The public can be used as a litmus test to help you figure out which NFL teams to bet on. When it comes to betting on the NFL, any handicapping tools you can get your hands on can help you make accurate predictions.
With the public’s sports betting information, you can see what’s going on at the NFL betting sites, which teams are being heavily bet on and if people are looking to put money on the underdog or the favorite.
What is the NFL Consensus?
The NFL consensus is the number of wagers being placed at a sportsbook on one NFL team or its opponent (or the OVER, or the UNDER). Often referred to as betting percentages, these numbers give you an idea of what’s going on at the sportsbook. You can then use these NFL betting trends to shape your NFL picks.
On our NFL Consensus page you can determine if you want to bet with or against the public (more on that below). NFL consensus picks can also give you a peek into line movements.
For example, if the line opened at New Orleans -7 odds and then moved to -8, you’ll understand the reason for the movement because 74 percent of the public is betting on the Saints as the winner.
Betting With or Against the Public
The NFL consensus is a great tool to use when making your NFL picks because you can see what other football bettors are wagering on. This is the percentage of the general public betting on each side of a matchup or total. You can bet with or against the public. When you bet against the public, it is called “fading” the public.
Let’s imagine that the NFL consensus says that the majority of bettors are wagering on New England to cover the spread in its game against Buffalo. You think the Patriots don’t stand a chance because their defense could be riddled with injuries, or Bill Belichick could sew the sleeves back onto his sweatshirts. If you feel strongly that the Bills could cover the spread, you can fade the public and bet against the NFL consensus.
Check out our page about betting against the public for the NFL.
NFL Consensus FAQ
What is the NFL consensus?
The NFL consensus is the betting percentage that the betting public has chosen for an upcoming NFL game based on the point spread, moneyline, and OVER/UNDER. The NFL consensus gives football bettors a better indication of just how much action online bookmakers are taking on either side of a particular NFL wager.
Should the NFL consensus affect my football betting decisions?
The public definitely does get many bets right, but more often than not, it’s smart to fade the public. Public bettors, which include new bettors to seasoned bettors, will frequently wager on popular teams or exciting matchups, which ultimately presents value on the other side of the bet. That’s why sharps explore opportunities to go against NFL public money.
Does it make more sense to bet with or against the public?
To find the best value, see where the public is betting, and consider when to bet with them or when to go against the grain. If the public is following a specific narrative or a team on a hot streak, it might be a good time to take a look at their opponent.