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2021 Australian Open Odds & Best Bets

The first Grand Slam tennis event of 2021 is finally here and we have Australian Open odds! After being pushed back from its original January date, and after mandating the players into a two-week quarantine, the event is underway at last.

One noticeable difference is the presence of fans in the stands. The world is still battling a pandemic, but the Australian Open is allowing a 25 percent seating capacity at the three main courts with the hopes that it will reach 75 percent by the final. Why does this matter? This will help normalize play and we can expect the world’s best players will return to their top form once again.

Last year, we saw underdogs in the Australian Open tennis odds cashing and that was partially because the lack of a crowd environment benefited those who were used to not playing without a crowd. Pressure was off, nerves were gone, and that assisted with leveling out the playing field.

Who are the ATP Australian Open Betting Favorites? 

ATP – men’s 2021 Australian Open Betting Odds
PlayerOdds
Novak Djokovic+110
Daniil Medvedev+375
Dominic Thiem+600
Rafael Nadal+700
Stefanos Tsitsipas+1400
Alexander Zverev+1600
Andrey Rublev+2200
Alex De Minaur+4000
Nick Kyrgios+4000
Denis Shapovalov+5000
Matteo Berrettini+8000
Milos Raonic+8000
Stan Wawrinka+8000
Diego Schwartzman+10000
Felix Auger-Aliassimi+10000
Grigor Dimitrov+10000
Borna Coric+12500
Karen Kachanov+15000
Pablo Carreno-Busta+15000
Fabio Fognini+25000
Filip Krajinovic+25000
Taylor Fritz+25000
Lorenzo Sonego+30000
Tommy Paul+30000
Adrian Mannarino+40000

Odds as of February 9 at BetOnline

The Surface

The Australian Open hardcourt is a medium-fast surface. During the hottest times of the day, it offers the opportunity for a higher bounce, which can benefit heavy topspin play. During the evenings, the ball can skid through the court a bit more, which is great for slicing and flat styles of play.

Australian Open Odds: Top Half of the Draw

This side of the draw offers the most drama. Typically, we see Dominic Thiem and Novak Djokovic on opposite ends, just like at the 2020 Australian Open when the two met in the final. This year, however, they are on the same side and have the potential to meet in the semifinal. Djokovic is eyeing his ninth Australian Open title, while Thiem is eyeing his second straight major title on a hardcourt after winning the 2020 U.S. Open.

Djokovic has a tough draw compared to years past. Along with Thiem, Djokovic has Taylor Fritz, Alexander Zverev, Milos Raonic and Stan “Stanimal” Wawrinka. The bad news for him, he’ll face some pretty big servers. The good news for him, he’s the best returner in the world. For that reason, I still like him getting into his quarter. It’s likely Djokovic will face Raonic in the fourth round and Novak owns his soul with an 11-0 head-to-head record.

No worries if Novak faces Zverev because Alexander has a history of double-faulting. He’s six-foot-six and that sort of thing just shouldn’t be an issue. He lacks the mental strength to defeat someone as strong as Novak and for that reason I feel pretty confident Novak will get through just fine.

Second Quarterfinal Preview

In the second quarter, Thiem is looking to take the reins. However, one player to not discount is Felix Auger-Aliassime. He has the ability to reach the fourth round to potentially face Diego Schwartzman, which would be a good, hard-fought match for both. This quarter could be Thiem vs Schwartzman or Thiem vs Auger-Aliassime. Thiem is no slam dunk as he has not been playing his best tennis of late. However, if he makes the quarters, it is because he has built rhythm and should come out with a win.

This will be a tough semifinal for Novak if he does face Thiem. I’d expect a repeat of last year’s five-set thriller. What’s unfortunate for Novak in this spot is that if it does go a full five sets, he’ll be somewhat gassed for a probable Daniil Medvedev finals match. Not to mention if Thiem somehow made it through to the final, he’d also be served up to a fresh opponent in facing Medvedev.

Australian Open Best Bets

Novak Djokovic (-140) to reach the final

Novak Djokovic (+110) to win

Australian Open Odds: Bottom Half of the Draw

Daniil Medvedev is the beneficiary of a friendly draw, and could be a nice play in the Australian Open betting odds. He’s not only on a 15-match win streak, but also enters the Australian Open having won the 2020 Paris Masters and the 2020 ATP Cup.

The third quarter looks teed up to be a Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev faceoff. I don’t see much getting in the way of either player making it to the quarters. If that is the case, the last time these two met, Medvedev beat Rublev in straight sets in the quarters at last year’s U.S. Open, pushing his head-to-head win streak to four wins.

Australian Open Fourth Quarterfinal Preview

The fourth quarter is a bit of a tricky one. You have Alex de Minaur, Karen Khachanov, Mateo Berrettini and 17-year-old qualifier Carlos Alcaraz Garfia, who recently smashed David Goffin into pieces. I can’t see Stefanos Tsitsipas not getting to the quarter. He’s one of the best servers in this part of the draw and has a return game to contend.

