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NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds: Prescott Still A Big Favorite

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott is the favorite in NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds.

The beauty of the brutality of football and the NFL is the comeback story. A player could be left for dead due to a devastating injury or poor performance and then the next season, he can rise up from the ashes like a phoenix and reclaim his position of dominance.

That’s why the best football betting sites have tabbed Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott as the favorite to win the Associated Press NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award in 2021.

Prescott is coming off a compound fracture and dislocation of his right ankle that ended his season in Week 5 last year. 

This can be a fun betting prop to wager on because you’re rooting for something good to happen to a player who shows perseverance in overcoming adversity. If you’re unsure of how to bet on something like this, make sure to read up on Odds Shark’s guide of How To Bet on Football.

For now, here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year:

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

Odds to win the 2021 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Dak Prescott-500
Joe Burrow+500
Carson Wentz+1400
James Conner+1400
Cam Newton+4000
Derwin James+4000
Nick Bosa+4000
Christian McCaffrey+5000
Odell Beckham Jr.+5000
Von Miller+5000
Saquon Barkley+7500
Danielle Hunter+10000
Jimmy Garoppolo+10000
Joe Mixon+10000

Odds as of November 30 at Bovada

NFL Comeback POY Odds: The Favorites

Last season, Washington Football Team quarterback Alex Smith was the obvious choice to win the award when he returned to the field after a devastating knee injury and infection not only threatened his career but his life.

Smith came back after missing an entire year and started six games for Washington, going 5-1.

This year, the players at the top of the list of Comeback Player of the Year odds all suffered major injuries last season and are trying to recapture their top form.

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Dak Prescott (-500)

Prescott was on fire to start the season last year. Through the four games he completed, he threw for 1,690 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. While obviously unsustainable, that yardage total through four weeks put him on pace to shatter the league’s single-season passing yards record.

This year, Prescott has picked up where he left off, throwing 22 touchdowns and seven picks in 10 games played. He is fourth in the league in completion percentage and fifth in Quarterback Rating.

Prescott is the clear and deserved favorite through 12 weeks as the leader of a Cowboys squad that is 7-4.

A soft schedule ahead for the ’Boys in terms of passing defenses could boost his numbers further. 

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Other Players To Consider For Comeback POY

Looking back at the AP Comeback Player of the Year winners since 2010, all but one had two things in common: they were returning from injury and their teams made the playoffs.

With that in mind, our best bet:

Derwin James (+4000)

James was an All-Pro in his rookie season in 2018 but was limited to just five total games the last two seasons.

Healthy this year and a big part of an improved L.A. Chargers team, he currently ranks fourth in NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds.

James certainly has the narrative behind his case for Comeback Player of the Year after essentially missing two full seasons.

He has registered 1.5 sacks, two interceptions, five passes defended, three forced fumbles, five tackles for a loss, four QB hits and 93 tackles so far this season. The Chargers are 6-5.

Best Bet: Joe Burrow (+500)

Joe Burrow missed most of last season after suffering a knee injury on November 22. There were questions about his readiness for the start of this year and reports were anything but glowing through Cincinnati’s training camp and the preseason.

But Burrow has swept aside the negativity and regained his form as one of the best young QBs in the league. Leading the Bengals to a 7-4 record, he is ninth in the league in Quarterback Rating, sixth in net yards per attempt and 11th in yards. He has 22 touchdown passes and 12 picks. 

The elements are there – injury, position and team success – for Burrow to win this award if he continues to play well. Prescott deserves to be the favorite, but we love betting on Burrow with far more attractive odds at +500 in what has essentially become a two-man race. Burrow has the same number of touchdowns as Prescott and his team has the same record. He’s not out of this yet.

Understanding NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Odds

At any sportsbook, you’ll see prop odds laid out like this:

Dak Prescott +200

Joe Burrow +650

Christian McCaffrey +700

Unlike a moneyline bet where favorites are designated with the minus sign (-), in this case, the player with the lowest odds is the favorite. Here, it’s Dak Prescott.

Let’s say you’re loving Christian McCaffrey at +700. If you were to lay down $100 on him, you’d get a payout of $800 – your $100 is returned along with your winnings of $700. On the other hand, if you believe that Dak Prescott is going to have a stellar season, that same $100 on him would give you a payout of $300 – you get your original money back coupled with your prize of $200. 

To find out how much you’d win based on what you bet, check out our Odds Calculator.

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What Is A Prop Bet?

To wager on NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, you would make a prop bet. This is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of team or player milestones that may not directly affect the outcome of a certain football game.

Short for proposition, this kind of bet can be made as soon as the odds are released. If you see action you like, it’s best to jump on those odds early. As more games unfold, a player’s odds will shift to reflect their performance, whether it’s good or bad.