NFL Futures odds and player props

2023 NFL Player Futures Odds And Prop Bets

It's NFL futures season.

With the 2023 NFL campaign fast approaching it's time to put your season-long predictions to the test. We've got dedicated pages for major awards like NFL MVP and the Super Bowl race, but below I've compiled essentially every other futures and player prop market available.

Scroll through our NFL player futures hub to find a line you like or tail a best bet or two:

2023 NFL Passing Leader Odds

Odds To Lead The NFL In Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
Patrick Mahomes+250
Justin Herbert+450
Joe Burrow+900
Kirk Cousins+900
Tua Tagovailoa+1200
Trevor Lawrence+1600
Josh Allen+1800

Mahomes ran away with the passing yard leader last year, outperforming every other QB by 500 yards. But, Justin Herbert may force the issue in 2023. This Chargers' offense has always been built to throw the pigskin, but now with Jordan Addison joining a receiving group with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Austin Ekeler out of the backfield, Herberts gonna have a lot of weapons to get the ball down field.

Best Bet: Justin Herbert +250

2023 NFL Rushing Leader Odds

Odds To Lead The NFL In Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
Nick Chubb+600
Jonathan Taylor+850
Derrick Henry+1000
Najee Harris+1000
Bijan Robinson+1400
Rhamondre Stevenson+1800
Josh Jacobs+2000
Saquon Barkley+2000
Tony Pollard+2000
Joe Mixon+2000
Miles Sanders+2000

There are some intriguing options on these 2023 NFL rushing leader odds. Why is Josh Jacobs, who just won the title by 100 yards last year, so low? Can Tony Pollard, now the only back in Dallas, take another leap?

But, I think the best value here is shared between the rookie Robinson (who I discussed above) and New England's Stevenson. The Patriots' lead back started just seven games last year and split carries for most of the season, but still finished with 1040 yards and 5.0 yards per attempt. If Belichick is willing to hand him the keys to the entire rushing attack this season, Stevenson could push 1200 yards and lead the league.

Best Bet: Rhamondre Stevenson (+1800)

2023 NFL Receiving Leader Odds

Odds To Lead The NFL In Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
Justin Jefferson+650
Ja'Marr Chase+900
Tyreek Hill+1000
Cooper Kupp+1200
Garrett Wilson+1400
A.J. Brown+1600
Davante Adams+1800
Stefon Diggs+1800
Jaylen Waddle+2200
CeeDee Lamb+2500
Amon-Ra St. Brown+2500

Garrett Wilson snagged 1100 receiving yards and four touchdowns last season despite an ever-changing QB room of Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco, and a few other guys who I already forget. I'm not entirely convinced Aaron Rodgers will lead the Jets to the Super Bowl, but he's certainly an upgrade on last year's New York QB options. With a better passer in the mix and another year in the league, Wilson could take a monumental step forward.

Best Bet: Garrett Wilson (+1400)

2023 NFL Sack Leader Odds

Odds To Lead The NFL In Sacks
PlayerOdds
Myles Garrett+500
Nick Bosa+1000
Micah Parsons+1000
T.J. Watt+1200
Aidan Hutchinson+1400
Haason Reddick+2000
Maxx Crosby+2000
Brian Burns+2000
Chris Jones+2500
Matt Judon+2500
Danielle Hunter+2500

T.J. Watt led the NFL in sacks in 2020 and 2021, racking up 37.5 total over the two years. The only reason he didn't win the sack crown again last year was because he blew out his pec and missed seven games.

Give me a healthy Watt at these odds all day.

Best Bet: T.J. Watt (+1200)

2023 NFL Rookie Prop Bets

Bryce Young Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3350.5 Yards-115
UNDER 3350.5 Yards-115
Bryce Young Passing TDs
PlayerOdds
OVER 21.5 TDs-125
UNDER 21.5 TDs-105
CJ Stroud Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3300.5 Yards-115
UNDER 3300.5 Yards-115
CJ Stroud Passing TDs
PlayerOdds
OVER 19.5 TDs-115
UNDER 19.5 TDs-115
Anthony Richardson Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 2700.5 Yards-115
UNDER 2700.5 Yards-115
Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1125.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1125.5 Yards-115
Bijan Robinson TDs
PlayerOdds
OVER 19.5 TDs-115
UNDER 19.5 TDs-115
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing + Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1100.5 Rush+Rec Yards-125
UNDER 1100.5 Rush+Rec Yards-105
Jaxon Smith-Njiba Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 725.5 Yards-125
UNDER 725.5 Yards-105

There are a few different directions I could go here, but unfortunately I'm going to be a pessimist. Anthony Richardson is not reaching 2700 yards. The new Colts QB has, rather fairly, been comp'd to Chicagos Justin Fields. In two seasons as a full-time QB with Chicago, Fields hasn't even sniffed 2700 passing yards, topping out at 2242 last year. Unless Richardson is going to suddenly become a real arm talent in Indy, this line is far too high.

