Many NFL primetime betting trends hold true when looking at our primetime betting report.
Certain NFL players and coaches perform better under the bright lights of primetime Thursday, Monday, and Sunday Night Football games. Here are the best coaches and quarterbacks in primetime games, and key betting trends to know.
Week 15's primetime action kicks off Thursday when the Falcons and Buccaneers meet. The Vikings and Cowboys play on Sunday Night Football, and the Dolphins and Steelers square off on Monday night.
Falcons vs Buccaneers - TNF
Atlanta is 8-4 on TNF, winning its most recent Thursday outing 36-30 over the Bucs last season. Tampa Bay is 3-9 on Thursday Night Football, and the franchise has dropped three in a row (to the Falcons, Bills, and Ravens) since 2022.
Vikings vs Cowboys - SNF
The Vikings are 21-26 on Sunday nights, including a pair of losses. In fact, Minnesota has only won one of its last eight SNF appearances. This contest will be Minnesota's second TNF game of the season after facing the Falcons in Week 2. Dallas, meanwhile, is 42-40-1 on SNF. The tie is the Cowboys' most recent result, coming against the Packers earlier this year.
Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers - MNF
Miami has won consecutive Monday night games, bringing their all-time MNF record to 45-45. The Dolphins took down the Jets earlier this season on a Monday night. Pittsburgh is an outstanding 54-25 on Monday Night Football. The Steelers are 14-1 in their last 15 MNF games, with the lone loss during that stretch coming against the Bengals in 2020.
Looking ahead to Week 16
- TNF - Rams vs Seahawks
- Saturday - Packers vs Bears
- SNF - Patriots vs Ravens
- MNF - 49ers vs Colts
General NFL Primetime Game Betting Trends
| Betting Market | Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogs SU | 109-212-1 | -$385.31 |
| Underdogs ATS | 167-150-5 | +$275.81 |
| Fav SU | 212-109-1 | -$1565.87 |
| Fav ATS | 150-167-5 | -$3191.94 |
| Unders | 180-138-5 | +$2575.19 |
| Overs | 138-180-5 | -$5476.0 |
You've got options if you're looking for some blind bets for primetime games. Underdogs against the spread have been a solid play in recent years, bringing over 3 units of profit. But there's an even bigger fish to target on your TNF, MNF, and SNF wagers:
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21+ and present in OH.
You Have To Bet Primetime UNDERs
The NFL's hottest betting trend the last few years has been primetime UNDERs. Going below the point total hit at a solid 56% clip over the last six seasons, and it hit in nearly 70% of Thursday, Sunday, and Monday Night games in 2023-24. In 2024, UNDERs went 40-37, hitting in 51.9% of games.
It seems almost inexplicable how every team forgets how to score during these primetime affairs. Clearly, there are some scheduling reasons behind these low scores, especially in Thursday Night Football games.
Top NFL Coach In Primetime Games
| Name | Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Matt LaFleur | 26-11 | +$1273.95 |
| Frank Reich | 9-2-1 | +$624.03 |
| Brian Flores | 4-0 | +$356.06 |
| Doug Pederson | 17-12 | +$334.19 |
| Zac Taylor | 11-7-1 | +$301.9 |
Matt LaFleur needs a new nickname. 'Big Game' Matt has been easily the NFL's best coach in primetime games over the last five seasons. The Packers under LaFleur have covered the spread in 24 primetime contests across those years, with bettors cashing out over 13 units of profit!
Funny enough, former Panthers coach Frank Reich was up there with these primetime savants before he was fired last season. Reich went 8-1-1 against the spread in primetime affairs, for a +6.2-unit profit in his time with Carolina and Indy.
Back Josh Allen Under The Bright Lights
| Name | Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 17-8 | +$767.05 |
| Jared Goff | 17-9 | +$649.8 |
| Kenny Pickett | 7-0 | +$627.97 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 16-9 | +$562.58 |
| Carson Wentz | 7-2 | +$428.79 |
Josh Allen being near the top of the quarterback primetime performers is no surprise. The 2024 NFL MVP continued his primetime heroics this year in Week 1 (424 total yards and four touchdowns) and Week 3 (213 yards and three touchdowns) against the Dolphins.
Also worth noting, Jared Goff is a primetime-game king these days. During his time with both the Rams and Lions, Goff's teams are 15-6 against the spread in primetime affairs (+6.9 units of profit).
| Name | Record | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | 17-8 | +$767.05 |
| Jared Goff | 17-9 | +$649.8 |
| Kenny Pickett | 7-0 | +$627.97 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 16-9 | +$562.58 |
| Carson Wentz | 7-2 | +$428.79 |
Keep an eye on Aaron Rodgers and the Steelers in the 2025 NFL season. Pittsburgh's new quarterback is 16-6 ATS in primetime across the last five seasons, netting bettors over 8 units of profit. The Steelers play in four primetime games in 2025.
