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Odds to win the 2018 French Open

2018 French Open Odds and Pick - May 18 2018

As the tennis world shifts to Paris next week, the Grand Slam court surfaces switch to clay for the 2018 French Open and reigning champion Rafael Nadal is the odds-on favorite to win at Roland Garros for the 11th time in his career.

The King of Clay is listed at -225 at 5Dimes and has 15 major championships in his illustrious 13-year career. Nadal cramped up and had a hamstring injury at the Australian Open in February but has said he feels good going into the major tournament, which means bad news for the competition. At -225 may seem like a rip-off but when you factor in that he has lost just two matches in Paris in his career (53-8 SU record in clay court tournaments), it’s hard to fathom Rafa being seriously challenged by any of the competitors except for two.

Can Novak Djokovic unseat Nadal?

The Joker is coming off an injury-riddled campaign in 2017 and is still trying to get back into form after a six-month layoff.  But Djokovic is always a threat to win as he’s made the quarterfinals in his last eight French Open appearances and won it all in 2016.

At +1400, this would be the only other player I would back unless Roger Federer was playing and before you wager on Djokovic, it’s important to look at his head-to-head record vs Nadal.  Djokovic owns a 26-24 SU record vs Rafa, including beating him in the quarterfinals at the French Open in 2015, and is 8-2 SU in his last 10 matches vs the Spaniard.

Dominic Thiem could be an upset candidate

At this point, bettors should mainly be looking for any contender to knock off Nadal because this is Rafa’s tournament to lose. Enter Dominic Thiem. The 24-year-old Austrian has won nine singles titles on the ATP tour and is currently ranked eighth in the world. But head-to-head on clay, he has split the last four matches vs Nadal, including a nice victory over him at the Madrid Open last week. At +700, it may be the best value (other than Djokovic) to upset Nadal because bettors should know that both of those victories came in best-of-three sets and he has yet to beat Nadal in a five-set match.

Here is the full list of odds to win the 2018 French Open on the men’s side:

Odds to win the 2018 French Open - Men’s

Odds as of May 18 at 5Dimes

  • Rafael Nadal -225
  • Dominic Thiem +700
  • Alexander Zverev +1000
  • Novak Djokovic +1400
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +2200
  • Stanislas Wawrinka +3300
  • David Goffin +4000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +4000
  • Marin Cilic +4500
  • Hyeon Chung +5000
  • Kei Nishikori +5000
  • Nick Kyrgios +6600
  • Milos Raonic +8000
  • Lucas Pouille +8000
  • Gael Monfils +8000
  • Pablo Carreno Busta +8000
  • Diego Schwartzman +8000
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis +10000
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +10000
  • Tomas Berdych +10000
  • Roberto Bautista Agut +12500
  • Jack Sock +15000
  • John Isner +15000
  • David Ferrer +15000
  • Sam Querrey +15000
  • Pablo Cuevas +15000
  • Richard Gasquet +15000
  • Karen Khachanov +15000
  • Andrey Rublev +20000
  • Albert Ramos-Vinolas +20000
  • Philipp Kohlschreiber +25000
  • Gilles Simon +30000
  • Gilles Muller +50000
  • Ivo Karlovic +50000
  • Bernard Tomic +50000

Serena is back to take her Singles Throne on the WTA

Serena Williams has been arguably the most dominant tennis player since joining the professional ranks in 1999. The 23-time Grand Slam champion is returning after a 14-month absence for the birth of her daughter and is reportedly in training mode going into Roland Garros. Williams withdrew from the Madrid Open and Italian Open (both on clay), saying she needed more time to get back to championship form.

At +1000, bettors should be sprinting to their bookies to get this wager in as Williams has won three French Open titles and the last time she played in this tourney in 2016, she made it to the final before being ousted by Garbine Muguruza. With a historical record of 13-3 SU in the finals of major tournaments on clay, Serena has shown she can be a force in Paris.

Is anyone other than Serena worth betting on?

Capping the women’s side of this tournament has been incredibly difficult, even for the most seasoned bettor. In the past 10 years, eight different players have won it all with Serena Williams and Maria Sharapova picking up the hardware twice.

This is why it’s hard to endorse reigning women’s champion Jelena Ostapenko, who is currently being offered at +1600. The 20-year-old Latvian was voted the most improved player on the WTA Tour in 2017 but her recent outing on clay at the Madrid Open was awful as she was ousted in the first round.

If I had to bank my money on anyone (other than Serena), I would wager on Caroline Wozniacki at +2000. The reigning winner of the 2018 Australian Open had a decent showing at the Madrid Open and holds the edge in head-to-head records on clay vs top contenders like Simona Halep and Petra Kvitova. The main knock on her (and really any of the other participants) is if she ends up matched up vs Serena Williams, she could be dead in the water as Williams has won 10 of the last 11 matches when they’ve faced each other, including victories both times on a clay surface.

Odds to win the 2018 French Open - woMen’s

Odds as of May 18 at 5Dimes

  • Simona Halep +550
  • Elina Svitolina +800
  • Garbine Muguruza +900
  • Serena Williams +1000
  • Daria Kasatkina +1200
  • Maria Sharapova +1600
  • Jelena Ostapenko +1600
  • Karolina Pliskova +1800
  • Petra Kvitova +1800
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2000
  • Kiki Bertens +2000
  • Angelique Kerber +2500
  • Victoria Azarenka +2500
  • Caroline Garcia +3300
  • Venus Williams +3300
  • Madison Keys +4000
  • Sloane Stephens +4000
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +5000
  • Julia Goerges +5000
  • Elise Mertens +5000
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +5000
  • Kristina Mladenovic +5000
  • Coco Vandeweghe +5000
  • Anett Kontaveit +6600
  • Timea Bacsinszky +6600
  • Johanna Konta +6600
  • Laura Siegemund +6600
  • Lucie Safarova +6600
  • Marketa Vondrousova +6600
  • Anastasija Sevastova +8000
  • Dominika Cibulkova +8000
  • Samantha Stosur +8000
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +8000
  • Belinda Bencic +8000
  • Elena Vesnina +10000
  • Daria Gavrilova +10000
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +10000
  • Eugenie Bouchard +10000
  • Yulia Putintseva +12500
  • Irina-Camelia Begu +12500
  • Roberta Vinci +15000
  • Barbora Strycova +15000
  • Mirjana Lucic-Baroni +20000

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