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Australian Open Futures

Tennis season is upon us! The fast hard courts Down Under will be on full display at the Australian Open, which is set to commence on Monday. The first major of the year will have some familiar faces at the top of the oddsboard but there is great value outside of the usual suspects who have dominated the tennis scene for the last 15 years.

MEN’S DRAW

Since 2010, there have been only three winners of this tournament for the men’s side. And Novak “The Joker” Djokovic has taken five of the last seven. But surprisingly, on Bovada he is not listed as the favorite to lift his sixth Norman Brookes Challenge Cup. At +450, he is third behind reigning champion Roger Federer at +185 and Rafael Nadal at +400. Djokovic hasn’t played a competitive match since the quarterfinals in Wimbledon and has been on the mend with an elbow injury since.

Other players who could be a factor and provide great value are Nick Kyrgios at +1600 and Stan Wawrinka at +2200. Kyrgios will be the home favorite and the Aussie claimed his fourth ATP title at the Brisbane International this past week. However, he has boom-or-bust potential with his volatility that could either carry him to the final or see him bounced in the first round.

Wawrinka won this tournament in 2014 and made the semifinals in 2017 before a five-set loss to Federer. This will be his first action back to the court after a knee injury ended his 2017 season.

Here are the odds for the entire field:

Australian Open Futures: Men’s

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Roger Federer +185
  • Rafael Nadal +400
  • Novak Djokovic +450
  • Alexander Zverev +900
  • Grigor Dimitrov +900
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +1400
  • Nick Kyrgios +1600
  • David Goffin +1800
  • Stan Wawrinka +2200
  • Dominic Thiem +2200
  • Milos Raonic +2800
  • Marin Cilic +3300
  • Jack Sock +5000
  • Kevin Anderson +5000
  • Denis Shapovalov +5000
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +8000
  • Tomas Berdych +8000
  • Gael Monfils +8000
  • Andrey Rublev +8000
  • Lucas Pouille +10000
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut +10000
  • Sam Querrey +12500
  • Richard Gasquet +12500
  • John Isner +15000
  • Pablo Carreno Busta +15000
  • Diego Schwartzman +20000
  • Steve Johnson +20000
  • Bernard Tomic +20000
  • Kyle Edmund +20000
  • David Ferrer +25000
  • Hyeon Chung +25000
  • Gilles Muller +25000
  • Borna Coric +25000
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis +25000
  • Feliciano Lopez +30000
  • Fabio Fognini +30000
  • Philipp Kohlschreiber +30000
  • Pablo Cuevas +30000
  • Mischa Zverev +30000
  • Ivo Karlovic +30000
  • Fernando Verdasco +30000
  • Adrian Mannarino +40000
  • Gilles Simon +50000
  • Benoit Paire +50000
  • Donald Young +50000

WOMEN’S DRAW

It’s a wide-open field on the women’s side with no Serena Williams in the fold. The G.O.A.T. says she isn’t ready to compete yet after giving birth to her daughter four months ago. For now, we will focus on the up-and-comers and Garbine Muguruza leads the pack. The Spaniard made it to the quarterfinals at last year’s Aussie Open and while she is the betting favorite, it would be hard to feel great about investing in a player who has only won two majors in the last two seasons.

Another player who will be popular among the betting public will be Maria Sharapova at +800 and I think you should avoid her completely. The Russian hasn’t won a major since 2014 (French Open) and after coming off a suspension for performance enhancers, her best days are behind her.

The two players who could pay dividends are Angelique Kerber and Sloane Stephens. Kerber, listed at +1200, defeated Williams in the Aussie Open final in 2016 and also took the U.S. Open in the same season. But she had a rough 2017 where her best finish was in the fourth round of Wimbledon and the Aussie Open.

Stephens, on the other hand, had arguably the best year of her career in 2017, winning the U.S. Open after a long layoff from knee surgery. At +2200, you could do worst things with your $$.

Here are the odds listed on Bovada:

Australian Open Futures: Women’s

Odds as of January 10 at Bovada

  • Garbine Muguruza +600
  • Karolina Pliskova +700
  • Maria Sharapova +800
  • Simona Halep +900
  • Elina Svitolina +900
  • Caroline Wozniacki +1000
  • Angelique Kerber +1200
  • Johanna Konta +1600
  • Petra Kvitova +1600
  • Victoria Azarenka +1800
  • Madison Keys +1800
  • CoCo Vandeweghe +2000
  • Julia Goerges +2000
  • Sloane Stephens +2200
  • Jelena Ostapenko +2200
  • Venus Williams +2200
  • Carolina Garcia +2500
  • Ashleigh Barty +2800
  • Belinda Bencic +3300
  • Dominika Cibulkova +4000
  • Kaia Kanepi +5000
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +6600
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +6600
  • Daria Kasatkina +6600
  • Ekaterina Makarova +6600
  • Aryna Sabalenka +6600
  • Natalia Vikhlyantseva +6600
  • Magdalena Rybarikova +6600
  • Daria Gavrilova +8000
  • Lucie Safarova +8000
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +8000
  • Ana Konjuh +10000
  • Yulia Putintseva +10000
  • Kristina Mladenovic +10000
  • Timea Bacsinszky +12500
  • Eugenie Bouchard +12500
  • Kiki Bertens +12500
  • Marketa Vondrousova +12500
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +15000
  • Heather Watson +15000
  • Barbora Strycova +15000
  • Monica Puig +15000
  • Sabine Lisicki +15000
  • Shuai Zhang +15000
  • Sam Stosur +15000
  • Elena Vesnina +15000
  • Camila Giorgi +15000
  • Mirjana Lucic-Baroni +20000
  • Lesia Tsurenko +20000
  • Alize Cornet +20000
  • Sorana Cirstea +20000
  • Aleksandra Krunic +20000
  • Donna Vekic +20000
  • Jelena Jankovic +20000
  • Roberta Vinci +25000
  • Andrea Petkovic +25000
  • Laura Siegemund +25000
  • Sara Errani +25000
  • Timea Babos +25000
  • Irina-Camelia Begu +25000
  • Laura Robson +25000
  • Jaimee Fourlis +30000
  • Christina McHale +30000
  • Alison Van Uytvanck +50000
  • Kirsten Flipkens +50000
  • Zarina Diyas +50000

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