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NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds: Prescott Still A Big Favorite

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is the favorite in NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds.

The beauty of the brutality of football and the NFL is the comeback story. A player could be left for dead due to a devastating injury or poor performance and then the next season, he can rise up from the ashes like a phoenix and reclaim his position of dominance.

That’s why the best football betting sites have tabbed Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott as the favorite to win the Associated Press NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award in 2021.

Prescott is coming off a compound fracture and dislocation of his right ankle that ended his season in Week 5 last year. 

This can be a fun betting prop to wager on because you’re rooting for something good to happen to a player who shows perseverance in overcoming adversity. If you’re unsure of how to bet on something like this, make sure to read up on Odds Shark’s guide of How To Bet on Football.

For now, here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year:

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

Odds to win the 2021 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award
PlayerOdds
Dak Prescott+120
Christian McCaffrey+650
Joe Burrow+750
Jameis Winston+900
Carson Wentz+1600
Nick Bosa+1600
Laurent Duvernay-Tardif+1800
Derwin James+2000
Odell Beckham Jr.+2000
Danielle Hunter+2500
Von Miller+2500
Julio Jones+3500

Odds as of September 20 at Bovada

NFL Comeback POY Odds: The Favorites

Last season, Washington Football Team quarterback Alex Smith was the obvious choice to win the award when he returned to the field after a devastating knee injury and infection not only threatened his career but his life.

Smith came back after missing an entire year and started six games for Washington, going 5-1.

This year, the players at the top of the list of Comeback Player of the Year odds all suffered major injuries last season and will be trying to recapture their top form.

Dak Prescott (+120)

Prescott was on fire to start the season last year. Through the four games he completed, he threw for 1,690 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. While obviously unsustainable, that yardage total through four weeks put him on pace to shatter the league’s single-season passing yards record.

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This year, Prescott had a huge Week 1 statistically but lost the game. He had a quiet Week 2 statistically but the Cowboys got the win.

He is the clear and deserved favorite through two weeks as the leader of a Cowboys squad that would be a bottom-10 team without him.

Prescott was dealing with a couple of injuries heading into the season and may not even be at 100 percent yet. A soft schedule ahead for the ’Boys in terms of passing defenses could boost his numbers further. 

Christian McCaffrey (+650)

In the 2019 season, Panthers running back Christian McCaffrey put up eye-popping numbers. 

McCaffrey was third in the league in rushing yards that season with 1,387, but he also had 116 receptions for another 1,005 yards – resulting in him leading the league in total yards from scrimmage by more than 600. 

Last year, ankle and shoulder injuries limited the young star to just three games.

Truly one of the four or five most dynamic players in the league, a return to his 2019 form could mean a runaway victory as the Comeback Player of the Year along with likely many other accolades.

Through two games, McCaffrey leads the league in yards from scrimmage with 324 (170 rushing, 154 receiving) with the Monday nighter still to play. He is a very worthy candidate in NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds.

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Other Players To Consider For Comeback POY

Looking back at the AP Comeback Player of the Year winners since 2010, all but one had two things in common: they were returning from injury and their teams made the playoffs.

With those two factors in mind, the two players with longer odds who immediately stand out are Derwin James (+2000) and Von Miller (+2500). 

Derwin James (+2000)

James was an All-Pro in his rookie season in 2018 but was limited to just five total games the last two seasons.

This year, he is healthy and expected to be a big part of an improved L.A. Chargers team as he currently ranks eighth in NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

If James can return to his rookie form, he would make for a great “story” for Comeback Player of the Year after essentially missing two full seasons.

James has already made an impact for a Chargers defense that looks much improved through two weeks. James has registered half a sack, one tackle for a loss, one QB hit and 15 total tackles so far this season. The Chargers are 1-1.

Best Bet: Von Miller (+2500)

While it might be tough for the Broncos to make the playoffs this season, Miller has proven he is one of the best defensive players in the league when healthy and his team is off to a 2-0 start.

Miller missed all of last season with an ankle injury suffered before the season even began, and a return to top form could put him in the conversation for Defensive Player of the Year as well as Comeback Player of the Year. Miller has fewer than 10 sacks just twice in his nine healthy seasons and one of those was due to games missed from injury as well.

Through two games, Miller already has three sacks, five total tackles, five tackles for a loss and four QB hits.

He presents great value at +2500.


Understanding NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

At any sportsbook, you’ll see prop odds laid out like this:

Dak Prescott +200

Joe Burrow +650

Christian McCaffrey +700

Unlike a moneyline bet where favorites are designated with the minus sign (-), in this case, the player with the lowest odds is the favorite. Here, it’s Dak Prescott.

Let’s say you’re loving Christian McCaffrey at +700. If you were to lay down $100 on him, you’d get a payout of $800 – your $100 is returned along with your winnings of $700. On the other hand, if you believe that Dak Prescott is going to have a stellar season, that same $100 on him would give you a payout of $300 – you get your original money back coupled with your prize of $200. 

To find out how much you’d win based on what you bet, check out our Odds Calculator.

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What Is A Prop Bet?

To wager on NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, you would make a prop bet. This is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of team or player milestones that may not directly affect the outcome of a certain football game.

Short for proposition, this kind of bet can be made as soon as the odds are released. If you see action you like, it’s best to jump on those odds early. As more games unfold, a player’s odds will shift to reflect their performance, whether it’s good or bad.