There are countless ways to bet on NFL games.
You can home in on props, bet on the moneylines and maybe even make some money on Gatorade shower colors and coin flips. One trend to consider if you’re trying to turn a profit is betting on first-quarter and first-half results.
To aid your bets, we’ve broken down the 2022 NFL betting trends into a first-quarter and first-half NFL betting report below.
If you’re looking for more tips for your NFL bets, check out our How to Bet on Football article or head over to our NFL Computer Picks page to see what underdogs our computer likes this week. To find the sportsbook that’s right for you, head over to our Sportsbook Review page.
NFL First-Quarter Betting Trends
|Betting Market||SU Record (Profit)||ATS Record (Profit)|
|Home Teams||64-51-36 (-$173.68)||79-72 (-$320.4)|
|Road Teams||51-64-36 (-$738.77)||72-79 (-$1485.5)|
|Underdogs||48-67-36 (-$406.26)||85-66 (-$163.99)|
|Favorites||67-48-36 (-$506.19)||66-85 (-$1641.91)|
That’s a whole lot of negative profits across the board in NFL first quarters this year. While home teams against the spread are almost in the green, it doesn’t appear that any one first-quarter trend is a “must-bet” at this point.
If we want to find a profitable edge in the first quarter, we have to narrow in on teams instead. The best first-quarter ATS records so far in 2022 belong to:
None of these teams are the obvious dominant squads in the NFL this season, but one interesting note is the success of the two AFC South squads, especially the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence and the Jags are just 3-7 straight up on the season and 3-7 against the spread, but they’ve somehow covered often in the first quarter.
The Jaguars rank 10th in the NFL in first-quarter points scored and fifth in first-quarter points allowed. The young squad may not know how to close out games, but they seem to have the start figured out.
You can utilize these first-quarter tips over at Bovada:
NFL First-Half Betting Trends
|Betting Market||SU Record (Profits)||ATS Record (Profit)|
|Home Teams||71-64-16 (-$481.5)||77-72-2 (-$265.38)|
|Road Teams||64-71-16 (+$443.94)||72-77-2 (-$1146.3)|
|Favorites||75-57-15 (-$1368.21)||70-76-1 (-$1214.84)|
|Underdogs||57-75-15 (+$1361.87)||76-70-1 (-$158.04)|
Unlike in the first quarter, we at least have some spots for profit in our first-half betting trends. Underdogs straight up have hit at a 43.2 percent clip and have been up 13 units in profit this year. This fits with the overall NFL underdog trends we’ve seen this season, with straight-up NFL underdogs being very profitable so far.
Likewise, betting on road teams to win first halves seems to have been profitable this year, bringing in over a 4-unit haul so far.
If you want to zero in on individual teams once again, we can look at the best ATS first-half records:
Beyond these top first-half spread teams, there are some other individual squads with first-half betting success to note, especially at home.
One interesting team has been the Baltimore Ravens, who haven’t been behind after a first half at home yet this season. While they’ve blown some games in the second half, the Ravens seem like a safe bet to win the first half straight up, especially at home. With a 3-0-1 first-half home record, they’ve brought in almost 2.5 units of profit.
Another great first-half home team has been the Buffalo Bills, who are 4-0 straight up and ATS in the first half at home.
You can bet on the Bills or Ravens and utilize these first-half tips over at Bovada:
First-Quarter & First-Half OVER/UNDER Trends
|Betting Market||OVER Record (Profits)|
|First Quarter||63-81-7 (-$2310.54)|
|First Half||71-72-8 (-$760.07)|
Betting on first-half or first-quarter OVERs hasn’t been profitable in 2022 either, but, as with the spreads and moneylines, there’s a few teams to focus on.
In the first quarter, the best OVER team in 2022 has been the Chicago Bears, hitting the first-quarter OVER in seven of 10 games for a profit of 3.2 units.
In the first half, the top team is the Eagles, hitting the OVER in eight of nine games for a 7.3-unit profit.