It’s hard to say what I love most about the NFL Super Bowl. Is it the smell of beer and wings on a Sunday afternoon? Or maybe the silent anticipation of a Hail Mary?
I’d say it’s probably enjoying those final — and often best — minutes of football before the long offseason (but the wings are a close second).
If you’re reading this, you will likely be in the same place as me on Super Bowl Sunday — on a couch somewhere. So, why don’t we try to stuff a little bit of extra cash in those sweatpants and make that Sunday barbecue sauce taste a little bit sweeter.
Jump to Super Bowl 57 Picks:
Check out our Super Bowl NFL expert picks below as we try to find the best sides and totals for the final week of the playoffs. Make sure to shop around for the best line you can find.
If you want to make player prop bets or want to bet on anything from Super Bowl odds to NFL MVP odds to Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year odds, we’ve got you covered.
Here’s our picks for the big game:
2022-23 Regular-Season Record: 40-27-1
Playoff Record: 5-3
Odds Shark’s NFL Expert Picks: Super Bowl 57
Moneyline Pick: Chiefs +105
If we’re looking for moneyline value, it’s hard to pass up the Chiefs at this plus-money price. In the AFC championship game, the Chiefs were a playoff underdog for the first time since they drafted Patrick Mahomes, and look how that went.
These two teams are pretty similar on paper: elite offense, solid defense and some beat-up skill position players. The biggest differentiator is experience, both this season and on the roster in general. Many of these Chiefs have won a Super Bowl and just had to beat the Bengals in a dogfight to get to this title game. The Eagles, on the other hand, are pretty inexperienced at key positions and have had a pretty easy path to Arizona.
Alt Line Pick: Eagles -9.5 (+275)
When picking an alt-line wager, I thought about what the path to a blowout in this game would be. Sure, Mahomes could just dominate. But, more likely, I think a lopsided score would come if Mahomes and Travis Kelce’s injuries flare up and the Chiefs find themselves behind early.
The Eagles have been one of the best rushing teams in the NFL recently, and can put a chokehold on this game if they get up early and Kelce/Mahomes aren’t healthy enough to claw back into it.
The Eagles have won by 10 or more points eight times this year, including both playoff wins so far.
Point Total Pick: UNDER 51.0
On paper, this is a high-powered matchup between elite offenses. But in the playoffs and Super Bowl, it’s UNDERs that reign.
The UNDER has hit in three of the last five title games and a Super Bowl without the Patriots involved hasn’t gone over 51 total points since the Ravens beat the 49ers in 2013.
Both of these Super Bowl squads have been on UNDER hot streaks, too, with the Chiefs hitting UNDER in four of their last five games and Philly hitting it in five of the last six.
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