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2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award Odds

A wild 2021 NFL Draft has come and gone, and now a fresh crop of rookies are set to hit the ground running in their debut NFL seasons. When it comes to odds on which fresh-faced player will post the best campaign, oddsmakers are united in crowning the No. 1 pick as the undisputed front-runner.

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Trevor Lawrence is the +275 favorite in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds at ​Bovada, with Justin Fields (+575), Trey Lance (+650), Najee Harris (+700), Zach Wilson (+750), Kyle Pitts (+1000), Ja’Marr Chase (+1200), Mac Jones (+1200), DeVonta Smith (+1600) and Jaylen Waddle (+2000) rounding out the top 10.

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Here’s a look at the players with the best odds to win the 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. The implied odds section is courtesy of our Odds Calculator.

Who is Favored to Win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award?

2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
PlayerOddsImplied Odds
Trevor Lawrence+27526.67 percent
Justin Fields+57514.81 percent
Trey Lance+65013.33 percent
Najee Harris+70012.50 percent
Zach Wilson+75011.76 percent
Kyle Pitts+10009.09 percent
Ja’Marr Chase+12007.69 percent
Mac Jones+12007.69 percent
DeVonta Smith+16005.88 percent
Jaylen Waddle+20004.76 percent
Javonte Williams+22004.35 percent
Trey Sermon+22004.35 percent
Travis Etienne+25003.85 percent
Rashod Bateman+50001.96 percent
Elijah Moore+55001.79 percent
Kadarius Toney+66001.49 percent
Michael Carter+66001.49 percent
Rondale Moore+66001.49 percent
Terrace Marshall Jr.+66001.49 percent

Odds as of July 12 at Bovada

Lawrence Deserves to Be the Favorite

Lawrence is Jacksonville-bound, but these aren’t the same old Jaguars. Former standout college coach Urban Meyer is in town, and the Jaguars suddenly have an extremely bright future with Lawrence at the helm.

Lawrence is as close to a sure-thing quarterback prospect as we’ve seen in the NFL in quite some time, and he’s the locked-in Day 1 starter for the Jaguars under center. 

The 21-year-old had a remarkable record of 86-4 across seven years in high school and college. Lawrence’s sparkling numbers at Clemson speak for themselves, as the QB threw for 90 touchdowns and 10,098 yards in his three years with the Tigers, tossing only 17 interceptions in the process.

At +275 in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, there’s significant value in betting Lawrence before the season begins. If he starts to light it up in the first few weeks of the season, expect that number to continue dipping into the minuses.

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Where’s the Value in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds?

Kyle Pitts

If you’re looking for long-shot value in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, consider Pitts at +1000. The Atlanta Falcons simply couldn’t pass up on the former Florida tight end at No. 4, and it’s a perfect offensive fit for him.

Pitts became the highest-selected tight end in NFL history in the process. The 2020 John Mackey Award winner and College Football All-America Team player is more of a hybrid wide receiver than a tight end. With veteran QB Matt Ryan throwing to him, Pitts’ ceiling is uncapped. 

Considering no tight end has ever been named the Offensive Rookie of the Year, this is a bit of a gutsy bet. But Pitts has the potential to be one of the all-time greats at the position, and he’s likely going to be featured in the Falcons offense from the get-go.

For that reason alone, he’s undervalued in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds at +1000.

Trey Lance

Bettors can also consider San Francisco 49ers quarterback Trey Lance in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. Sitting in the third spot on the list at +650, there is plenty of value in betting on the rookie QB in the best situation to succeed early in his career.

While the other first-round QBs landed on teams with serious question marks across their respective rosters (Jaguars, Jets) and with existing competition at the position (Bears), Lance landed on a roster worthy of Super Bowl contention. 

The 49ers were, in fact, in the Super Bowl just two seasons ago and squeaked out six wins last year in a season filled with major injuries to most of the team’s best players as well as its starting quarterback. 

Lance is a raw prospect without much experience even playing quarterback, let alone playing against top-level competition. But his rare blend of arm talent and athleticism should give him a chance to be an exciting playmaker at the next level with a head coach known as one of the top play callers in the league.

The knock on Lance in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds is that he is technically the second-string QB on the Niners depth chart. But incumbent Jimmy Garoppolo has struggled both on the field and with injuries in recent seasons, and if Lance can get into the lineup early, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him put up numbers – and wins – on one of the top rosters in the NFL. That would surely propel his odds into the minuses.

How to Bet NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds

At any football betting sites, you’ll see offensive rookie prop odds laid out like this:

Trevor Lawrence +300

Justin Fields +600

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered dogs. If you think Lawrence is the way to go, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $400 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $300. Conversely, if you believe Fields is going to step up for the Bears, that same $100 would give you $700 – your $100 is returned coupled with the $600 you’d win.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and the odds offered.

If you’re going to bet on underdogs, make sure to do your research – or at least bookmark this page and let our NFL experts do the work for you. There’s a reason that a player’s odds are a certain way. They’ve succumbed to injury, their production is slowing down, they’ve been traded and are having a hard time jelling with their new team – these are some of the many factors that will hinder a player in winning Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY).

What is a Prop Bet on NFL Offensive Rookies?

To wager on something like the OROY, you would be making a prop bet. This is a bet based on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific milestones that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a certain matchup.

For instance, a contender for this award could play on a mediocre squad yet still be in the running due to his on-field prowess. It wouldn’t matter if his team wins football games or not, as long as he’s racking up yards and catches.