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French Open Futures: Nadal a Heavy Fave to Finish the Job

Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka are through to the final of the French Open and for Rafa, it was never really in doubt. The nine-time winner at Roland Garros moved past Dominic Thiem in the semis and it only took him three sets. 

Intertops is fairly confident that Nadal will finish the job in Paris as the online shop has given him a -625 line to do so. At that price, you’re likely going to have to find some props to bet on if you’re going to get any value on a Rafa win.

That said, there’s a +400 reward available to you if you have the nerves to bet on the third-seeded Wawrinka. Stan dumped world No. 1 Andy Murray in his semifinal and is coming into the match with the aptly named King of Clay on his best ever run at the French Open. Wawrinka had not dropped a set in the tournament until his contest with Murray so let’s hope he can give Rafa a run for his money.

Nadal, who’s been unbelievably good since his win at the Aussies, has not come close to dropping a set at this French and a loss to Stan in the final would be an enormous upset. A bet on Rafa to win in straight sets could be a keen play.

2017 French Open Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of June 9 at Intertops

  • Rafael Nadal -625
  • Stan Wawrinka +400

Archived Articles

Defeating Novak Djokovic in a straight-sets master class in his quarterfinal match at the French Open, Dominic Thiem launched himself into the stratosphere of the tennis world and if he manages to beat Rafael Nadal in the semis, he’ll reach the stars.

Books haven’t really been giving the young Austrian the benefit of the doubt but after his beatdown of the best tennis player in the world, there’s no doubt that this kid is legit and Intertops has pegged him with a +750 line to finish his French endeavor. That may be the longest line on the board but it doesn’t sound so bad when you consider that Thiem is a +375 underdog for his match against Rafa.

The 23-year-old, who’s been on the pro tour since 2011, would reach the final of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career if he were to usurp the King of Clay and given how Thiem has been playing on the surface, it’s not out of the realm of possibility to think he might do just that.

Rafa, however, will have something to say about that and at -250 to win the title at Roland Garros for the 10th time in his career, he’s favored to get by young master Thiem for a handful of reasons. Nadal has yet to drop a set in the tournament and is coming into his semifinal match playing some of the best tennis of his career.

Injuries have plagued Nadal his entire career but he’s looked like the Six Million Dollar Man ever since his win at the Aussies and he’s been on cruise control up to this point at the French. With his quarterfinal opponent withdrawing in the second set due to injury, Rafa will have fresh legs for his match with Thiem as well as the motivation of becoming the first man in the Open era to win a single Grand Slam 10 times.

Andy Murray and Stan Wawrinka (both at +600) will fight for the right to lose to one of Thiem or Nadal as it’s not incredibly likely that either of them beat one of the two men who have been by far the best on clay this season.

2017 French Open Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of June 7 at Intertops

  • Rafael Nadal -250
  • Andy Murray +600
  • Stan Wawrinka +600
  • Dominic Thiem +750

Archived Articles

On yet another exquisite run in the French Open, Rafael Nadal is well on his way to his 10th title at Roland Garros. Through four matches, Rafa has yet to drop a set and no one has even been able to take the Spaniard to a tiebreak.

Bet365 has pegged the nine-time French winner the -188 favorite heading into the quarters as he gets set to face off with his compatriot Pablo Carreno-Busta. The 20th-seeded Carreno-Busta is coming off a massive upset of Milos Raonic but his Cinderella run will most likely end against the King of Clay.

The other quarters will pit top-seeded Andy Murray (+700) against Kei Nishikori (+3300), Stan Wawrinka (+750) against Marin Cilic (+2500) and Dominic Thiem (+1600) against defending champ Novak Djokovic (+600).

Joker's match against the Austrian upstart is by far the most compelling with Thiem looking like the second-best clay player behind Rafa. Novak has had several close calls in the tournament already and he could be shown the door if he doesn't pick up his level of play in the quarters.

At this point, it really looks like the winner will come from Rafa's half but guys like Murray and Wawrinka can never be counted out.

2017 French Open Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of June 5 at Bet365

  • Rafael Nadal -188
  • Novak Djokovic +600
  • Andy Murray +700
  • Stan Wawrinka +750
  • Dominic Thiem +1600
  • Marin Cilic +2500
  • Kei Nishikori +3300
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta +15000

Archived Articles

With his first ever Masters level win on the ATP World Tour at the Italian Open over the weekend, 20-year-old Alexander Zverev has shot way up the French Open futures table heading into the second Grand Slam of the professional tennis season.

The relatively unexpected title victory from the now 10th-ranked Zverev forced online shops such as Bovada to reassess their odds and that particular book sliced the German’s line from a lofty +5000 to a much more thrifty +1400 to take down the French. This will be Zverev’s third entry in the tournament and he’ll be looking to make it past the third round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his young career.

