Only seven more Sundays until football season, and the odds for the NFL Coach of the Year have been released with some familiar faces near the top of the board. The NFL regular season is nearly upon us.
Sportsbooks have installed Chicago Bears head coach Matt Eberflus as the favorite, closely followed by new Los Angeles Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh and Atlanta Falcons new coach Raheem Morris. Let's dive into the latest 2024 NFL Coach of the Year odds.
NFL Coach of the Year Odds
| Coach | Odds |
|---|---|
| Matt Eberflus (CHI) | +900 |
| Jim Harbaugh (LAC) | +1000 |
| Raheem Morris (ATL) | +1000 |
| Matt LaFleur (GB) | +1400 |
| Shane Steichen (IND) | +1400 |
| Demeco Ryans (HOU) | +1400 |
| Jonathan Gannon (ARI) | +1600 |
| Robert Saleh (NYJ) | +1800 |
| Brian Callahan (TEN) | +1800 |
| Mike McDonald (SEA) | +2000 |
| Dave Canales (CAR) | +2000 |
| Mike McDaniel (MIA) | +2000 |
| Dan Quinn (WAS) | +2000 |
| Dan Campbell (DET) | +2200 |
| Kevin O'Connell (MIN) | +2200 |
| Sean McVay (LAR) | +2500 |
| Jerod Mayo (NE) | +2500 |
| Antonio Pierce (LV) | +2500 |
| Mike Tomlin (PIT) | +2500 |
| Sean Payton (DEN) | +2500 |
| Kyle Shanahan (SF) | +3000 |
| Zac Taylor (CIN) | +3000 |
| Doug Pederson (JAX) | +3000 |
| Sean McDermott (BUF) | +4000 |
Odds as of July 22
NFL Coach Of The Year Best Bet
Aside from the betting favorites for the Coach of the Year award, there are several value plays on the board that could land you a huge payday.
Mike McDaniel +2000
McDaniel having the same odds as rookie Carolina Panthers head coach Dave Canales is criminal.
An NFL season is long and ardous but an early slate of winnable games against the likes of the Jacksonville Jaguars, Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans, New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals will have the Dolphins rolling. That early season surge, and an AFC East title would be enough to give McDaniel's the nod.
He's turned Tua Tagovailoa's career around and has Miami's offense humming on all cylinders. Under McDaniel's tutelage, the speedy Fins led the NFL in both total offense and points per game in 2023. With rookie running back Jaylen Wright and the likes Odell Beckham Jr. joining the fun, the Dolphins offense should be a sight to behold once again this season.
Don't underestimate the fact that McDaniel is a fun-loving coach who welcomes player involvement in his gameplan. The locker room loves playing for him and the culture he's created in South Beach will undoubtedly lead to more victories in the near future. Backing Mike McDaniel to win NFL Coach of the Year at +2000 odds is a fantastic play.
Shane Steichen +1400
Steichen led his Indianapolis Colts to a 9-8 record last season, despite an injury to rookie sensation Anthony Richardson. His team played well down the stretch, but were unable to overcome the loss of their signal-caller.
On top of that, Indianapolis enters 2024 with Jonathan Taylor's holdout far in the rearview mirror. Their backfield is settled and ready to lift this squad to new heights. Richardson is the most athletic quarterback in NFL history, and could be the league's breakout star in 2024. He's one of my favorite NFL MVP bets. Steichen's creative offensive designs will put Richardson in the best position to succeed in 2024 and take the Colts back to the top of the AFC South.
The additions of wide receiver Adonai Mitchell, and pass-rushing extraordinaire Laiatu Latu put the cherry on top. The Colts are a young, talented, and hungry group. Steichen is the man to pull all of that talent together and galvanize his young squad. At +1400 odds, he's an excellent bet to win the NFL Coach of the Year trophy.
NFL Coach Of The Year Betting Strategy
Since 1990, when Jimmy Johnson's Dallas Cowboys went 7-9 and he took home the NFL Coach of the Year award, no coach has won the award with fewer than 10 wins. Only three times since 2000 has a coach with fewer than 11 wins won.
That's as good a place to start as any when handicapping the NFL Coach of the Year award. Seven of the last eight coaches to win the award have been first time winners. With Kevin Stefanski of the Cleveland Browns being the only coach to win twice in that time.
Unless a squad has a particularly dominant regular season such as the 15-1 2015 Carolina Panthers and Ron Rivera, or 2019 Baltimore Ravens and John Harbaugh, you'll want to target up-and-coming coaches. Look for the men who could defy expectations and lead a historically also-ran franchise into the postseason. Everybody loves a good underdog story, and nobody more than the NFL.
As far as NFL Coach of the Year betting trends, five of the last eight winners have been under the age of 50. While four of the last seven winners have been in their debut season with a new team. The award usually goes to a coach that has galvanized his squad through adversity, or exceed preseason expectations.
NFL Coach Of The Year Award History
| Year | Coach | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski (CLE) | 11-6 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll (NYG) | 9-7-1 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel (TEN) | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski (CLE) | 11-5 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh (BAL) | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy (CHI) | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay (LAR) | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett (DAL) | 13-3 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera (CAR) | 15-1 |
| 2014 | Bruce Arians (ARI) | 11-5 |
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Who is the favorite to win the 2022 NFL Coach of the Year award?
Minnesota Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell is favored to win Coach of the Year, followed by Brandon Staley of the Los Angeles Chargers and New York Giants coach Brian Daboll.
