Championship Weekend NFL Parlay Picks: Risk And Reward Parlays

Championship Weekend is here, and so are our parlay picks to help you crack the books’ code. There are a number of interesting plays this week as the Kansas City Chiefs battle the Baltimore Ravens in the AFC Championship, while the Detroit Lions take on the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship game.

For bettors, this weekend provides a golden opportunity to weave together multiple bets into lucrative parlay picks. Keep your hands and feet inside the ride as we navigate through the high stakes of the NFL playoffs. Let's explore the most promising parlay picks for Championship Weekend!

NFL Parlay #1 - Underdog ATS Parlay

NFL Parlay #2 - UNDERS Parlay

NFL Parlay Picks: Championship Weekend

Let's find some more winners after our Texans-Buccaneers home dogs parlay smacked at +392 odds on Wild Card Weekend.

Championship Weekend NFL Parlay #1 - Underdog ATS Parlay

Patrick Mahomes heads to Baltimore after an outstanding performance in Buffalo. Mahomes will be looking to lead his Chiefs to a fourth Super Bowl appearance in the last five years, with a win. That won’t come easy as the vaunted Ravens, but the betting trends here are difficult to ignore.

Mahomes is now 10-1-1 ATS as an underdog in his career, with nine outright victories. He’s the greatest quarterback of his generation and can continue to build his legacy on Sunday. Since 2004, Super Bowl winning quarterbacks are 58-24-2 ATS in the playoffs. Bet against Mahomes at your own peril.

Patrick Mahomes has an MVP-level season just from his career playoff games 😳 pic.twitter.com/co8aAQDd0u

— PFF (@PFF) January 23, 2024

Meanwhile, the San Francisco 49ers find themselves as 7.5-point favorites over the Detroit Lions after squeaking by the Green Bay Packers on Saturday night. Brock Purdy looked awful before rallying the troops late in the fourth quarter and leading a clutch touchdown drive to pull out the win.

However, the Detroit Lions are a different beast, with a far more dominant rushing attack than the Packers. Dan Campbell and Jared Goff have been a dream for spread bettors going an NFL-best 13-6 ATS the spread this season. They’ve been even more dominant on the road going 7-2 ATS. Plus, the 49ers are 0-6 in their last six games at home. Brock Purdy looked erratic against the Packers, he can’t be trusted in the game of his life on Sunday Night. Detroit +7.5 is an easy play.

Championship Weekend NFL Parlay #2 - UNDERS Parlay

The 49ers play football at a grinding, slow pace. Kyle Shanahan has no qualms about running multiple pre-snap motions and milking the play clock. Also, offensive weapon Deebo Samuel is questionable to play after aggravating his shoulder injury in the win over Green Bay. He fractured his shoulder earlier this season, and is a name to watch heading into Championship Weekend. As last week’s game displayed, the 49ers are a different unit without Deebo, and struggled to move the football for much of the afternoon. Brock Purdy and the 49ers offense are likely to suffer without their top pass-catcher. Brandon Aiyuk looked like a shell of himself without Deebo next to him last week.

Jared Goff has struggled outdoors historically. His yards per attempt, quarterback rating, and completion percentage crater when playing outside in his career. Sam LaPorta is also banged up for the Lions, who just signed veteran tight end Zach Ertz in a effort to mimic LaPorta’s production. Do you really trust Goff to put points on the board against a 49ers defense that held the Packers to just two touchdowns on five red zone trips last week?

As you so often hear, the NFL season is a war of attrition, and last week took a toll on the Chiefs defense. Kansas City lost both Willie Gay and Mike Edwards against the Bills, and star corner Trent McDuffie is playing through an ankle ailment. Moreover, this total has already dropped as money pours in on the under. The trends back the UNDER as four of Kansas City’s last five games have gone UNDER the total and with an average of 37 points in those games. Also, the total has gone UNDER in all all three of the Chiefs last three games as an underdog versus Baltimore. Look for defense to dominate at these teams look to play mistake free football en route to the Super Bowl.

What Is An NFL Parlay?

An NFL parlay, or any betting parlay, is a combination of multiple bets. If you have four different NFL parlay picks, you could bet those individually for lesser individual outcomes, or you could parlay them together for better odds. The trick to a parlay is once you combine your bets, you need every bet to hit for the parlay payout.

At your online betting site of choice, you can parlay any number of games. The more games or events you parlay together, the higher total odds will be. Finding a parlay that works for you is a bit of a risk/reward tradeoff. Like with any bet, the higher odds (or more parlay legs) you bet, the higher the payout but the lower the chance of hitting.

Check out Odds Shark’s Parlay Calculator to find the parlay odds for any combination of games, bets or events. For a complete explanation of how NFL parlay picks work, read our Parlay Bets And Odds, Explained page.