The NFL MVP award almost always goes to a quarterback. Only one non-QB has won the MVP since 2006 (running back Adrian Peterson in 2012) and even backs, receivers and defensive players who have record-breaking seasons are routinely passed over for that year’s top QB.
But when it comes to NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the top QB of the season and the MVP is not always the slam-dunk Sportsbook. In fact, a non-QB has won Offensive Player of the Year in three of the last four seasons and in five of the last 10. The MVP Sportsbook and Offensive Player of the Year Sportsbook were the same player in five of the last 10 seasons. So, when we look at NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds for this season, it’s not surprising to see just one QB now on the list.
Titans running back Derrick Henry was the clear favorite in OPOTY odds coming into this season, but a major injury knocked him off the oddsboard. With one week of games left in the regular season, a select group of OPOTY odds leaders have emerged at online sportsbook Sportsbook. The odds are led by a pair of the best skill position players in the NFL: Colts RB Jonathan Taylor (-110) and Rams WR Cooper Kupp (-110).
NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | -110 |
| Cooper Kupp | -110 |
| Deebo Samuel | +5000 |
| Aaron Rodgers | +5000 |
Odds as of January 4 at Sportsbook
Sportsbook
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NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds: Best Bets
Cooper Kupp or Jonathan Taylor?
At -110 odds, Jonathan Taylor and Cooper Kupp will have one final week to determine who finishes the season ahead in OPOTY odds.
Taylor, the Indianapolis weapon, is basically the Colts’ entire offense this season, scoring a rushing touchdown in 11 straight games, and running in with four alone in Indy’s Week 11 win over Buffalo. He’ll have the yards and he’ll have the touchdowns – at this point it’s hard to see many people beating him for OPOTY.
His only real challenger is Kupp, who leads all players in receptions, yards, receiving touchdowns and yards per game. He’s been the best wide receiver in football and has immediately developed chemistry with MVP candidate QB Matt Stafford.
Kupp is doing almost everything a receiver can do to win the OPOTY award, but he’ll need one final big game of 100-plus receiving yards to finish the season if he wants to stay in the race with Taylor.
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Aaron Rodgers (+5000)
If Kupp and Taylor somehow both flame out in Week 18, the top remaining threat is probably Packers QB Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers is leading the MVP odds and will likely win the Most Valuable Player award, but he’s in contention for OPOTY as well.
As mentioned earlier, the OPOTY is often given to a non-QB, which could hold Rodgers back, but he has propelled himself into contention with 18 passing touchdowns and no interceptions in his last six games. If Kupp and Taylor fall off, and Rodgers continues his league-leading performances at QB, the Packers passer could win the award.
He leads all players in touchdown percentage and interception percentage, as well as passer rating and QBR. Tom Brady is ahead in the touchdown and yardage totals because Rodgers missed a game, but the Packers QB has been the best on a per-game basis.
Sportsbook
When it comes to betting on the NFL, odds are available before teams take their first regular-season snaps. You can even bet on a potential Super Bowl Sportsbook in August. Certain squads will always be contenders, especially if they won the previous year. When Sportsbooks set the lines, they look at offseason roster moves, coaching changes and past on-field performance. To bet on the odds for the Super Bowl, you’d make a futures bet.
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What Is An NFL Futures Bet?
This is a bet in which you would look at the odds for the Super Bowl or a major award, weeks or sometimes months in advance of the big game, and decide which team or player you think will win. Let’s say you want to make a futures bet today, on the champion. At your sportsbook of choice, the odds might look something like this:
Kansas City Chiefs +300
New Orleans Saints +550
Green Bay Packers +900
Buffalo Bills +1000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1100
If this were a moneyline bet, you’d be able to see which team is the clear favorite because it would have a minus sign beside its odds (-). For Super Bowl futures, the team with the lowest odds is favored to win the NFL championship, and the rest are underdogs.
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Let’s say you feel strongly about the Saints and believe they’re going to win it all. If you were to bet $100 on them and they did triumph, you’d get a payout of $650 – your original $100 is returned along with your winnings of $550. Our odds calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the odds and amount bet.
The odds change throughout the season as key players get injured, trades happen and coaches get fired. Line movements for NFL futures happen weekly, so if you see odds you like, it’s best to bet on them ASAP. The Packers may be +900 to win the Super Bowl in October but after a surge in November their odds could jump to +400 and you’ll make less money than you would if you’d bet them at +900.