Another notable result from the final French tune-up was Dominic Thiem’s quarterfinal victory over tourney fave Rafael Nadal. Rafa, who remains the -125 French fave, had beaten the Austrian in two straight tournament finals on clay and won 17 straight matches on his favorite surface. Although he wasn’t able to cap the Italian Open with a third straight finals appearance, Thiem’s coming-of-age victory over Nadal should do wonders for his confidence and he’s currently being offered at a price of +900 to capture the Musketeers’ Cup.

Novak Djokovic, the runner-up in Rome, had his value slightly reduced from +400 to +300 and that would seem to be one of the most attractive lines on the board – given he’s the returning French Open champion. Cruising until the final in Italy, the Joker was a massive favorite to beat Zverev and shocked many by losing to the German in straight sets.

The Serbian, however, seems to be in a better mental state after switching up his coaching staff and it’s likely he rebounds from the upset with the same ferocity that launched him to the finals at six straight Grand Slam tournaments – a streak that ended at Wimbledon last year. Djokovic is a great bet at 3/1.

2017 French Open Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of May 24 at Bovada

  • Rafael Nadal -125
  • Novak Djokovic +300
  • Andy Murray +900
  • Dominic Thiem +900
  • Stan Wawrinka +1000
  • Alexander Zverev +1400
  • Kei Nishikori +4000
  • Nick Kyrgios +4000
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +4000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +5000
  • David Goffin +5000
  • Milos Raonic +5000
  • Gael Monfils +8000
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +8000
  • Tomas Berdych +10000
  • Lucas Pouille +10000
  • Fabio Fognini +10000
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut +10000
  • Albert Ramos-Vinolas +10000
  • Marin Cilic +12500
  • Richard Gasquet +15000
  • David Ferrer +15000
  • Pablo Cuevas +15000
  • Jack Sock +15000
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta +20000
  • John Isner +20000
  • Gilles Simon +20000
  • Borna Coric +20000
  • Kevin Anderson +25000
  • Fernando Verdasco +25000
  • Benoit Paire +30000
  • Feliciano Lopez +30000
  • Nicolas Almagro +30000

Halep Continues to Pace Field in French Open Futures

Finishing runner-up at the Italian Open, Simona Halep has been deemed a slight +500 favorite over Elina Svitolina (the woman who took the title in Italy) as the gates at Roland Garros get set to open. The Romanian pro has never won a title at a Grand Slam tournament but her best result at a major came at the 2014 French Open when she was bested by Maria Sharapova in the final.

Admittedly not playing up to her own lofty standards so far in 2017, world No. 1 Angelique Kerber will head into the French Open as a +1800 long shot. 

The German has taken early exits from the last two clay-court tournaments (one retirement due to injury) but told reporters that she's been distracted by a new sponsor deal that has taken much her attention away from the sport. 

Kerber, however, shows her true colors in Grand Slam tournaments (winning two in 2016, making three of four finals) and with no Serena Williams in the field, 18/1 sounds like great value. 

2017 French Open Women’s Futures Odds

Odds as of May 27 at BetOnline

  • Simona Halep +500
  • Garbine Muguruza +1000
  • Angelique Kerber +1800
  • Elina Svitolina +600
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +1100
  • Kristina Mladenovic +1300
  • Karolina Pliskova +1600
  • Laura Siegemund +2500
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2800
  • Johanna Konta +2500
  • Daria Kasatkina +2500
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +2800
  • Petra Kvitova +3300
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +4000
  • Timea Bacsinszky +4000
  • Eugenie Bouchard +4000
  • Madison Keys +3300
  • Dominika Cibulkova +3300
  • Venus Williams +3300
  • Anastasjia Sevastova +4000
  • Kiki Bertens +3300
  • Lucie Safarova +4000
  • Coco Vandeweghe +5000

Archived Articles

The gates at Roland Garros are set to open and the King of Clay, Rafael Nadal, is ready to reclaim his throne as the rightful heir of the French Open. He’s been kicking up dust during the clay court warm-up competitions, going 15-0 with three titles, and sportsbooks have pegged him accordingly as the minus-money favorite to lift the Musketeers’ Trophy for the 10th time during his 15-year tenure on the ATP World Tour.

Bovada has given the man they call Rafa -125 odds to win the 2017 French Open but considering how he’s been playing heading into the second Grand Slam of the season and given his history at Roland Garros, that line actually seems conservative. Nadal won his first French Open title in 2005, when he was just 18 years old. And since then? He’s lost just two matches in Paris and gone on to post a career winning percentage of .973 at the competition.

