NFL Survivor Pool Picks 2025 Week 14

As we head into Week 15 of the NFL season, things are starting to get interesting in NFL Survivor Pools. If you're still alive, you're starting to dream of the finish line and hopefully a nice bag of cash that comes with it.

NFL Survivor Pool Week 15 Options

Below are the teams most likely to win in Week 15 based on moneylines from FanDuel converted with our Odds Calculator.

Seahawks -1200 vs Colts (92.31% win probability)
Jaguars -1000 vs Jets (90.91%)
49ers -1000 vs Titans (90.91%)
Eagles -950 vs Raiders (90.48%)

Week 15 NFL Survivor Pool: The Pick

Bears vs Browns

I was originally leaning toward the Jaguars or 49ers, but I want to save them for the next few weeks. The 49ers get the Daniel Jones-less Colts next week, and the Jaguars get the same Colts the following week. Instead, I'll take the Bears (-420, 80.77% win probability), who host the Browns this week.

The Bears are 4-0 SU (and 3-1 ATS) in their last four home games, according to the Odds Shark NFL database. Their lone home loss of the season came in Week 1 against the Vikings. Chicago is 9-3 since, only losing to the Lions, Ravens, and Packers.

The Browns have looked a bit better with Shedeur Sanders starting at quarterback, but they still have a long way to go. Cleveland lost to the Titans just last week, granting Tennessee its second win of the campaign. The Browns' only wins on the season have come against the Packers, Dolphins, and Raiders. The Green Bay game was all the way back in Week 3 with Joe Flacco at quarterback for the Browns in a low-scoring 13-10 game.

Check out the table below, where we will keep track of the teams as we pick them. We will mark picks we got wrong with an X, picks we got right with a ✔ and a pending pick with an O.

2025 NFL Survivor Pool Picks

2025 NFL Survivor Pool Picks
Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Bills										X
Buccaneers
Chiefs			✔
Packers						✔
Rams									✔
Chargers													✔
49ers
Broncos														✔
Cowboys		✔
Ravens											✔
Bengals
Eagles	✔
Colts								✔
Vikings
Raiders
Cardinals					X
Browns
Titans
Dolphins
Saints
Patriots							✔
Commanders
Steelers
Jets
Jaguars
Panthers
Lions				✔
Giants
Seahawks												✔
Bears															O
Falcons
Texans

General NFL Survivor Pool Strategy

This short video from THE HUDDLE is a great primer for those wanting to learn more about survivor pools and get a leg up on their competition.

Know Your Pool’s rules

It’s important to know the rules of your pool before you make any selections. Don’t be the person scrambling to see how your pool handles ties while the team you selected is in the middle of an overtime thriller.

Every pool is different — Chris from accounting or whoever set up your pool might have a couple of weird rules thrown in that you need to know. Some pools allow buybacks after a loss (most don’t) and some go through the playoffs while others end after the regular season. Some survivor pools use point spreads, while most others just require a win to advance. Some larger pools consider holidays like Thanksgiving and Christmas a separate week. Survivor pools require strategy, so don’t start strategizing until you fully understand your pool’s rules.

Size Matters

The size of your pool should impact your strategy. Small pools with just a few friends don’t typically last as long, so a more conservative approach is often best. But if you’re in a huge office pool or large online pool, you need to take more chances and be thinking long-term if you want to win it all.

Zig while they zag

You don’t want to be on the most popular team each week. If an upset of the team everyone is picking occurs, you want to be away from the carnage and root for a different team. Sure, that often means taking on a little more risk and passing up a heavy favorite for a more moderate one, but this is the correct mindset to win your survivor pool. A lot of public survivor pool websites publish the selection percentages each week, so this can give you a rough idea of how people in your pool might be picking.

Conserve Good Teams

This is especially relevant when in a larger pool. It can be tempting to burn through a few of the best teams early in the season “just to survive,” but you will be looking at the list of teams available to you in Week 14 and sweating it out when you have to pick between the Bears and Titans to win a game. If you can make it through the first part of the year without burning some of the top teams, the payoff could be huge when you’ve got some big guns left in December.

Pick on bad teams

While you can’t select a team more than once, there’s nothing stopping you from picking on a bad team over and over. Of course, each team has a bye week and plays three division opponents twice, so you can’t fade the same team all 18 weeks, but picking average teams to beat really bad teams is often a great strategy. This season, teams like the Patriots, Broncos, Raiders, and Panthers might be the teams to target.

Create a road map, but be flexible

Before the season starts, look at the entire NFL schedule with the help of a grid, like the one found at Survivorgrid.com. A grid helps you stay ahead of things and map out a path to the finish line. Toying around with different paths will help you see which weeks are slim pickings and which teams have strong future value and might be worth saving for later.

While creating a path is useful, it’s important to be flexible when things like injuries or coaching changes happen. A team you thought would be terrible might get hot (like the Texans last season) and cause you to rethink your entire plan. Likewise, a team people expected to perform well might lose their starting QB in Week 1 (like the Jets last season) and force you to pull that team off your board.

Utilize multiple entries

If your pool allows multiple entries, that opens the door for even more strategies to consider. For instance, if you have two entries left during the final week, you could select two teams playing in the same game and essentially guarantee (unless there’s a tie) that one of your entries crosses the finish line. Toward the end of a pool, multiple entries can be thought of as chips at a poker table where the chip leader has an advantage because they have more entries and can take more risks without the fear of losing it all.

Identify landmines

There’s always a small handful of NFL games each season when a double-digit underdog wins and leaves survivor pool players speechless. Last season, the Arizona Cardinals' upset of the Dallas Cowboys in Week 3 is a prime example. If you can avoid these massive upsets, you’ll be in good shape. Make a list of games that you think others in your pool will be attracted to that you want to avoid because you see upset potential.

Beware of bad weather

A sloppy field can sometimes be the great equalizer between a good team and a bad team. For instance, in 2022, the San Francisco 49ers finished 13-4 and the Chicago Bears finished 4-13. However, when the teams met in Week 1, the Bears were victorious thanks in part to the sloppy field conditions at Soldier Field.

Think twice before selecting a big favorite in whacky weather conditions.

What is an NFL survivor pool?

In most NFL survivor pools, you pick one team each week to win their game that week. If the team you picked wins, you move on to the next week. If your team loses, you are out. You can not pick a team more than once, and the last person still in the pool wins.

NFL Survivor Pool Picks 2025 Week 15: Ride With Bears Over Browns