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Week 7 TNF Prop Bets: Fade Cleveland's Run Game

The Browns QB tops our TNF prop bets

The 2021 NFL season continues into Week 7 with an AFC edition of Thursday Night Football, featuring a battle between playoff contenders in the Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns. With this week’s matchup come some great TNF prop bets.

Online sportsbook Bovada has beat-up Browns as the 1.5-point home favorites and the total settling in at 41.0 points. For a look at all the lines for this week’s slate of games, check out our NFL odds page for the latest up-to-date information.

Odds Shark also has a preview for this game. For more great football betting content, head over to our NFL page. New to betting on football? Check out our detailed NFL betting guide to help you get in the action.

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In the below tables, we break down the wide selection of Thursday Night Football prop bets, including player props, score props and even special teams prop bets. Come back each week for updated TNF prop bets before every NFL prime-time matchup, as well as our favorite TNF prop bet of the week.

Odds Shark’s Top Week 7 TNF Prop Bet: D'Ernest Johnson All-Purpose Yards

D'Ernest Johnson is set for the most playing time he's ever had in his career. With 38 career games across three years and just 198 total rushing yards, injuries to Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb have pushed Johnson to the top of the depth chart.

However, expecting a player with just two games ever with more than 40 all-purpose yards to break 75 is not the type of bet I'm looking to make. Johnson may rise to the occasion, but I'll bet on the Browns sharing the backfield reps around and trying to make stuff happen with a variety of different weapons.

The Pick: D'Ernest Johnson UNDER 75.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards

TNF Prop Bet #2: Case Keenum Passing Completions

Like Johnson, injuries have thrust QB Case Keenum to the top of the depth chart for the Browns tonight. Keenum has never been an elite quarterback, but he's been able to make completions and manage a game, owning a career 62.3% completion rate.

In seven of his last 12 starts (albeit in 2018 and 2019), Keenum has broken 20 completions in a game, even reaching 30 four times. Without Hunt and Chubb to lean on, the Browns are going to ask for Keenum to make some passes tonight. While they may not be down-field bombs, the passing game will be Cleveland's best option.

 

The Pick: Case Keenum OVER 18.5 Completions


All Week 7 TNF Prop Bets:

First Touchdown Scorer

PlayerOdds
Case Keenum+3000
D'Ernest Johnson+750
Jarvis Landry+1000
Noah Fant+1300
Odell Beckham Jr.+900
Courtland Sutton+900
Demetric Felton+900
Javonte Williams+1000
Teddy Bridgewater+3500
Melvin Gordon+850
Donovan Peoples-Jones+900
No Touchdown Scored+3500
Cleveland D/ST+2800
Denver D/ST+2500

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Odds

PlayerOdds
Melvin Gordon+170
Jarvis Landry+230
Case Keenum+600
Teddy Bridgewater+700
Anthony Schwartz+550
Cleveland D/ST+550
Demetric Felton+160
Odell Beckham Jr.+175
Melvin Gordon+165
Noah Fant+270
Tim Patrick+260
D'Ernest Johnson+135
Courtland Sutton+160
Javonte Williams+185
Donovan Peoples-Jones+175
David Njoku+425
Austin Hooper+310

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

TNF Prop Bets: Yardage

Passing Yards Props

PlayerOVER/UNDER
Case Keenum220.5
Teddy Bridgewater235.5

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Rushing Yards Props

PlayerOVER/UNDER
D'Ernest Johnson59.5
Javonte Williams50.5
Melvin Gordon 39.5

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Receiving Yards Props

PlayerOVER/UNDER
Courtland Sutton69.5
Javonte Williams15.5
Melvin Gordon12.5
Noah Fant43.5
Tim Patrick45.5
Browns Rec. Props Not Yet UpN/A

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Game Props

Longest Touchdown Scored In The Game

OptionOdds
OVER 38.5 Yards-115
UNDER 38.5 Yards-115

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Will The Team That Scores First Win The Game?

OptionOdds
Yes-190
No+145

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

First Offensive Play Of The Game

OptionOdds
Run-165
Pass+125

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Will The Game Go To Overtime?

OptionOdds
Yes+800
No-2000

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

The First Turnover Of The Game Will Be

OptionOdds
Fumble+155
Interception-170
No Turnovers In The Game+900

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Team To Call The First Timeout Of The Game

TeamOdds
Broncos-120
Browns-120

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Team To Get The First Penalty Of The Game

TeamOdds
Browns-120
Broncos-120

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Score Props

First Score Of The Game - Exact Outcome

TeamOdds
Browns TD+185
Browns  FG+350
Broncos TD+220
Broncos FG+320

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Margin Of Victory

OutcomeOdds
Browns by 1-6 points+330
Browns by 7-12 points+500
Browns by 13-18 points+750
Browns by 19-24 points+1400
Browns by 25-30 points+1500
Browns by 31-36 points+4000
Browns by 37-42 points+6600
Browns by 43+ points+10000
Broncos by 1-6 points+350
Broncos by 7-12 points+550
Broncos by 13-18 points+900
Broncos by 19-24 points+1600
Broncos by 25-30 points+3000
Broncos by 31-36 points+5000
Broncos by 37-42 points+8000
Broncos by 43+ points+10000
Tie+5000

Odds as of October 14 at Bovada

First Score Method - Browns

OptionOdds
Field Goal+138
Touchdown-190
Any Other+5000

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

First Score Method - Broncos

OptionOdds
Field Goal+110
Touchdown-150
Any Other+5000

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

Odd/Even Total Points

OptionOdds
EVEN-105
ODD-125

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada

TNF Prop Bets: Field Goals

Total Successful Field Goals

OptionOdds
0+1800
1+500
2+300
3+260
4+350
5+550
6++700

Odds as of October 21 at Bovada


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How To Place A Thursday Night Football Prop Bet:

A prop bet, short for proposition bet, is a bet on any contest or match event that does not directly impact the final score. You can place a bet on a point spread, total or straight-up winner, but props are a good way to stay engaged regardless of the score. NFL prop bets and TNF props are also great ways to take advantage of your research or roster moves that may impact carries or targets on any given week.

You can place one of these many TNF prop bets at any of our recommended NFL betting sites. 

How To Read TNF Prop Bets:

Reading prop bet odds is just like reading any futures odds. If you were to look at fictional NFL First Touchdown Scorer odds for a Cowboys vs Buccaneers game, the odds would look like:

Amari Cooper +300
Tom Brady +450
Rob Gronkowski +700
CeeDee Lamb +1000

If you believe that Cooper is going to score the first TD from these TNF prop odds, and you wagered $40 on him, a winning bet would give you a payout of $160 – your original $40 is returned along with your prize of $120. To find out how much you would make for any bet, consult our Odds Calculator.