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NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds: Garrett On Top

Browns defensive end Myles Garrett is the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds leader.

The NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year award has been a two-man show over the last decade or so with either Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald or Cardinals defensive end J.J. Watt winning nine of the last 12 awards.

But oddsmakers at Bovada looking forward to who might win the award for the 2021-22 NFL season now think Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett (+400) has the best shot at the award.

Following Garrett are Trevon Diggs (+500), T.J. Watt (+600) and Donald (+700) as the clear top four.

If you’re a new bettor and you’ve never wagered on NFL Futures before, check out Odds Shark’s handy guide on how to bet on the NFL that will get you up to speed.

If you prefer offense over defense, you can also read up on which player is the favorite to win the NFL MVP Award in 2021.

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Who Is The Favorite To Win NFL Defensive Player Of The Year?

2021 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award Odds
PlayerCurrent Odds
Myles Garrett+400
Trevon Diggs+500
T.J. Watt+600
Aaron Donald+700
Nick Bosa+1600
Jalen Ramsey+2000
Derwin James+2500
Joey Bosa+2500
Chandler Jones+3500
Devin White+3500
Chris Jones+4000
Brian Burns+4500
Maxx Crosby+4500
Cameron Jordan+5000
Tyrann Mathieu+5000
Von Miller+5000
Darius Leonard+5500
Chase Young+6600
DeForest Buckner+6600
Fred Warner+6600
Jadeveon Clowney+6600
Jaire Alexander+6600
Shaq Barrett+6600
Tre’Davious White+6600
Jason Pierre-Paul+7000
Marcus Davenport+7000
Marshon Lattimore+7000
Bobby Wagner+7500
Minkah Fitzpatrick+7500

Odds as of October 19 at Bovada

NFL DPOY Odds Best Bets

Aaron Donald (+700)

Donald won the award last year after posting 13.5 sacks (the second-highest total of his career), 28 QB hits, four forced fumbles and 24 tackles for a loss. Donald’s sack total was second in the league, but it was the six-time All-Pro’s all-around game that won him the award this time. 

There’s simply no reason to bet against Donald moving forward either as the 30-year old is still in his prime and has only missed two games since 2015 and none in the last three seasons.

The T.J. Watts and Myles Garretts of the world may end up with higher sack totals, but the fact that Donald is near or at the top of the league every season as an interior rusher makes his numbers even more special.

Donald will be at the forefront of the conversation all season long, no matter what happens with his team. He’s a great value at +700.

Myles Garrett (+400)

Garrett jumped over Donald in NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds after an outstanding performance against the Bears in Week 3. Garrett had 4.5 sacks, seven tackles and six QB hits in that game, kicking Bears tackle Jason Peters’ butt up and down the field all day. 

Now with eight sacks on the year, Garrett is on pace to put up the kind of numbers that warrant consideration for this award. He also plays on one of the better defenses in the league. He’ll be at the top of this list for a while. 

The Bosa Brothers

Nick Bosa (+1600) and Joey Bosa (+2500) are two of the best edge rushers in the league as both combine prototypical size with elite hand usage and explosion. 

Both also happened to miss significant time last season (Nick got hurt in Week 2 and missed the rest of the year, while Joey started only 10 of 16 games).

But in 2019, Nick (as a rookie) and Joey put up nine and 11.5 sacks respectively while getting Pro Bowl nods. If they can return to form and stay healthy, the sky is the limit in terms of production for both players.

Nick gets the nod to win the award as the younger brother on a deeper defensive line that could result in more 1-on-1 situations.

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The Middle Of The Pack

This early in the season, players have not yet had the opportunity to separate themselves from the field. There are 16 players on this list who are between +3000 and +7000 odds, creating an opportunity for bettors to find some value.

Packers cornerback Jaire Alexander (+6600) stands out further down the list, as a player who is just as talented and capable of winning as anyone in the middle group.

Alexander is a true lockdown corner who could ascend this list with a spike in interception numbers. So far in his career, he has interception totals of 1, 2 and 1, but he is the victim of his own ability as other teams seem to make it a priority to keep the ball away from him. 

The problem for Alexander is the Packers as a whole have not played well on defense. That unit will need to turn things around for Alexander to get recognized as a candidate in NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

Best Bet: Von Miller (+5000)

We were all over Miller at +5000 a few weeks ago before his number dropped to +3500. Now, he is back to +5000 with only 4.5 sacks on the season. 

Now back to full health after missing all of last season with an injury, Miller appears to be overlooked in NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds. But he will need to put up much bigger numbers moving forward to win this award. The problem for him in the last couple of weeks has been the poor play of the defense around him. Denver will need to play better overall to help Millers case.

But he is still great value at +5000.

Understanding NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds

When you check out your NFL betting site of choice, you’ll see defensive player odds that look something like this:

Aaron Donald +700

Nick Bosa +850

Khalil Mack +1100

TJ Watt +12300

To bet on these odds, you would be making a futures bet – more on that in a bit. In this case, there is no clear favorite like there would be on a moneyline or spread bet. When you don’t see odds with a minus sign (-) beside them, then the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered underdogs.

If you think Aaron Donald is the defensive player to beat, and you bet $100 on him, you’d get a payout of $800 – you get your $100 back along with your winnings of $700.

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.

What Is A Prop Bet?

A prop is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain outcomes that may not necessarily upset the outcome of an NFL game. In this case, it’s the Defensive Player of the Year, an award given out after the regular season.

You can make a bet like this as soon as the odds are announced. Oddsmakers will move the lines as players pad their stats, succumb to injury or their production decreases. If you see odds you like, jump on them like a loose ball after a fumble, otherwise the action could move so much that you’ll barely make a profit or maybe even not make one at all.