According to the latest NFL playoff odds from Bodog, the two teams likeliest to make the playoffs at the end of the 2022 NFL season are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-700) and the Buffalo Bills (-600). On the flip side, the team with the worst odds to make the playoffs is the Houston Texans at +1200.
Here are the odds to make or miss the playoffs in the 2022 season for all 32 NFL teams, with some of our best bets to make or miss the postseason below:
Who Are The Betting Favorites In NFL Playoff Odds?
|Team||Make Playoffs||Miss Playoffs||2021 Record|
|Green Bay Packers||-500||+330||13-4*|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-220||+165||12-5*|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+145||-190||10-7*|
|Los Angeles Chargers||-190||+145||9-8|
|Los Angeles Rams||-260||+190||12-5*|
|New England Patriots||+150||-200||10-7*|
|New Orleans Saints||+120||-160||9-8|
|New York Giants||+220||-300||4-13|
|New York Jets||+650||-1400||4-13|
|San Francisco 49ers||-230||+170||10-7*|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||-700||+425||13-4*|
Odds as of July 27 at Bodog
NFL Playoff Odds: Best Value To Make Playoffs
New Orleans Saints (+120)
In the weaker NFC, the Saints seem to be overlooked here in NFL playoff odds. As of now, it’s probably safe to pencil in the Bucs, Packers and Rams to make the playoffs (the three most likely NFC teams here), and I like the Cowboys to get in too.
That would leave three spots for the likes of the Eagles, Cardinals, Vikings, 49ers, Saints and a bunch of teams that were poor last year. There are of course surprises every year in the NFL, but I’m not sure the Saints aren’t the best team of the five listed above. They will almost certainly have the best defense of the bunch, and have as good an offensive line and skill group as any of the others.
The quarterback position is a question mark with Jameis Winston coming off an ACL tear, but with three spots to fill, I love the Saints here at +120.
Arizona Cardinals (+105)
The logic for the Cardinals is similar to that of the Saints. I think there is a big three in the NFC with the Cowboys not far behind, leaving three open wild-card spots. Oddsmakers seem to think the 49ers (-230), Eagles (-190) and Vikings (-130) are more likely to make the playoffs than Arizona or New Orleans, but I see a group of teams with serious question marks.
The Niners will be breaking in a new QB after Trey Lance essentially redshirted in his rookie year and the Vikings have a bad defense on paper while working with a new head coach.
I think the Eagles are a solid bet to make the playoffs, but you’re getting the Cards here at plus money.
NFL Playoff Odds: Best Value To Miss Playoffs
Los Angeles Chargers (+145)
OK, hear me out. I know everyone is on the Chargers hype train again this season, and it’s easy to see why.
The Bolts added Khalil Mack and J.C. Jackson on defense, improved their offensive line and have a young superstar quarterback. But would it really be shocking to see the Chargers finish behind Denver and Kansas City in the AFC West?
The AFC is loaded, and the Chargers, Bills, Chiefs, Broncos, Bengals, Ravens, Raiders, Titans, Colts and Patriots all have to be considered as potential playoff teams. And that doesn’t include the wild-card Browns. Miami fans also may protest that list.
This game of musical chairs will leave a few teams without a seat when January rolls around and it just wouldn’t be that surprising if a team like L.A., which has disappointed us so many times before, ends up on the outside looking in.
They have a great roster, but this bet is all about value, and +145 is pretty darn good.
Denver Broncos (+110)
Much of what was said above applies to the Broncos as well. We know they have Russell Wilson now, but there are legitimate holes on the offensive line and defensive front.
That won’t help win games in late December, and the Broncos are facing this schedule for their last six games: at Ravens, vs Chiefs, vs Cardinals, at Rams, at Chiefs, vs Chargers. Tough sledding for a team with questions in the trenches.
We think Denver will be a lot better this season, but missing the playoffs is well within their potential outcomes. It’s a good bet at +110.
San Francisco 49ers (+170)
The Niners made it to the NFC championship game last season and have a great roster with one of the better coaches in the league.
But any time you are planning to start a rookie as green as Trey Lance, there will be question marks.
There’s no doubt Kyle Shanahan has a plan for Lance that won't include making him throw the ball 30-plus times a game, but in a tough division with a tough schedule, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the Niners struggle at times this season.
We especially like this bet if the team trades away backup Jimmy Garoppolo, who provides a safety net we don’t like (for this bet) if Lance fails.
For now, this is an intriguing long shot.
What are Prop Bets?
Props are bets made on the occurrence or non-occurrence of certain events. These may not necessarily correlate to the outcome of a particular game. Instead of betting on a team to cover the spread or win outright, you would wager on whether they’re going to make the playoffs or not.
As the season progresses, oddsmakers will adjust the betting lines to reflect wins, losses, coaching changes, and trades. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them early because before you know it, the playoffs will be upon us and it’ll be too late.
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