to land Soto.

World Series Odds Best Bet: Atlanta Braves (+800)

The Atlanta Braves won 89 games and made the playoffs last year, despite missing Spencer Strider, Ronald Acuna Jr., Austin Riley, and Ozzie Albies for large chunks of the season (and Chris Sale for the postseason). That's basically all of their best players.

Last year was Atlanta's floor, and they were still an amazing squad. We already know what this team's ceiling is (we've seen them win a World Series), so I'll get in on a bounce-back year for the Braves in 2025. If guys stay healthy, the Braves are as good as anyone.

World Series Odds Dark Horse: Tampa Bay Rays (+5000)

I don't care what stadium they play in, the 2025 Tampa Bay Rays are going to be a lot better than last year's version. 

I'm not sure there's a team in baseball that will get more pitching talent back next year, with Shane McClanahan, Drew Rasmussen, Jeffrey Springs, and Shane Baz all set to return as regular rotation members in 2025.

The Rays have made the playoffs in five of the last six years, out-performing their win total in five of those seasons, so this is clearly a team the books underestimate. With a healthy rotation and another year of development for young studs like Jonny DeLuca and Junior Caminero, I expect Tampa to be right back to the scrappy underrated squad they've always been. So, at +5000, they're a great World Series value bet.

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Betting Strategy for World Series Futures

Evidence suggests waiting before placing World Series futures bets, but don't go with the chalk if you are keen on a pre-season wager. In the last 10 seasons, only three pre-season favorites (the 2020 and 2024 Dodgers and 2016 Cubs) have gone on to win the championship.

A middle-of-the-pack sweet spot has formed over the last decade or so. Four clubs (the 2017 Astros, the 2018 Red Sox, the 2021 Braves, and the 2022 Astros) all began their respective seasons with World Series odds between +1000 and +1200. I'd turn to those ranges for a pre-season bet in 2025.

Last 10 World Series Champions

Last 10 World Series Champions
YearWorld Series WinnerOpening Day Odds
2024Los Angeles Dodgers+350
2023Texas Rangers+3200
2022Houston Astros+1000
2021Atlanta Braves+1000
2020Los Angeles Dodgers+385
2019Washington Nationals+1600
2018Boston Red Sox+1150
2017Houston Astros+1175
2016Chicago Cubs+660
2015Kansas City Royals+3300
2014San Francisco Giants+2500
2013Boston Red Sox+2800

The biggest long shot to win the World Series in the last decade was the 2015 Kansas City Royals. The '23 Rangers weren't far behind either, with +3200 odds to win the championship.

The Royals were coming off a season in which they dominated all the way to the World Series (not losing a single playoff game on the AL side of the bracket) and then pushed the eventual champion Giants to seven games for the title. However, they weren’t getting much respect in preseason odds the next year as KC’s +3300 Opening Day odds to win the title placed the team 17th on the board at the time.

MLB Teams with the Most World Series Titles

Teams with the Most World Series Titles
TeamNumber of World Series TitlesMost Recent World Series Title
New York Yankees272009
St. Louis Cardinals112011
Oakland/Philadelphia Athletics91989
Boston Red Sox92018
San Francisco Giants82014

The New York Yankees have won the most World Series in MLB history. However, it's been a while since the Bronx Bombers added to their total. The Yankees last won a World Series in 2009, defeating the Phillies in six games.

MLB Teams That Have Never Won a World Series

Teams That Have Never Won A World Series
TeamHighest Finish
Colorado RockiesWorld Series (2007)
Milwaukee BrewersWorld Series (1982)
San Diego PadresWorld Series (1998)
Seattle MarinersALCS (2001)
Tampa Bay RaysWorld Series (2020)

Five MLB franchises have yet to win a World Series. The Seattle Mariners are the only team that’s never even been to a World Series final despite having some of the league’s best-ever players like Ken Griffey Jr., Edgar Martinez, and Ichiro Suzuki.

World Series Betting Trends

  • Eight Wild Card teams have gone on to win the World Series (15 have made it)
  • Nine teams in MLB history have made a manager change midseason and gone on to make the World Series (including the 2022 Phillies)
  • Eight of the last 11 World Series have gone at least six games
  • There has been only one World Series sweep since 2010
  • No league (AL or NL) has won more than four World Series in a row since 1979-1982

MLB World Series Futures FAQ

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