Rafael Nadal is also likely to get to the quarter, but he does have a potential back issue that could slow him down. He entered this tournament with back soreness. As a baseliner who previously had knee problems, and puts more miles on the court than anyone in the sport, a not 100 percent Nadal is not someone I want to risk money on. At this point, Nadal is a watch and see what happens player.

Australian Open Best Bets

Daniil Medvedev (+150) to reach the final

Daniil Medvedev (+375) to win

Predicting the Final

I am predicting we will see a matchup between two villains: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev. Medvedev is a taller version of Novak who also has the mindset of Novak. He plays with a chip on his shoulder and when the audience is against him, he feeds off that environment, just like Novak.

If Djokovic does face Thiem in the earlier round, this has the potential to go a full five sets after two weeks of tennis, giving Medvedev the fresher legs to contend in the final.

What’s also to Medvedev’s benefit, he just showed at the ATP finals that he is ready to take on and beat the top players in the world. He conquered some mental demons and beat both Djokovic and Thiem to win the event late last year.

You’ve got to believe that Medvedev +375 in the Australian Open tennis odds to win is live here.

Women’s Australian Open Odds

Women’s tennis is tough. Pull a name from the hat and you might have better luck at predicting a winner that way. Things are a lot less clear-cut, with a different champ crowned in each of the last five Aussie Open tournaments.

In 2020, Naomi Osaka was the incumbent champion, but she lost to Coco Gauff in the third round. Instead, it was Sofia Kenin who won her first Grand Slam title, defeating Garbine Muguruza in the final.

Online betting sites have Osaka as the favorite at +700 with Ashleigh Barty and Serena Williams rounding out the top three, both listed at +800.

Who are the WTA Australian Open Betting Favorites?

WTA – Women’s 2021 Australian Open Betting Odds
PlayerOdds
Naomi Osaka+600
Ashleigh Barty+800
Serena Williams+800
Aryna Sabalenka+900
Simona Halep+1000
Sofia Kenin+1000
Iga Swiatek+1000
Bianca Andreescu+1200
Garbine Muguruza+1200
Victoria Azarenka+1400
Karolina Pliskova+1600
Petra Kvitova+1600
Elina Svitolina+1600
Coco Gauff+2000
Belinda Bencic+2000
Madison Keys+2000
Jennifer Brady+2500
Dayana Yastremska+3300
Elena Rybakina+3300
Amanda Anisimova+3300
Angelique Kerber+3300
Donna Vekic+3300
Elise Mertens+4000
Marketa Vondrousova+5000
Sloane Stephens+5000
Johanna Konta+5000
Maria Sakkari+5000
Danielle Collins+5000
Jelena Ostapenko+6600
Ekaterina Alexandrova+6600
Petra Martic+6600
Anastasia Potapova+8000
Caty McNally+10000
Alison Riske+10000
Qiang Wang+10000
Anna Blinkova+10000
Daria Kasatkina+10000
Anastasija Sevastova+10000
Clara Tauson+10000
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova+15000

Odds as of February 9 at BetOnline

Serena Williams Still in Search of 24th Grand Slam

Serena Williams last won the Australian Open in 2017, defeating sister Venus in straight sets in the final. Williams holds seven Aussie Open crowns and 13 Grand Slam singles titles on hardcourt but had an early exit last year, losing in the third round. Currently 11th in the WTA rankings, Serena played a light schedule in 2019, participating in only eight tournaments – including the Australian Open, where she was eliminated in the quarterfinals.

She had an even lighter schedule in 2020, playing just five tournaments, but she did snag a win in Auckland and made it to the semifinals at the U.S. Open. As time progresses, she looks to be getting closer to full form.

Can Osaka Win Another Title?

Fan favorite Naomi Osaka (+700) will be looking to repeat her 2019 Aussie Open success. She returned to practice in early December after not playing the remainder of the year due to a back injury following her win at the 2020 U.S. Open. Posted to Instagram, she was pictured training with Tommy Haas, whom she was working with prior to her U.S. Open victory.

Dark Horse: Andreescu Back in Action and Looking to Continue Her Ascent

Bianca Andreescu (+1200) only turned pro in 2017 but she’s seen some massive success. In 2019, she rose to fifth in the world rankings, winning three WTA titles, including Indian Wells and the U.S. Open, defeating Serena Williams. At +1200 (pre-draw) in the Australian Open odds, Andreescu possesses the qualities to come out of the Australian Open a winner. The only trouble area is her health. Andreescu missed some time in 2019 and did not play a single match in 2020 due to a lingering knee injury in combination with the pandemic. However, she was seen training in Dubai in advance of the Australian Open.

A full breakdown and prediction will be provided once the draw is released closer to the event.

How to Bet on the Australian Open

Understanding how to read Australian Open tennis odds is crucial in making smart picks. The best part is, you don’t need to be Steffi Graf in order to comprehend Australian Open betting odds. Our tennis online gambling guide details how the sport is scored, so you can smash all of your men’s and women’s tennis wagers.