NFL Computer Picks - Free Football Betting Predictions

Find Your Edge! Scan our Expert Picks and click pick for analysis

Packers -3.5
NFL | WAS @ GB 8:15 PM ET
-108
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Romeo Doubs O41.5 Rec Yards
NFL | WAS @ GB 8:15 PM ET
Falcons +4.5
NFL | ATL @ MIN 8:20 PM ET
-110
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Thursday, September 11
8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Washington VS Green Bay
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
WAS 20.7 +155
GB 27.8 -180
Spread Pick
+3.5 -115
-3.5 -105
Total Pick
U 48 -110
O 48 -110
Packers -3.5
-108

Look for the Packers to continue their torrid start to the season at home in primetime. The Green & Gold are an NFL-best 23-9 ATS in primetime and an outstanding 16-3 ATS in their first three games of the season under head coach Matt Lafleur. 

Plus, Micah Parsons dominated the Commanders with 4.5 sacks in two games last season, and now he faces a rebuilt Washington OL. Back the Pack at home in primetime. 

Check out my full Commanders vs Packers betting preview for more!

Sunday, September 14
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Cleveland VS Baltimore
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
CLE 15.3 +550
BAL 29.7 -800
Spread Pick
+11.5 -110
-11.5 -110
Total Pick
U 45 -110
O 45 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
NY Giants VS Dallas
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
NYG 19.0 +215
DAL 23.9 -260
Spread Pick
+6 -110
-6 -110
Total Pick
U 44.5 -110
O 44.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
San Francisco VS New Orleans
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
SF 21.0 -225
NO 24.0 +185
Spread Pick
-4.5 -110
+4.5 -110
Total Pick
U 42.5 -110
O 42.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
LA Rams VS Tennessee
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
LAR 15.4 -250
TEN 28.0 +200
Spread Pick
-5.5 -115
+5.5 -105
Total Pick
U 42 -110
O 42 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Jacksonville VS Cincinnati
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
JAC 18.7 +150
CIN 24.9 -180
Spread Pick
+3.5 -120
-3.5 +100
Total Pick
U 49.5 -110
O 49.5 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Chicago VS Detroit
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
CHI 17.5 +205
DET 28.2 -250
Spread Pick
+5.5 -110
-5.5 -110
Total Pick
U 47 -110
O 47 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
New England VS Miami
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
NE 16.0 +100
MIA 25.6 -120
Spread Pick
+1 -110
-1 -110
Total Pick
U 44 -110
O 44 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Buffalo VS NY Jets
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
BUF 21.4 -325
NYJ 25.0 +260
Spread Pick
-6.5 -110
+6.5 -110
Total Pick
U 46 -110
O 46 -110
1:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Seattle VS Pittsburgh
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
SEA 19.2 +130
PIT 23.4 -155
Spread Pick
+3 -115
-3 -105
Total Pick
U 40 -110
O 40 -110
4:05 PM ET
See Matchup
Carolina VS Arizona
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
CAR 15.5 +240
ARI 28.7 -300
Spread Pick
+6.5 -110
-6.5 -110
Total Pick
U 44.5 -110
O 44.5 -110
4:05 PM ET
See Matchup
Denver VS Indianapolis
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DEN 19.6 -125
IND 24.0 +105
Spread Pick
-2 -110
+2 -110
Total Pick
U 42.5 -110
O 42.5 -110
4:25 PM ET
See Matchup
Philadelphia VS Kansas City
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
PHI 19.8 -115
KC 24.8 -105
Spread Pick
-1 -110
+1 -110
Total Pick
U 47 -110
O 47 -110
8:20 PM ET
See Matchup
Atlanta VS Minnesota
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
ATL 17.9 +185
MIN 27.8 -225
Spread Pick
+4.5 -110
-4.5 -110
Total Pick
U 45.5 -110
O 45.5 -110
Falcons +4.5
-110

Rookie quarterbacks are just 9-19-2 in their last 30 Week 1-3 starts. That's enough for me to back Michael Penix Jr and the Falcons, who probably should have won their first game of the season after a late go-ahead touchdown drive. 

Take the more experienced QB with the points. 

Monday, September 15
7:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Tampa Bay VS Houston
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
TB 22.5 +125
HOU 22.6 -145
Spread Pick
+2.5 -105
-2.5 -115
Total Pick
U 42.5 -110
O 42.5 -110
10:00 PM ET
See Matchup
LA Chargers VS Las Vegas
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
LAC 18.0 -190
LV 25.6 +155
Spread Pick
-3.5 -105
+3.5 -115
Total Pick
U 47 -110
O 47 -110
Thursday, September 18
8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Miami VS Buffalo
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
MIA - +400
BUF - -500
Spread Pick
+10 -110
-10 -110
Total Pick
U 48.5 -110
O 48.5 -110
Computer Picks Results - Last 100 Games
Last 100 GamesTo WinATSTotal O/U
$ Units (Opening)$1282$1699-$1498
$ Units (Closing)$1033$1267-$727
Record (Opening)70 - 29 - 162 - 36 - 243 - 52 - 5
Record (Closing)70 - 29 - 158 - 40 - 247 - 50 - 3

 

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above (below the game picks) tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections (based on $100 unit size). We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call "tailing the computer." But, there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks (which can be found above the selections for some matchups), recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system (betting only on underdogs, for example) you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We've got these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Moneyline

NFL moneyline moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We've got a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or over/under betting you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (over) or less than (under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks and your handicapping of totals are more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. We've got dedicated an NFL trends page, power rankings, and an NFL database for you to gauge the talent and value of each team. We've also got updated NFL scores and NFL prop picks on our NFL hub each week.

If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

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