Best Rookie Prop Bet: Anthony Richardson UNDER 2700.5 passing yards (-115)

2023 NFL Quarterback Prop Bets

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4000.5 Yards-115
UNDER 4000.5 Yards-115
Dak Prescott Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4050.5 Yards-120
UNDER 4050.5 Yards-110
Daniel Jones Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3350.5 Yards-125
UNDER 3350.5 Yards-105
DeShaun Watson Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3750.5 Yards-130
UNDER 3750.5 Yards+100
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3950.5 Yards-115
UNDER 3950.5 Yards-115
Josh Allen Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4300.5 Yards-125
UNDER 4300.5 Yards-105
Justin Herbert Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4450.5 Yards-115
UNDER 4450.5 Yards-115
Kirk Cousins Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4300.5 Yards-115
UNDER 4300.5 Yards-115
Lamar Jackson Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3450.5 Yards-120
UNDER 3450.5 Yards-110
Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4750.5 Yards-115
UNDER 4750.5 Yards-115
Russell Wilson Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 3700.5 Yards-115
UNDER 3700.5 Yards-115
Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 4100.5 Yards-130
UNDER 4100.5 Yards+100

I'm a noted Aaron Rodgers skeptic. But even I'm not this low on the Jets' new QB.

Before last year, Rodgers had bested 4,000 passing yards for four straight seasons. Even last year, he sat at 3700 despite a terrible offensive performance and the Packers' dedication to the run game. With options like Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard in New York, Rodgers should get back above 4000 this year.

Best Quarterback Prop Bet Pick: Aaron Rodger OVER 4000 passing yards (-115)

2023 NFL Running Back Prop Bets

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 825.5 Yards-115
UNDER 825.5 Yards-115
Breece Hall Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 825.5 Yards+105
UNDER 825.5 Yards-135
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 925.5 Yards-115
UNDER 925.5 Yards-115
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1250.5 Yards-120
UNDER 1250.5 Yards-110
Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 825.5 Yards-115
UNDER 825.5 Yards-115
Miles Sanders Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 925.5 Yards-115
UNDER 925.5 Yards-115
Najee Harris Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 975.5 Yards-115
UNDER 975.5 Yards-115
Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1225.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1225.5 Yards-115
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 975.5 Yards-120
UNDER 975.5 Yards-110
Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1050.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1050.5 Yards-115

Sorry Jets fans, it's not gonna be all optimism for me. 

Breece Hall's great. In seven games last year before injury, the Jets rookie runner had 463 yards and four scores. But, he's coming of surgery and he may have to split carries with Dalvin Cook if the Jets sign him. I'm not convinced he breaks 850 even if he's healthy for Week 1.

Best Running Back Prop Bet Pick: Breece Hall UNDER 825.5 rushing yards (-115)

2023 NFL Wide Receiver Prop Bets

A.J. Brown Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1100.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1100.5 Yards-115
Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1025.5 Yards-120
UNDER 1025.5 Yards-110
CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1100.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1100.5 Yards-115
Chris Olave Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1050.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1050.5 Yards-115
Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1250.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1250.5 Yards-115
Davante Adams Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1275.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1275.5 Yards-115
DeAndre Hopkins Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 850.5 Yards-115
UNDER 850.5 Yards-115
Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1125.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1125.5 Yards-115
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1050.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1050.5 Yards-115
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1400.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1400.5 Yards-115
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1150.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1150.5 Yards-115
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1275.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1275.5 Yards-115

Davante Adams has had the pleasure of snagging passes from Aaron Rodgers and Derek Carr for the past few seasons. Now, he's got game-manager Jimmy Garoppolo.

Jimmy G has been a full-season QB just twice in his NFL career (2019 and 2021). In those seasons, the 49ers had just one receiver snag over 850 yards — and that was Deebo Samuel, who can create a lot of his own yardage.

