NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds: Bijan Robinson Clear Favorite

With the NFL draft in the rearview, the 2023 NFL rookie class has taken shape.

We know which young guns will be playing where and have a general idea of who's gonna get real playing time. But, which rookie will be the best?

Before taking a look at Defensive Rookie of the Year odds, here are the lines for which offensive rookies can win the NFL's 2023 ORoY award:

Bijan Robinson Leads NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

Odds as of May 29th, 2023

For the third season in a row, the Atlanta Falcons went offensive skill position with their first-round pick. Bijan Robinson will try to join Kyle Pitts (TE) and Drake London (WR) as an immediate impact weapon.

With Desmond Ridder expected to slide in at QB, it's safe to assume a runner like Robinson will have plenty of opportunity to win Offensive Rookie of the Year. Last year with Texas he ran for 1580 yards, 6.1 yards per carry, and 18 touchdowns on the ground. The NFL isn't quite as easy as the Big 12, but I wouldn't be shocked if Robinson was able to put up a similar season with Atlanta.

Bijan Robinson in the ATL7 looks clean pic.twitter.com/CXaSnTBTE1

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) May 21, 2023

Offensive Rookie of the Year Value Picks: Anthony Richardson (+550)

Just 12 months from now, we could be tossing around the bust tag with Anthony Richardson. But, I also wouldn't be surprised if we're hailing him as the next big thing and a regular NFL MVP candidate. That volatility is what makes AR a great ORoY value pick.

There isn't much preventing Richardson from snatching Indy's starting QB job and running with it. If he can find even average command for a ~60% completion rate, the Florida product's two-way dynamic play at the QB position should allow him to rack up yardage in the air and on the ground. If things click, he'll run away (literally) with the Rookie of the Year.

Zay Flowers (+2500)

Flowers is going to be a day-one starter for a Ravens offense that has plenty of unknowns. With Todd Monken in at offensive coordinator, the Baltimore attack could be much more pass-focused than many people think. And the Ravens' 2023 first-round pick will benefit.

Last year Devin Duvernay had 407 yards and three scores from the Ravens' slot position. Flowers will provide Lamar Jackson with a faster and more talented weapon in that slot spot for Monken to scheme up easy passes to. If Flowers stays healthy, he could be the most targeted WR on Baltimore's new offense.

It doesn't hurt Flowers' chances that the last two Offensive Rookies of the Year have been receivers, either.

Roschon Johnson (+3300)

Bijan may have been the big dog in Texas last year, but Roschon Johnson could surprise people. While he had just 94 attempts as Texas' second rushing option last year, Johnson was just as efficient (6.0 yards per carry) as the RB1.

Out from the shadow of Robinson, Johnson could shine in Chicago. He joins a Bears running back room that just lost David Montgomery and is looking for a new weapon to carry the load. D'Onta Foreman and Khalil Herbert are okay options, but neither will prevent Johnson from stealing the RB1 job.

New #Bears running back Roschon Johnson had the highest elusive rating in the class at 198, per PFF.

Bjian Robinson's grade was 169.1.

"A PFF Signature stat measuring success and impact of a runner with the ball independently of the blocking." pic.twitter.com/SHJsLXifV2

— Nick Penticoff (@NickPenticoff) May 1, 2023

Recent NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners

How To Bet NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year Odds

At any NFL betting site, you’ll see offensive rookie prop odds laid out like this:

Bijan Robinson -325

Zay Flowers +215

Unlike a traditional bet where there is a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds is the fave. The rest are considered dogs. If you think Robinson is the way to go, and you bet $100, you’d get a payout of $130.77 – you get your original money back along with your winnings of $30.77. Conversely, if you believe Flowers is going to win it, that same $100 would give you $315 – your $100 is coupled with the $215 you’d win.

Our Odds Calculator is a tool that will show you what you’d win based on the amount you bet and the odds offered.

What Is A Prop Bet On NFL Offensive Rookies?

To wager on something like the OROY, you would be making a prop bet. This is a bet based on the occurrence or non-occurrence of specific milestones that may not correlate directly to the outcome of a certain matchup.

For instance, a contender for this award could play on a mediocre squad yet still be in the running due to his on-field prowess. It wouldn’t matter if his team wins football games or not, as long as he’s racking up yards and catches.