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NFL Expert Picks: Week 7 Best Bets

Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams are featured in our NFL expert picks for Week 7.

The roller-coaster ride that is betting on the NFL continues here at Odds Shark. After a down week in Week 4 and a fantastic Week 5, we came back down to earth a little bit in Week 6.

After going 4-0-1 in Week 5, we finished 2-3 in NFL expert picks in Week 6. Here’s a look at how we did:

 Chiefs (-6.5) at Washington

 Cardinals at Browns OVER 49.5

X Chargers (+3.5) at Ravens

X Texans (+9) at Colts

Seahawks at Steelers (-5) 

We were all over the Chiefs last week and they came through with a big multi-touchdown win over Washington in Week 6. Same goes for the Cardinals, who beat the Browns on the road 37-14 to hit the OVER by a couple of points.

On the other side, we’re not sure many people saw the Chargers losing by 28 points to Baltimore, but needless to say they failed to cover the number. The Texans couldn’t keep up with the Colts in that division game and the Steelers blew a 14-point lead before winning in overtime by a field goal. That’ll show us for betting on Ben Roethlisberger’s arm two weeks in a row.

Let’s look forward to Week 7 – we see plenty of value on the board early in the week. So check out our Week 7 NFL expert picks below as we try to find the best Sides and totals over at Bovada.

If you want to make some season-long bets, make sure to check out Odds Shark’s breakdown of all eight divisions, or see who we like in this year’s Super Bowl odds, MVP odds and every other major award. You can also see our NFL Computer Picks here.

NFL Best Bets Overall Record: 18-10-2

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Odds Shark’s NFL Expert Picks: Week 7

Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams (-15)

The Rams have beat up on bad teams this season. They won by 27 over the Giants on the road last week, beat the Bears by 20 in their opener and took down the Seahawks easily two weeks ago.

It’s clear that Matthew Stafford is growing more and more comfortable with his new team and it wouldn’t be surprising if the Rams keep rising up the Super Bowl odds ranks while Stafford garners more consideration in MVP odds.

Enter Week 7, where Stafford takes on his former team, the Lions, at home as a 15-point favorite. This is a prime smash spot with the revenge-game narrative in full swing.

The Rams are quite capable of covering this spread with one of the NFL’s most efficient offenses.

PICK: Rams -15

Carolina Panthers (-3) at New York Giants

This matchup is a prime bounce-back spot for the young Panthers defense. Daniel Jones and the Giants offense has had a ton of injury problems this season and will again be without Saquon Barkley while receivers Kenny Golladay, Kadarius Toney and Darius Slayton are all questionable.

We think the aggressive defense, which has allowed the third-fewest passing yards this season, should be able to shut down the Giants enough to get the road win.

On the other side of the ball, Sam Darnold has not played well but the Panthers have enough weapons in DJ Moore, Robby Anderson and Chuba Hubbard to get the job done and put up some points on a Giants D that has allowed the eighth-most passing yards and third-most passing touchdowns.

PICK: Panthers -3

Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans (+5.5)

It’s a dangerous time to bet against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs after they seemed to get on track by putting up 31 points on the Washington defense on the road last week. But we don’t necessarily think they will lose this game.

We just think the Titans have shown an ability to put up enough points and control the game with their rushing attack that it should be close.

KC has allowed a league-worst 6.7 yards per play this season, including the sixth-most rushing yards and seventh-most passing yards. The Chiefs have been notoriously bad against the run in recent years, letting teams take the less efficient yards while defending the pass. But that strategy sounds like a disaster waiting to happen against NFL rushing leader Derrick Henry.

Henry had 146 yards and three touchdowns against the Bills on Sunday night. We think he can do more of the same and keep the Titans within five points.

PICK: Titans +5.5

Washington Football Team at Green Bay Packers (-9.5)

We’re going right back to the well this week and betting against the league’s worst passing defense in Washington.

Last week, we thought it was a great spot for Mahomes and the former MVP put up 397 yards and two touchdowns with two interceptions in a 31-13 drubbing as a 6.5-point favorite.

While the Packers are laying three more points this week, we foresee a similar result with Aaron Rodgers and company getting that defense at home.

Washington has allowed the most passing yards and passing touchdowns and is giving up the seventh-most total yards per play. 

We think the Packers should be able to win by two touchdowns quite easily.  

PICK: Packers -9.5

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Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens OVER 47

Both of these offenses are capable of putting up lots of points. And although the Baltimore defense is known as a solid unit, teams have been able to pass on them quite efficiently this season.

The Ravens have allowed the seventh-most yards through the air and have given up the 12th-most yards per play.

Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense rank seventh in the league in adjusted net yards per pass attempt (a measure of an offense’s efficiency) and Burrow is fifth in the league in completion percentage. 

On the other side, we know what Lamar Jackson can do and are expecting him to get the ball into the end zone quite easily against the Bengals defense.

We like the OVER on this relatively low total.


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