Best Wide Receiver Prop Bet Pick: Davante Adams UNDER 1275.5 Yards (-115)

2023 NFL Tight End Prop Bets

Dallas Goedert Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 675.5 Yards-135
UNDER 675.5 Yards+105
George Kittle Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 750.5 Yards-115
UNDER 750.5 Yards-115
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 750.5 Yards-115
UNDER 750.5 Yards-115
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 800.5 Yards-115
UNDER 800.5 Yards-115
TJ Hockenson Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 775.5 Yards-115
UNDER 775.5 Yards-115
Travis Kelce Receiving Yards
PlayerOdds
OVER 1100.5 Yards-115
UNDER 1100.5 Yards-115

Kyle Pitts was supposed to transform the tight end position and become the next Gronk. Instead, he took a massive step back in his second season, falling back down to just 356 yards. With Desmond Ridder at QB for the Falcons and Bijan Robinson soaking up plenty of offensive snaps at running back, I'm not sure Pitts ever gets back to his 1,000 rookie season heights... or even close.

Best Wide Receiver Prop Bet Pick: Kyle Pitts UNDER 750.5 Yards (-115)

2023 NFL Defensive Player Prop Bets

Myles Garrett Sacks
PlayerOdds
OVER 13.5-130
UNDER 13.5+105
Nick Bosa Sacks
PlayerOdds
OVER 15.5-115
UNDER 15.5-115
Micah Parsons Sacks
PlayerOdds
OVER 13.5-125
UNDER 13.5+105
TJ Watt Sacks
PlayerOdds
OVER 13.5-115
UNDER 13.5-115
Sauce Gardner Interceptions
PlayerOdds
OVER 2 Interceptions-115
UNDER 2 Interceptions-115
Sauce Gardner Interceptions
PlayerOdds
OVER 2 Interceptions-115
UNDER 2 Interceptions-115
Minkah Fitzpatrick Interceptions
PlayerOdds
OVER 3.5 Interceptions+110
UNDER 3.5 Interceptions-140
Trevon Diggs Interceptions
PlayerOdds
OVER 3.5 Interceptions-115
UNDER 3.5 Interceptions-115

I'm actually a huge Sauce fan. I think the Jets' young defensive back is one of the best in the league.

And, that's exactly why I don't think he'll best two picks. Other teams know Gardner is great, so they'll just stay away. They'll target secondary DBs D.J. Reed and Michael Carter II all day, not giving Gardner many opportunities to snag interceptions.

Best Defensive Player Prop Bet Pick: Sauce Gardner UNDER 2.0 Interceptions (-115)

NFL Player Futures History

Last 10 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners
PlayerYear
WR Garrett Wilson2022
WR Ja'Marr Chase2021
QB Justin Herbert2020
QB Kyler Murray2019
RB Saquon Barkley2018
RB Alvin Kamara2017
QB Dak Prescott2016
RB Todd Gurley2015
WR Odell Beckham Jr.2014
RB Eddie Lacy2013
Last 10 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year Winners
PlayerYear
DB Sauce Gardner2022
LB Micah Parsons2021
EDGE Chase Young2020
EDGE Nick Bosa2019
LB Shaq Leonard2018
DB Marshon Lattimore2017
EDGE Joey Bosa2016
DB Marcus Peters2015
DT Aaron Donald2014
DT Sheldon Richardson2013
Last 10 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Winners
PlayerYear
QB Geno Smith2022
QB Joe Burrow2021
QB Alex Smith2020
QB Ryan Tannehill2019
QB Andrew Luck2018
WR Keenan Allen2017
WR Jordy Nelson2016
S Eric Berry2015
TE Rob Gronkowski2014
QB Philip Rivers2013
Last 10 NFL Passing Yard Leaders
PlayerYear
Patrick Mahomes2022
Tom Brady2021
Deshaun Watson2020
Jameis Winston2019
Ben Roethlisberger2018
Tom Brady2017
Drew Brees2016
Drew Brees2015
Drew Brees/Ben Roethlisberger2014
Peyton Manning2013
Last 10 NFL Rushing Yard Leaders
PlayerYear
Josh Jacobs2022
Jonathan Taylor2021
Derrick Henry2020
Derrick Henry2019
Ezekiel Elliott2018
Kareem Hunt2017
Ezekiel Elliott2016
Adrian Peterson2015
DeMarco Murray2014
LeSean McCoy2013
Last 10 NFL Receiving Yard Leaders
PlayerYear
Justin Jefferson2022
Cooper Kupp2021
Stefon Diggs2020
Michael Thomas2019
Julio Jones2018
Antonio Brown2017
T.Y. Hilton2016
Julio Jones2015
Antonio Brown2014
Josh Gordon2013
Last 10 NFL Sack Leaders
PlayerYear
Nick Bosa2022
T.J. Watt2021
T.J. Watt2020
Shaq Barrett2019
Aaron Donald2018
Chandler Jones2017
Vic Beasley2016
J.J. Watt2015
Justin Houston2014
Robert Mathis2013