The Las Vegas Aces are +150 betting favorites to win the 2024 WNBA championship.
Despite a sloppy start, losing six of their first 12 games, reputation and experience of becoming the first to hoist back-to-back trophies in two decades, helped the Aces stay at the top of the oddsboard. But, there's plenty of profit resting with contenders.
2024 wNBA Championship odds
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces | +150 |
| New York Liberty | +160 |
| Connecticut Sun | +950 |
| Minnesota Lynx | +950 |
| Seattle Storm | +950 |
| Phoenix Mercury | +2500 |
| Indiana Fever | +8000 |
| Chicago Sky | +12000 |
| Atlanta Dream | +40000 |
| Dallas Wings | +50000 |
| Los Angeles Sparks | +50000 |
| Washington Mystics | +50000 |
Odds as of July 16, 2024
2024 WNBA Champions Picks & Best Bets
Here's the analysis for the top of the oddsboard, including a value pick!
las Vegas Aces (+150)
The Las Vegas Aces (16-7 SU, 10-13 ATS) are aiming for a three-peat this season. Last year, the Aces dropped a single matchup in the postseason and were barely threatened all year, finishing with a 34-6 record. However, sitting unusually in the third spot of the Western Conference, we've seen Las Vegas look sloppy to tip off its season.
However, a turnaround is on the horizon Chelsea Gray, a five-time All-Star, has recovered from her foot injury that kept her off the court for the start of the year. In her debut back, the Aces picked up the dub over the Storm with Gray recording seven assists, four rebounds and two blocks. They have now won 10 of their 11 contests with the 31-year-old completing the lineup.
Offensively, it's a lethal lineup when you have to face A'ja Wilson (27.2 PPG), last season's finals MVP, Kelsey Plum (18.8 PPG) and Jackie Young (18.5 PPG).
But, the defense has been what's letting them down. Allowing the second-worst 36.6% from the perimeter, Las Vegas' opponents are able to keep up so long as they can sink some three-pointers.
The bench is full of MVP candidates. With Gray back, the team feels complete. If Becky Hammon can go back to having her defense complement her offense, the Aces are back to being contenders.
New York Liberty (+160)
For the first time since 2007, New York kicked off the season 4-0. The Liberty (20-4 SU, 11-13 ATS) have dropped just two meetings since the end of May and even added stealing Connecticut's undefeated record to their resume.
New York, standing tall at the top of the league, leans on Breanna Stewart and Sabrina Ionescu. Both ladies average over 33 minutes a game with Stewart, currently listed as day-to-day with a mild injury, dropping 19.3 PPG. We're all aware of what Ionescu is known for, shooting a whopping 44.8% from beyond the arc last year.
Sabrina Ionescu is the the fastest player in #WNBA history to hit 300 3-pointers (117 games) 🔥 pic.twitter.com/6fg35PhHG8
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) June 8, 2024
With four ladies in the double-digit point average, the league's second-best offense (86.1 PPG) and a top-four defense (77.6 PPG) it's hard not to believe the Liberty will be another tough contender this WNBA season.
WNBA Championship Value Pick: Minnesota Lynx (+950)
Dropping from +1600 in less than a month, I'm on track with this value pick. If you're a firm believer that defense is what wins championships, then hammer Minnesota's inflated odds. The Lynx (16-8 SU,14-10 ATS) have their zone locked down like Fort Knox.
Trying to snag some three-pointers? Good luck as Minnesota allows the lowest percentage clocking in at 28.6%. To top it all off, the Lynx allows the lowest 40.2% from the field and 18.9 assists per game. Since the start of June, eight of their 17 games were wins decided by 12 points or more.
Although she's been dealing with plantar fascia pain in her left foot that's kept her off the court for over a week, Napheesa Collier is having a career season, recording 20.6 PPG to sit fourth-best in the WNBA among some elite company. Snatch these odds while they're hot.
Last 10 WNBA Champions
| Year | Champion | Series Final | Runner-Up |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Las Vegas Aces | 3-1 | New York Liberty |
| 2022 | Las Vegas Aces | 3-1 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2021 | Chicago Sky | 3-1 | Phoenix Mercury |
| 2020 | Seattle Storm | 3-0 | Las Vegas Aces |
| 2019 | Washington Mystics | 3-2 | Connecticut Sun |
| 2018 | Seattle Storm | 3-0 | Washington Mystics |
| 2017 | Minnesota Lynx | 3-2 | Los Angeles Sparks |
| 2016 | Los Angeles Sparks | 3-2 | Minnesota Lynx |
| 2015 | Minnesota Lynx | 3-2 | Indiana Fever |
| 2014 | Phoenix Mercury | 3-0 | Chicago Sky |
Over 26 seasons, the Minnesota Lynx, Houston Comets, and Seattle Storm each have four championships to tie for the most in the league. Four other franchises have won the title multiple times: the Los Angeles Sparks (3), Phoenix Mercury (3), Dallas Wings (3) and Las Vegas Aces (2).
How To Read WNBA Championship Odds
At an online sportsbook that would list WNBA championship odds, they would look similar to this:
- Las Vegas Aces -250
- Chicago Sky +330
- Connecticut Sun +500
The minus sign (-) indicates which team is the favorite. In this case, it’s the Las Vegas Aces at -250. Every other team that’s listed is considered an underdog.
If you believe the Aces will win the WNBA championship and you bet $100 and it happens, you would win $140 – your $100 is returned and you would gain $40 in profit.
Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much you’d win based on the odds and amount wagered.
