The NFL's regular season is on the horizon, and the hunt for the playoffs will soon be underway.
According to updated NFL playoff odds, there will be plenty of chaos in the league this year as no team has playoff odds better than -800.
Below, I'll break down those 2023 NFL playoff odds and some good bets to make (and miss) the postseason:
Which NFL Teams Will Make The Playoffs
| Team | Make Playoffs | Miss Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | +900 | -1800 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +120 | -150 |
| Baltimore Ravens | -150 | +120 |
| Buffalo Bills | -250 | +195 |
| Carolina Panthers | +160 | -200 |
| Chicago Bears | +160 | -200 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | -350 | +275 |
| Cleveland Browns | -105 | -125 |
| Dallas Cowboys | -200 | +160 |
| Denver Broncos | +160 | -200 |
| Detroit Lions | -170 | +140 |
| Green Bay Packers | +145 | -175 |
| Houston Texans | +500 | -800 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +325 | -450 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | -125 | -105 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +215 | -275 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | -190 | +155 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -500 | +375 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +350 | -500 |
| Miami Dolphins | -125 | -105 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +115 | -145 |
| New England Patriots | +240 | -300 |
| New Orleans Saints | -165 | +135 |
| New York Giants | +145 | -175 |
| New York Jets | -165 | +135 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -350 | +275 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +140 | -170 |
| San Francisco 49ers | -400 | +300 |
| Seattle Seahawks | -140 | +110 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +350 | -500 |
| Tennessee Titans | +235 | -295 |
| Washington Commanders | +275 | -350 |
Odds as of June 1st, 2023
Best Bet To Make Playoffs: New York Giants +145
Alright, I'll admit it: I'm a Daniel Jones believer.
Jones may not be a passing god, throwing for just 3205 yards and 15 touchdowns through the air last year. But, he was the perfect mobile game manager for this NY Giants squad. Danny Dimes was the best in the entire NFL with a 1.1% interception rate and added 708 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. He's basically budget Josh Allen without the turnover risk.
Pairing that quarterback play with elite RB Saquon Barkley and solid defense is a great recipe for making the playoffs. It led the Giants to a 9-7-1 record and a postseason spot last year, and I expect the same in 2023.
The Daniel Jones disrespect needs to end… pic.twitter.com/ICjCBTCk6h
— evin (@KayvonOjulari) May 30, 2023
Bet Vikings To Return To Postseason
Another NFC team I'm expecting to get back to the playoffs is the Minnesota Vikings.
I understand that the Vikings were pretty fraudulent in 2022, somehow winning 13 games with a -3 point differential. But, any luck regression should be offset by some smart offseason additions.
Last year, Kirk Cousins and Dalvin Cook led Minnesota to the league's eighth-best points per game (24.9) while the defense was the team's clear weakness. But, with new defensive coordinator Brian Flores in charge, the Vikings added corner Byron Murphy, DE Marcus Davenport, and DL Dean Lowry.
The Vikings may not win 13 games again in 2023, but the defensive adds should allow them to get back to the postseason, at the very least.
Best Bet To Miss Playoffs: Lions +140
I like what the Lions are doing, I really do. But, I'm not sure 2023 is their year.
Jared Goff needs weapons around him to flourish and the Lions are reliant on rookie running back Jahmyr Gibbs and young receiver Jameson Williams, who will miss the start of the season with a suspension. On the other side of the ball, I'm not sure the Lions have enough on defense to cause chaos for opposing quarterbacks. Aidan Hutchison and Jack Campbell may be the core of a great defense, but they need other playmakers around them.
There's something good brewing in Detroit, but they're still short of the NFC's serious contenders. At +140 odds to miss the playoffs, they're the perfect team to fade.
Even Aaron Rodgers Can't Lift Jets To Playoffs
The other team in East Rutherford? I'm not as sold on the Jets.
I get the hype. The NY Jets had the league's second-best defense last season and have some elite weapons on offense like Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. All they needed was a QB, right? So with Aaron Rodgers, everything will go great, right?
Wrong. Sorry Jets fans. There are two main issues here:
1) I'm not sure Rodgers is the answer. If he performs anything similar to last year, the Jets will be in trouble. The veteran QB threw 12 interceptions with the Packers last year, passing for the lowest yards-per-completion and fewest yards-per-game of his career. His QBR was actually lower than former Jets' QB Mike White last year.
2) Most importantly, these are the New York Jets we're talking about. They will find a way to mess this up, those boys in green always do.
"Is getting to the playoffs the standard for Aaron Rodgers to the Jets? It feels like they're going in the wrong direction if that's all the expectations are." — @JoyTaylorTalks pic.twitter.com/HwWRRt6014
— Herd w/Colin Cowherd (@TheHerd) April 7, 2023
What Are NFL Playoff Prop Bets?
Props are bets made on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain events. These may not necessarily correlate to the outcome of a particular game. Instead of betting on a team to cover the spread or win outright, you would wager on whether they’re going to make the playoffs or not.
In this instance, NFL playoff odds are on if a team will make or miss the postseason. As the season progresses, oddsmakers will adjust the betting lines to reflect wins, losses, coaching changes, and trades. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them early because before you know it, the playoffs will be upon us and it’ll be too late.
