It’s football time, which means it’s time for us to start cashing in on our NFL player prop bets. The National Football League is one of the most wagered-upon leagues in the world, and there are countless ways to bet every weekend. With access to numbers, trends and player streaks, NFL prop bets are one of the best ways to find some value.

Sportsbooks are very good at setting difficult lines for sides and totals, but there is an edge to be had in player prop markets, and we’re here to take advantage.

This page is dedicated to Odds Shark’s NFL prop bets of the day, breaking down the top NFL player props and specific wagers to bring you some weekly cash. Come back every week for updated picks and betting breakdowns.

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NFL Week 3 Prop Bets And Picks:

Below are our Week 3 player props for this weekend, with the games occurring on September 25, 2022. Our selected props can be found at BetOnline Sportsbook and Bodog, but make sure you are shopping around for the best lines.

Getting the best line is the optimal way to maximize your edge in player props betting. It is absolutely essential to check different books for differing lines. Head to our NFL best betting sites page for more.

Week 3 Prop #1: Aaron Jones Rushing Yards

How many rushing yards Will Aaron Jones have?
OVER 50.5 -115
UNDER 50.5 -115

Odds from BetOnline Sportsbook

Aaron Jones gashed the Bears defense for 132 yards on just 15 carries last week, and though that kind of efficiency is hard to reproduce, I like his spot in Week 3 NFL props against the Buccaneers.

Probably the best run defense over the last couple years, the Bucs are ranked 10th at PFF through two weeks this season. However, Tampa has looked vulnerable to the run at times this year as Saints runners racked up 100 yards on 20 carries last week despite a poor game environment and with Alvin Kamara inactive. Tampa will also be without starting defensive tackle Akiem Hicks this week.

I also think the Packers recognize their best chance to win is to put the ball in the hands of their star running backs. Already with maybe the worst receiving corps in the league, Green Bay had *four* receivers – Christian Watson, Randall Cobb, Sammy Watkins and Allen Lazard – on the injury report with a “Did not participate” designation on Thursday.

The Packers will have to run the ball a ton in this game, and Jones is too talented for a line this low. This is a smash.

The Pick: Jones OVER 50.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Prop #2: Josh Allen Passing Yards

How Many Passing Yards Will Josh Allen Have? 
OVER 275.5 -104
UNDER 275.5 -110

Odds from BetOnline Sportsbook

This line is too low. Week 3’s Dolphins vs Bills game is setting up to be a shootout of all shootouts with a total of 53.5 as of Friday, and the quarterbacks should factor heavily into the OVER being in play.

According to Establish The Run, Buffalo and Miami rank first and third in the league in pass rate over expectation through two weeks, a good sign that we will continue to see these teams throw the rock a hell of a lot. 

The Dolphins also have PFF’s 31st-ranked coverage rating through two weeks after getting torched by the Ravens in Week 2. 

All this to say, I think Josh Allen is going to throw a lot on Sunday and he won’t face much resistance when he does. The Dolphins being such a great passing team should also push his attempts up. This is an easy bet on the OVER.

The Pick: Allen OVER 275.5 Passing Yards (-104)

Prop #3: Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards

How Many Receiving Yards Will Cooper Kupp Have?
OVER 97.5 -115
UNDER 97.5 -113

Odds from BetOnline Sportsbook

It’s Cooper freakin’ Kupp going up against PFF’s 32nd-ranked coverage team. Need I say more?

Kupp has more than 97 yards in 15 of 23 games with Matthew Stafford at QB, including both games this season, and in six of the other eight games he had between 92 and 96 yards. This absurd production shows no signs of slowing down. Kupp is simply the most consistent receiver in the NFL and I’m going to keep betting lines like this until that changes.

The Pick: Kupp OVER 97.5 receiving yards (-115)

Prop #4: Marcus Mariota Passing Touchdowns

How Many Passing Touchdowns Will Marcus Mariota Have?
OVER 1.5 +171
UNDER 1.5 -230

Odds from Bovada

A bit of a longer shot here, but I like Mariota this week against a poor Seattle defense. 

The Seahawks have PFF’s 30th-ranked coverage rating through two weeks and are dealing with a ton of injuries on their back end. Safety Jamal Adams is out for the season and cornerbacks Artie Burns, Quandre Diggs and Justin Coleman are all questionable. Corner Justin Reid is also on injured reserve. 

The seas are parting for a big game from Mariota, and with the Falcons defense also below average, it wouldn’t be shocking for this game to be sneakily high-scoring. I like the value on Mariota at +171 to toss a couple TDs in this one.

The Pick: Mariota OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+171)


What Is An NFL Prop Bet?

An NFL prop bet is a wager that has no direct impact on the outcome of a football game.

A prop bet is sometimes referred to as a “proposition” wager, and though these bets are often for entertainment purposes, they also give opportunity to hone in on a specific statistic or in-game matchup to profit off tiny bits of information.

NFL prop bets can range from NFL player props like a quarterback’s total passing yards, to a defensive player sack, or even more niche bets like QB rushing yards, passing attempts or other various OVER/UNDERs.

At your online betting site of choice, NFL prop bets could be something like:

  • • How many touchdowns will Lamar Jackson throw? OVER/UNDER 1.5
  • • How many sacks will J.J. Watt have? OVER/UNDER 1.5
  • • Will Josh Allen throw an interception? YES +110

How To Read NFL Prop Bet Odds

When you visit your favorite online sportsbook, you can find prop odds for most sports, and certainly every football game each weekend. Most kinds of props will look like the following example (with either YES/NO odds or OVER/UNDER odds):

How many touchdowns will Lamar Jackson throw against the New York Giants?

  • OVER 1.5 +200
  • UNDER 1.5 -200

In this NFL prop bets example, you can wager on whether you think the Ravens QB will throw two or more touchdowns against the Giants, or one or fewer. If you place $100 on Jackson to toss OVER 1.5 TD at +200 odds, you would return $300 (your $100 back, plus $200 in profit). If you win a bet wagering on the UNDER 1.5 at -200, you would need to wager $200 to profit $100. Calculate exact profits using Odds Shark’s sports betting calculator.

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