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Unders have been a great pick for primetime games for years, as our primetime betting report shows. This game looks like another good spot to take the under. Both teams have been averaging under 44.5 combined points, and the two teams went under that total when they faced off in Week 1.
Check out my full Falcons-Buccaneers TNF preview here.
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- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
- Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
- Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Tampa Bay.
- Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Tampa Bay.
- Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.
- Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
- Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games against Atlanta.
- Tampa Bay is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
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- Cleveland is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.
- Cleveland is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games.
- Cleveland is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
- Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
- Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games.
- Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games against Cleveland.
- Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference North division.
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- Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games.
- Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
- Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
- Arizona is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference South division.
- Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games.
- Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home.
- Houston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
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- LA Chargers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- LA Chargers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
- LA Chargers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.
- LA Chargers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Kansas City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games.
- Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games against LA Chargers.
- Kansas City is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers.
Back the Bengals ton pull off the divisional home underdog upset in Week 15. Cincinnati smoked Baltimore just two weeks ago, and with Lamar Jackson looking human over the past month (29th in EPA), I give the Bengals explosive offense the edge.
Burrow and Chase will continue to torch a vulnerable Ravens secondary in this one, leading to a hardfought home victory. Only Josh Allen's heroics and the cold of Highmark Stadium spoiled a Burrow masterclass last week, so expect Joey B to be dealing again on Sunday.
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- Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games.
- Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
- Baltimore is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
- Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games against Cincinnati.
- The total has gone OVER in 12 of Baltimore's last 16 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 12 games.
- Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games against Baltimore.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore.
- Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
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- NY Jets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Jets' last 20 games.
- NY Jets is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games.
- NY Jets is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games against Jacksonville.
- NY Jets is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Jacksonville.
- NY Jets is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road.
- Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games.
- Jacksonville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games against NY Jets.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 8 games at home.
- Jacksonville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
The Patriots have won three of their last five games against the Bills, and they've covered the spread in all five of them. A win Sunday would see New England improve to 2-0 against Buffalo this season, and the Patriots would also lock up the AFC East with a victory. Expect the Pats to rely on Drake Maye and TreVeyon Henderson to make plays.
Check out my full Bills vs Patriots preview here.
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- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games.
- Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
- Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against New England.
- Buffalo is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against New England.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road.
- Buffalo is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New England.
- New England is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games.
- New England is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games against Buffalo.
- New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- New England is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Buffalo.
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- Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
- Washington is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Giants.
- Washington is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Giants' last 8 games.
- NY Giants is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 6 games against Washington.
- NY Giants is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants' last 8 games when playing at home against Washington.
- NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
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- Las Vegas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Las Vegas' last 6 games.
- Las Vegas is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
- Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against Philadelphia.
- Las Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
- Las Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games.
- Philadelphia is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Las Vegas.
- Philadelphia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home.
- Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
The Lions have had the Rams' number in their last two matchups, and I expect that to continue. Detroit hasn't lost an indoor road game since 2023, and the Lions' top-ranked scoring offense plays excellently when inside.
Check out my full Lions vs Rams preview here.
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- Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games.
- Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
- Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games on the road.
- Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Rams.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- LA Rams is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games.
- LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams' last 6 games against Detroit.
- LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home.
- LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams' last 9 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
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- Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Indianapolis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
- Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.
- Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indianapolis' last 14 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference West division.
- Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games.
- Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games against Indianapolis.
- Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
- Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis.
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- Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games.
- Tennessee is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games.
- Tennessee is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games against San Francisco.
- Tennessee is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against San Francisco.
- Tennessee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
- San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Tennessee.
- San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
- San Francisco is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee.
- San Francisco is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Sean Payton's squad have won 10 straight contests overall and 11 straight at home while outscoring opponents by 15.5 points per game.
Denver has the offensive line talent to curtail Green Bay's pass-rush, and the defense to slow down Jordan Love during Toyotathon.
Strange gridiron occurrences follow the Packers to Denver, where they are just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS since 1984.
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- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games.
- Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Denver.
- Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Denver.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver.
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games.
- Denver is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games against Green Bay.
- Denver is 11-0 SU in its last 11 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay.
- Denver is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
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- Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 13 of Carolina's last 20 games.
- Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
- Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against New Orleans.
- Carolina is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans' last 9 games.
- New Orleans is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans' last 10 games against Carolina.
- New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans' last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
Across the past five weeks, Minnesota is an even worse 30th in EPA, with just a 37% dropback success rate. Led by JJ McCarthy, the Vikings offense is one of the worst units in the NFL.
Dallas' top-10 pass-rush (since the Quinnen Williams trade) can get home against a weak Vikings offensive front and force McCarthy into mistakes. From there, the Cowboys top-five offense can take over and make Minnesota pay.
Check out my Vikings vs Cowboys betting preview for more!
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- Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games.
- Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- Minnesota is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games against Dallas.
- Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against Dallas.
- Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas' last 13 games against Minnesota.
- Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
- Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
- The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas' last 15 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
- Dallas is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference North division.
I'm on the Steelers to pull out the win as home favorites, where they're 4-1 both SU & ATS as favorites of three or more.
Aaron Rodgers is coming off his best game as a Steelers, and Pittsburgh's ferocious pass-rush will force Tua Tagovailoa into mistakes. Especially with top threat De'Von Achane banged up.
Pittsburgh needs to win this game to keep pace in the AFC north, and I like TJ Watt and company to win the line of scrimmage against a Dolphins offensive line that's 25th in pass-block win rate.
Check out my Dolphins vs Steelers preview for more!
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- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.
- Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
- Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Pittsburgh.
- Miami is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against Pittsburgh.
- Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against Miami.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home.
- Pittsburgh is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Miami.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
- Pittsburgh is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
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More NFL Picks
For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.
The table above (below the game picks) tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections (based on $100 unit size). We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.
How to Use NFL Computer Picks
The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call "tailing the computer." But, there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.
You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks (which can be found above the selections for some matchups), recent NFL betting trends, and more.
As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.
Or, if you want to implement a system (betting only on underdogs, for example) you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.
We've got these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:
Odds Shark's Free Computer Picks
Moneyline
NFL moneyline moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.
For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.
We've got a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.
Spread
While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.
To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.
There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.
You can read more about NFL spreads here.
Totals (Over/Under)
If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.
As opposed to taking a side, in total or over/under betting you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (over) or less than (under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.
The computer picks and your handicapping of totals are more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.
More NFL Picks & Betting Tools
Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. We've got dedicated an NFL trends page, power rankings, and an NFL database for you to gauge the talent and value of each team. We've also got updated NFL scores and NFL prop picks on our NFL hub each week.
If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