His last title at the French may have come almost three years ago but we’re witnessing a refreshed Rafa this season. A Rafa that made the finals at the Aussie Open and that’s been on a tear ever since. The only problem for the Spaniard? He’s on track to face Novak Djokovic in the tournament’s semifinal.

Although he’s had a rough start to 2017, the Joker is always a force to be reckoned with and since he parted ways with his coaching team, he’s had a renewed focus and he even made it to the semifinals of the Madrid Open – where he lost to Rafa in straight sets. The French is the last Slam the Serb has had the pleasure of putting in his bloated trophy case and he’s slotted in behind Nadal on the oddsboard at +400 as he looks to defend his title at Roland Garros for the first time in his career.

Novak’s win in Paris last year put the finishing touch on his Career Grand Slam and the former world No. 1 has admitted that he had trouble finding motivation after completing the journey he set out on when he lifted his first major title at the Aussie Open way back in 2008.

He’ll take on the field in Rome at the Italian Open this week looking to build on his new-found confidence and if he performs well, a bet on him to win a second straight French title could be a wise one.

A dark horse coming into the slam is Dominic Thiem. The 23-year-old Australian pro is the man Rafa beat in the finals at Madrid and Barcelona and he’s presently being offered at +1200. See how he does at Rome this week and wager accordingly.

In other news, Swiss bouncer Roger Federer – the winner of the Aussie Open –  has pulled out of the French for the second year in a row to get ready for the grass-court season. Rog had made a lot of hay on grass during his illustrious career so this decision appears to simply be a case of Federer knowing where his bread is buttered (grass-fed, of course).

2017 French Open Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of May 15 at Bovada

  • Rafael Nadal -125
  • Novak Djokovic +400
  • Andy Murray +600
  • Stan Wawrinka +900
  • Dominic Thiem +1200
  • Kei Nishikori +2800
  • Nick Kyrgios +3300
  • David Goffin +4000
  • Milos Raonic +4000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +4000
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +5000
  • Alexander Zverev +5000
  • Gael Monfils +6600
  • Tomas Berdych +8000
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +8000
  • Lucas Pouille +10000
  • Richard Gasquet +10000
  • Marin Cilic +12500
  • David Ferrer +12500
  • Pablo Cuevas +15000
  • Fabio Fognini +15000
  • Jack Sock +15000
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta +20000
  • John Isner +20000
  • Gilles Simon +20000
  • Benoit Paire +20000
  • Kevin Anderson +25000
  • Feliciano Lopez +30000

No Serena puts parity at the forefront at the French

The biggest factor in the women’s draw is the absence of Serena Williams. The 23-time Grand Slam winner announced after her win at the Aussie Open that she was more than a month pregnant and that she’d miss the rest of the 2017 tennis season with intentions to return in 2018. 

Her announcement has left the field at the French wide open and with no clear favorite you’ll have to do some sharp handicapping to turn a profit.

Simona Halep and Maria Sharapova are the co-faves (+600) at Bovada with Garbine Muguruza and Angelique Kerber coming in right behind the heavyweights at +800 and +1000 respectively.

Sharapova has not made it to the finals of a tournament since returning from her PED suspension so you may want to explore some options here that offer you a little more value.

2017 French Open Women’s Futures Odds

Odds as of May 15 at Bovada

  • Simona Halep +600
  • Maria Sharapova +600
  • Garbine Muguruza +800
  • Angelique Kerber +1000
  • Karolina Pliskova +1200
  • Elina Svitolina +1400
  • Johanna Konta +1800
  • Petra Kvitova +2200
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2500
  • Madison Keys +2500
  • Belinda Bencic +2500
  • Daria Kasatkina +2800
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +1800
  • Laura Siegemund +3300
  • Lucie Safarova +3300
  • Timea Bacsinszky +3300
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +3300
  • Kristina Mladenovic +2200
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +4000
  • Coco Vandeweghe +4000
  • Eugenie Bouchard +3300
  • Dominika Cibulkova +5000
  • Irina-Camelia Begu +6600
  • Venus Williams +6600
  • Ekaterina Makarova +6600
  • Sam Stosur +6600
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +6600
  • Sloane Stephens +8000
  • Caroline Garcia +8000
  • Jelena Ostapenko +8000
  • Ana Konjuh +10000
  • Monica Puig +10000
  • Roberta Vinci +10000
  • Barbora Strycova +10000
  • Francesca Schiavone +10000
  • Sabine Lisicki +12500
  • Andrea Petkovic +12500
  • Sara Errani +15000
  • Timea Babos +15000
  • Jelena Jankovic +15000
  • Heather Watson +20000
  • Laura Robson +30000