2023 NFL Draft Odds: Bryce Young Going First?

The 2023 NFL Draft order is set and most teams are already preparing their draft lists.

With the Bears already having QB Justin Fields locked in, there’s a lot of uncertainty at the top of this draft. Should the Bears trade the No. 1 pick? Should they give up on Fields and draft a different QB? Or should they keep the pick and go defense?

Check out below for a complete breakdown of the first overall pick odds and more NFL draft prop bets to get an idea of how things are expected to play out. Want more information on the numerous ways to bet on the NFL draft? Check out our How to Bet on the NFL Draft article.

2023 NFL Draft Odds: First Overall Pick

Odds as of January 26

Young going First?

If another team trades up with the Bears and decides it wants a QB at first overall, the pick is probably going to be Alabama gunslinger Bryce Young. Sure, CJ Stroud has the consistency and Will Levis has the projectable size, but Young has the full package.

According to our betting odds calculator, Young’s odds represent an implied probability of 53.49 percent that he will be the first player taken, so at least we know where the oddsmakers stand.

Best 1st Overall Value Pick: Jalen Carter

If the Bears don’t get the trade package they want and decide to keep the first overall pick, Jalen Carter is likely their guy. He’s an athletic 300-pound defensive tackle who can stuff runs, cave in offensive lines and dominate a defensive front. There’s a reason the odds favor Young, as the Bears are likely to trade down. But at these odds for Carter, it may be worth a bet for him to be the first name called.

Other NFL Draft Betting Props

If you’re looking for more NFL draft props outside of odds to go at No. 1, we’ve got you covered. The sportsbooks have released odds on some specific props and markets well ahead of the draft and here are a few of our favorites.

NFL Draft Odds: How Many QBs Go In 1st round?

Odds as of January 26

We can pencil in Young, Stroud and Levis as easy top-10 picks. And, in all likelihood, Anthony Richardson will go at some point in the first round. So the question of this betting market is ... will there be another?

After Richardson at 19th overall, the next-highest QB on CBS’ draft prospect rankings is Hendon Hooker (71) and Cameron Ward (151). There are always some QBs who skyrocket up the rankings late, but that’s a long way to go. We’ll take the UNDER here.

NFL Draft Position: QB Anthony Richardson

Odds as of January 26

Richardson is a raw talent who will probably have to sit for at least one year before molding into an athletic NFL-caliber weapon. But he’s also the type of rare QB a team will take a chance on.

Assuming the top three QBs in this class all go in the top five or six picks, Richardson still would be a great fit with the Las Vegas Raiders (picking seventh overall), Atlanta Falcons (8th), Carolina Panthers (9th), New York Jets (13th) and Washington Commanders (16th). Given the presence of so many QB-needy teams drafting before this 16.5 OVER/UNDER mark, we’re going to bet Richardson goes before the 17th selection. 

NFL Draft Position: RB Bijan Robinson

Odds as of January 26

Robinson is an interesting case because he’s one of the best runners we’ve had come out of college in a few years, but NFL teams are becoming increasingly wary about drafting his position early.

A running back didn’t get picked until the second round in last year’s draft and not until 24th overall in 2021. We’ll bet that the trend continues and Robinson falls past 16.

NFL Draft Position: WR Quentin Johnston

Odds as of January 26

On the opposite side of the running back drafting trends, wide receivers are sneaking up the board in recent years. Four WRs went in the first 12 picks last year and three were among the top dozen selections in 2021.

Johnston seems like the consensus first wideout off the board, so we’ll hammer the UNDER here for the TCU standout.

Where Will Mr. Irrelevant Come From?

Odds as of January 26