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2021 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: Vasilevskiy the Favorite

Tampa Bay goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is now the favorite in Conn Smythe trophy odds.

With the 2020-21 Stanley Cup playoffs now down to the final two teams, oddsmakers have narrowed the choices in Conn Smythe Trophy odds to a big four. 

Online sportsbook BetOnline Sportsbook is updating its odds throughout the playoffs and Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is now listed as the favorite at -225. Following Vasilevskiy are Nikita Kucherov (+130), Brayden Point (+1200) and Carey Price (+2200) as the top choices on the board.

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2021 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: The Favorites

Odds to Win the 2021 Conn Smythe Trophy
Andrei Vasilevskiy-225
Nikita Kucherov+130
Brayden Point+1200
Carey Price+2200
Steven Stamkos+3500
Victor Hedman+6600
Nick Suzuki+10000
Cole Caufield+10000
Tyler Toffoli+15000
Alex Killorn+25000

Odds as of July 6 at BetOnline Sportsbook    

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The Favorites

Oddsmakers believe that Conn Smythe Trophy odds come down to two players. Tampa Bay Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has been fantastic in the playoffs, leading all goalies with a .935 save percentage and ranking second with a 1.99 goals-against average. Vasilevskiy was not tested much in Games 1 and 3 of the Stanley Cup Final but stole Game 2 for the Lightning and was solid in Game 4.

Kucherov leads all players with 32 points in the playoffs, including five points in four games of the Cup Final. 

There is a significant drop-off in Conn Smythe odds after Kucherov and Vasilevskiy.

The odds are traditionally long for a goalie to win the Conn Smythe Trophy. A goalie has won the award just five times in the last 20 seasons and one of those (Jean-Sebastien Giguere in 2003) played for the losing team in the Cup Final, something that has not happened since that season.

Where is the value?

Price (+2200) has had a meteoric rise in the Conn Smythe Trophy odds race after a standout first-round series against the Maple Leafs, leading his team to a sweep over Winnipeg and then shutting down the Golden Knights in the semifinals. If the Habs somehow complete the reverse sweep and win the Cup, Price is a virtual lock to win the award.

If we look further down the board, the choices are very thin. Nick Suzuki (+10000) has been great for the Habs in the postseason and Cup Final, and a bunch of points from him or Cole Caufield (+10000) could definitely launch them into trophy consideration.

But betting on any non-Price Habs player is essentially a bet that not only will Montreal come back to win the series, but that Price doesn’t play well in doing so. The odds are long for a reason.

Fading Lightning

Vasilevskiy, Point and Kucherov remain in the top four, but the odds for Victor Hedman (+6600) and Steven Stamkos (+3500) have fallen considerably. Hedman and Stamkos have likely run out of time to make a real push in Conn Smythe odds.

That said, Point is great value at the moment as his odds have risen from the +250 range to +1200 since the beginning of the series. The leading goal scorer of the playoffs, Point would certainly have to be squarely in the middle of the conversation if the series goes deeper and he has a couple of big performances. He is goalless in the Cup Final through four games, but that could change in a heartbeat.  

New to betting on hockey? We have a great NHL betting tutorial to help you in placing a wager. For the latest odds movement in the Stanley Cup Final, keep it locked on to our Stanley Cup odds page.