According to the 2025-26 Calder Trophy Odds, New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer is likely to win Rookie of the Year with -235 odds. The 18-year-old has been turning heads ever since his first shift in the NHL, and now ranks third for points among rookies. It really seems like the Calder Trophy is Schaefer's to lose.
The Wall of St. Paul Jesper Wallstedt is creeping up on Schaefer with +700 odds. The Minnesota Wild goalie has been exceptional between the pipes, picking up four shutouts and averaging a 0.944 save percentage and 1.74 goals against average in 10 starts.
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NHL Calder Trophy Odds For 2025-2026
| Player | Team | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer | New York Islanders | -235 |
| Ivan Demidov | Montreal Canadiens | +360 |
| Jesper Wallstedt | Minnesota Wild | +700 |
| Beckett Sennecke | Anaheim Ducks | +1600 |
| Yaroslav Askarov | San Jose Sharks | +5500 |
| Zeev Buium | Minnesota WIld | +8000 |
| Braeden Bowman | Vegas Golden Knights | +8000 |
| Alexander Nikishin | Carolina Hurricanes | +1000 |
| Ryan Leonard | Washington Capitals | +10000 |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | St. Louis Blues | +10000 |
Odds as of December 4 at BetMGM
Calder Trophy Odds Betting Trends
Thanks to BetMGM, we've got betting data insight for the Calder Trophy. Our friends at BetMGM gave us data on who the public and sharp bettors are supporting for the Rookie of the Year.
Calder Trophy Public Betting Data - Ivan Demidov 16.3%
The public is backing Montreal's Demidov with 16.3% of all bets on the Habs winger. Given the size of Montreal's fan base and the fervor surrounding the young Russian, it's not surprising to see Demidov garnering this much support.
Calder Trophy Sharps Betting Data - Matthew Schaefer 37.6%
Meanwhile, the sharps are on Matthew Schaefer to win, with the Isles' defenseman getting a third of all the Calder betting money. Again, it's wildly impressive that Schafer has been this effective with 16 points in 24 games and barely turning 18 before the season started.
Last 10 Calder Trophy Winners
| Year | Player | Opening Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Lane Hutson (MTL) | +600 |
| 2024 | Connor Bedard (CHI) | -135 |
| 2023 | Matty Beniers (SEA) | +400 |
| 2022 | Moritz Seider (DET) | +1200 |
| 2021 | Kirill Kaprizov (MIN) | +400 |
| 2020 | Cale Makar (COL) | +400 |
| 2019 | Elias Pettersson (VAN) | +240 |
| 2018 | Mathew Barzal (NYI) | +1800 |
| 2017 | Auston Matthews (TOR) | -130 |
| 2016 | Artemi Panarin (CHI) | +2200 |
It’s always great to look back on a list like this and see just how many of these players turned into absolute superstars. Expect Connor McDavid, who missed 45 games in his rookie year due to breaking his collarbone. McJesuis still finished fifth in rookie scoring and third in Calder Trophy voting.
NHL Teams with the Most Calder Trophy Winners
| Team | # Calder Trophies Won | Most Recent Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | 10 | Auston Matthews (C) - 2017 |
| Chicago Blackhawks | 10 | Conor Bedard (C) - 2024 |
| New York Rangers | 9 | Brian Leetch (D) - 1989 |
| Boston Bruins | 8 | Andrew Raycroft (G) - 2004 |
| Montreal Canadiens | 8 | Lane Hutson (D) - 2025 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 6 | Moritz Seider (D) - 2022 |
| New York Islanders | 5 | Mathew Barzal (RW) - 2018 |
| Colorado Avalanche | 4 | Cale Makar (D) - 2020 |
Auston Matthews’ 2017 win snapped quite the cold streak for the Leafs, going 51 years without a Calder win – their wins come from the early days of the NHL.
If Montreal's Ivan Demidov can win this year's award, not only would it give the Habs a healthy bill for the future with two Calder winners on their roster, but it would push their ranking up from t-3 to t-2.
NHL Teams that have never had a player win the Calder Trophy
These are all relatively “newer” teams, with the Flyers and Stars being the oldest squads on this list after joining in the 60s. Both Dallas and Philadelphia had hoped that either Logan Stankoven or Matvei Michkov could end their Calder drought; sadly, Lane Hutson spoiled that dream.
Calder Trophy Betting Trends
With a collection of potential superstars at the start of every season, you need all the stats you can get when trying to predict the next Calder winner. Here are a few trends that we've noticed over the last few seasons that might help you bet the Calder Trophy:
- Production is what typically matters most. You want a rookie who will score a ton of points. So don't take one that is going to be buried on the fourth line or, worse, sent to the AHL.
- Three of the last six Calder winners have been defensemen. While they might not outproduce their forward counterparts, they are no longer an afterthought for ROY.
- 50% of the last decade’s winners have been centers, giving their role a slight edge in the Calder race.
- Steve Mason was the last goaltender to win the Calder in 2009, meaning goalies rarely get any love with this award.
More NHL Futures Resources
Calder Trophy Odds
Who holds the best Calder Trophy odds?
We aren't sure just yet, the odds have not been made available. But Chicago Blackhawks Connor Bedard is likely to feature favorably for the 2024 ROTY.
Who won the last Calder Trophy?
Seattle Kraken's Matty Beniers won the 2023 Calder Trophy with 24 goals and 57 points. The most for rookies last year.
Who has won the last 10 Calder Trophies?
Since 2013, the Calder Trophy has been awarded to seven forwards (six centers and one winger). Three defensemen have won the award in the last 10 years.
That means no right-wing forward or goalie has won the Calder Trophy in at least the last 10 years.
Last 10 Calder Sportsbooks:
- 2014 - Nathan MacKinnon
- 2015 - Aaron Ekblad
- 2016 - Artemi Panarin
- 2017 - Auston Matthews
- 2018 - Mathew Barzal
- 2019 - Elias Pettersson
- 2020 - Cale Makar
- 2021 - Kirill Kaprizov
- 2022 - Mortiz Seider
- 2023 - Matty Beniers
