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Week 3 NFL Prop Bets: Fade Jameis

Fade Jameis Winston in our NFL prop best of the week

Football betting is back! The National Football League is one of the most wagered upon leagues in the world, and there are countless ways to bet every weekend. With access to numbers, trends and player streaks, there’s always an NFL prop bet or two that should hit every weekend and that should return some profit.

This page is dedicated to Odds Shark’s NFL prop bets of the day, breaking down the top NFL player props and specific wagers to bring you some weekly cash. Come back every Thursday for updated picks and betting breakdowns.

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This Week’s NFL Props And Picks:

Below are our best NFL player prop bets for this weekend, with the main slate of games occurring on: Sunday, September 26, 2021. All of our selected props can be found at Bovada.

Current Record: 3-3

Week 2 Prop #1: Daniel Jones Rushing Yards

How many Rushing Yards will Jones Have Against the Falcons?
OVER 28.5-114
UNDER 28.5-114

Odds from Bovada

Daniel Jones is the New York Giants RB1.

Through two games he has 122 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns, and 8.1 yards per rush. While Saquon Barkley works back into form, Jones has run wild for New York. As proven in Week 2, Jones is one run away from breaking any reasonable rushing yard total, so we'll ride this over again in Week 3.

The Pick: OVER 28.5 Jones Rushing Yards -114

Prop #2: Jameis Winston Completions

How Many Completions will Winston have?
OVER 18.5-114
UNDER 18.5-114

Odds from Bovada

Jameis Winston is the clear QB1 in New Orleans in the post-Drew Brees era, but that doesn't mean they've given him the keys to the offense just yet. Through two weeks, Winston has yet to attempt more than 22 passes in a game, and has yet to complete more than 14. Despite a five touchdown barrage in Week 1, Winston still only threw for 148 yards on 14 completions.

Sean Payton could give him more responsibility as the season goes on, but reaching 19 completions would be a big increase in usage in Week 3.

The Pick: UNDER 18.5 Completions -114

Prop #3: Aaron Jones Receiving Yards

How Many Receiving Yards Will Aaron Jones Have?
OVER 28.5-114
UNDER 28.5-114

Odds from Bovada

In the blowout Week 2 win over the Lions, Aaron Jones caught six passes for 48 yards and three touchdowns. The week prior, Jones caught just two passes for 13 yards in a Packers loss.

Examples of the Packers having success when using Jones in the passing game stretch back to last year. Four times Jones caught for more than 30 yards in a game in 2020, and the Packers won each contest. Hopefully the Packers coaching staff learns from their success last week, and we pick up an easy over with this prop.

The Pick: OVER 28.5 Jones Receiving Yards -114

What Is An NFL Prop Bet?

An NFL prop bet is a wager that has no direct impact on the outcome of a football game.

A prop bet is sometimes referred to as a “proposition” wager, and though these bets are often for entertainment purposes, they also give opportunity to hone in on a specific statistic or in-game matchup to profit off tiny bits of information.
NFL prop bets can range from NFL player props like a quarterback's total passing yards, to a defensive player sack, or even more niche bets like QB rushing yards, passing attempts, or other various OVER/UNDERs.

At your online betting site of choice, NFL prop bets could be something like:

  • • How many touchdowns will Lamar Jackson throw? OVER/UNDER 1.5
  • • How many sacks will J.J. Watt have? OVER/UNDER 1.5
  • • Will T.J Watt commit a foul? YES +110

How To Read NFL Prop Bet Odds

When you visit your favorite online sportsbook, you can find prop odds for most sports, and certainly every football game each weekend. Most kinds of props will look like the following example (with either YES/NO odds or OVER/UNDER odds):

How many touchdowns will Lamar Jackson throw against the New York Giants?

  • OVER 1.5 +200
  • UNDER 1.5 -200

In this NFL prop bets example, you can wager on whether you think the Ravens QB will throw two or more touchdowns against the Giants, or one or fewer. If you place $100 on Jackson to toss OVER 1.5 TD at +200 odds, you would return $300 (your $100 back, plus $200 in profit). If you win a bet wagering on the UNDER 1.5 at -200, you would need to wager $200 to profit $100. Calculate exact profits using Odds Shark’s sports betting calculator.

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