Patriots head coach Mike Vrabel tops the NFL Coach of the Year odds board at -190. The 49ers' Kyle Shanahan trails him at +650, and Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald is third at +750.
Vrabel's Patriots have won 10 games in a row and own the best record in the NFL at 11-2. New England ranks inside the top 10 for both yards and points on the offensive and defensive sides of the ball, and quarterback Drake Maye is one of the top contenders to take home the NFL MVP award.
Meanwhile, Shanahan's 49ers are 9-4 and battling for the NFC West lead, and Macdonald's Seahawks are tied for the best record in the NFC West at 10-3.
Kevin O'Connell did a wonderful job of guiding Sam Darnold and his Vikings to a 14-3 record last year. The Vikings head coach won the 2024 NFL Coach of the Year award after opening at +2000 odds.
Here are the updated NFL Coach of the Year odds.
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NFL Coach of the Year Odds
| Coach | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mike Vrabel (NE) | -190 |
| Kyle Shanahan (SF) | +650 |
| Mike Macdonald (SEA) | +750 |
| Liam Coen (JAX) | +1000 |
| Ben Johnson (CHI) | +1400 |
| Dave Canales (CAR) | +4000 |
| Sean Payton (DEN) | +4500 |
| DeMeco Ryans (HOU) | +4500 |
| Shane Steichen (IND) | +7500 |
| Sean McVay (LAR) | +8000 |
Odds as of Dec. 13th at FanDuel
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NFL Coach Of The Year Betting Strategy
Since 1990, when Jimmy Johnson's Dallas Cowboys went 7-9 and he took home the NFL Coach of the Year award, no coach has won the award with fewer than 10 wins. Only three times since 2000 has a coach with fewer than 11 wins won.
That's as good a place to start as any when handicapping the NFL Coach of the Year award. Seven of the last eight coaches to win the award have been first-time winners. Kevin Stefanski of the Cleveland Browns is the only coach to win twice in that time.
Unless a squad has a particularly dominant regular season, such as the 15-1 2015 Carolina Panthers and Ron Rivera, or 2019 Baltimore Ravens and John Harbaugh, you'll want to target up-and-coming coaches. Look for the men who could defy expectations and lead a historically also-ran franchise into the postseason. Everybody loves a good underdog story, and nobody more than the NFL.
As far as NFL Coach of the Year betting trends, five of the last eight winners have been under the age of 50 and four of the last seven winners have been in their debut season with a new team. The award usually goes to a coach who has galvanized his squad through adversity or exceeded preseason expectations.
NFL Coach Of The Year Award History
| Year | Coach | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kevin O'Connell (MIN) | 14-3 |
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski (CLE) | 11-6 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll (NYG) | 9-7-1 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel (TEN) | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski (CLE) | 11-5 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh (BAL) | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy (CHI) | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay (LAR) | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett (DAL) | 13-3 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera (CAR) | 15-1 |
