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NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds: Chase Pulling Ahead

Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase sits atop the board in latest Offensive Rookie of The Year odds.

A fresh crop of rookies have hit the ground running in their debut seasons in the NFL. When it comes to odds on which fresh-faced player will post the best season, oddsmakers have identified a clear front-runner at the top of the list.

Trevor Lawrence, the No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, opened as the +275 favorite in NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, but his odds have grown to +800 at BetOnline Sportsbook.

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase now sits atop the rookie oddsboard at +175. Chase is followed by Mac Jones (+425), Najee Harris (+550), Trevor Lawrence (+800), and Justin Fields (+1200) to round out the top five.

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Here’s a look at the players with the best odds to win the 2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. The implied odds section is courtesy of our Odds Calculator.

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Chase Leads NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

2021 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
PlayerOddsImplied Probability To Win
Ja’Marr Chase+17536.36 percent
Mac Jones+42519.05 percent
Najee Harris+55015.38 percent
Trevor Lawrence+80011.11 percent
Justin Fields+12007.69 percent
Trey Lance+12007.69 percent
Jaylen Waddle+16005.88 percent
Kyle Pitts+16005.88 percent
Zach Wilson+28003.45 percent
DeVonta Smith+28003.45 percent
Rondale Moore+40002.44 percent
Javonte Williams+50001.96 percent
Kadarius Toney+50001.96 percent
Michael Carter+50001.96 percent
Davis Mills+66001.49 percent

Odds as of October 20 at BetOnline Sportsbook

Offensive Rookie of The Year: The Favorites

Ja’Marr Chase (+175)

In the preseason, people had only negative things to say about Ja’Marr Chase. Well, it is safe to say those people were absolutely wrong. Chase has had easily the most impressive first six weeks of any rookie.

Being a rookie is tough in the NFL, but he has made it look easy. Six games into his career, Chase has found the end zone five times, sitting tied for second in the NFL in that category. Not only is he finding the end zone, but he is also putting up great yardage totals as well, exceeding the 100-yard receiving mark twice already this season.

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Chase and Bengals QB Joe Burrow have shown that their incredible college connection can be carried over to the NFL level. Chase has shown week in and week out what he is capable of. I have been saying it for weeks now, but he should have had the solo lead weeks ago. You can still get him at plus odds, but the value has certainly decreased.

Mac Jones (+425)

Mac Jones looks like a solid, reliable quarterback week in and week out. There is nothing flashy about his game, but he doesn’t make many mistakes and he seems to make the right play more times than not.

In his third start, against the Saints, Jones struggled mightily, completing 30 of 51 passes for 270 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions. But in the biggest game of his young career and his first prime-time start, he was outstanding, completing 31 of 40 passes for 275 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He went toe to toe with Tom Brady and was a kick away from beating the GOAT.

This past week, Jones & the Patriots went toe to toe with a very good Dallas Cowboys team but fell just short in overtime. I think Jones is a clear second choice for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Jones has been solid as a rock, but Chase continues to put up big numbers weekly.

Where’s The Value In NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds?

Najee Harris (+550)

I have been making a case for Harris making a run at the award, and the odds are finally starting to drop. Harris continues to be a focal point of this Steelers offence, which is why he remains in the hunt.

He showed flashes of greatness in Week 3 against the Bengals, totaling 142 yards, with most of that production coming through the air as he caught 14 passes on 19 targets for 102 yards. Harris got 33 total touches in the game as he begins to build a reputation as a workhorse back.

In a Week 4 loss to the Packers, he got the ball 21 times for a total of 91 yards. Last week, in a win against the Broncos, Harris showed what he is capable of, topping 100 yards on the ground for the first time in his career.

This past week, Harris had 30 touches once again and exceeded the 100-yards mark for the third time this season. Not only is Harris getting touches on the ground, but he has been getting tons of targets in the passing game.

The volume appears to be there, which will bode well for him in regard to his Offensive Rookie of the Year hopes. Once he can consistently put together big games on the ground and through the air, he could be an elite running back in this league. 

At +550, Harris is showing constant improvement, so there is some value there if he continues to put up these numbers.

Jaylen Waddle (+1600)

The Miami Dolphins have been nothing short of a disappointment so far this season. One bright spot for them would be there first overall selection in this past draft, wide receiver, Jaylen Waddle.

His best game this season came this past week in London against the Jacksonville Jaguars where he caught 10 balls for 70 yards (career-high) and two touchdowns. Waddle is not the same guy without his starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa. But as long as Tua stays healthy, he will continue to feed Waddle.

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Miami Dolphins quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa has had the same issue as Waddle thus far, which has been staying consistent. Tua hasn't been able to stay on the field for consistent stretches as he had just missed a few games with an injury. The more these two are on the field together, the more consistent they can get. They could be a dangerous duo for years to come. It helps that Waddle is one of Tua's favorite targets only six weeks into his career.

Waddle is going to have to put up some great numbers the rest of the way if he wants to compete for this award but at +1600, the value is certainly there if Tua can remain healthy.

How To Bet NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

At any NFL betting site, you’ll see offensive rookie prop odds laid out like this:

Ja’Marr Chase +175

Mac Jones +425

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered dogs. If you think Chase is the way to go, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $275 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $175. Conversely, if you believe Jones is going to step up for the Patriots, that same $100 would give you $525 – your $100 is coupled with the $425 you’d win.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and the odds offered.

If you’re going to bet on underdogs, make sure to do your research – or at least bookmark this page and let our NFL experts do the work for you. There’s a reason that a player’s odds are a certain way. They’ve succumbed to injury, their production is slowing down, they’ve been traded and are having a hard time jelling with their new team – these are some of the many factors that will hinder a player in winning Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY).

What Is A Prop Bet On NFL Offensive Rookies?

To wager on something like the OROY, you would be making a prop bet. This is a bet based on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific milestones that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a certain matchup.

For instance, a contender for this award could play on a mediocre squad yet still be in the running due to his on-field prowess. It wouldn’t matter if his team wins football games or not, as long as he’s racking up yards and catches.