NFL Win Totals

2023 NFL Win Total Odds: Can Bengals Go Undefeated?

The 2023 NFL regular season draws nearer every day, which means it's time for some win totals.

Below I'll break down which teams' win totals the books are wrong about, where there's some win total betting value, and which teams could go 17-0 or 0-17:

2023 NFL Win Totals

2023 NFL Regular-season win totals 
Team2023 Win TotalOVERUNDER2022 Record
Arizona Cardinals4.5-105-1254-13
Atlanta Falcons8.5-130+1007-10
Baltimore Ravens10.5-105-12510-7
Buffalo Bills10.5-140+11013-3
Carolina Panthers7.5-125-1057-10
Chicago Bears7.5-115-1053-14
Cincinnati Bengals11.5-145+11512-4
Cleveland Browns9.5+110-1407-10
Dallas Cowboys9.5-170+14012-5
Denver Broncos8.5-105-1255-12
Detroit Lions9.5-140+1109-8
Green Bay Packers7.5-130+1008-9
Houston Texans6.5-145+1153-13-1
Indianapolis Colts6.5-135+1054-12-1
Jacksonville Jaguars9.5-150+1209-8
Kansas City Chiefs11.5-140+11014-3
Las Vegas Raiders6.5-130+1006-11
Los Angeles Chargers9.5-135+10510-7
Los Angeles Rams6.5-140+1105-12
Miami Dolphins9.5-125-1059-8
Minnesota Vikings8.5-115-11513-4
New England Patriots7.5-130+1008-9
New Orleans Saints9-125-1057-10
New York Giants7.5-115-1159-7-1
New York Jets9.5-130+1007-10
Philadelphia Eagles10.5-125-10514-3
Pittsburgh Steelers8.5-165+1359-8
San Francisco 49ers10.5-150+12013-4
Seattle Seahawks8.5-150+1209-8
Tampa Bay Buccaneers6.5-145+1158-9
Tennessee Titans7.5-130+1007-10
Washington Commanders6.5-140+1108-8-1

Odds as of June 27, 2023

2023 NFL Win Totals Best Bets: Jaguars OVER 9.5

Betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars to win 10 games seems like a sucker's bet, but hear me out.

There's something going right in Jacksonville, with QB Trevor Lawrence taking a big step forward last year and coach Doug Pederson leading the Jags to the postseason. But, this OVER bet is more about the Jags' competition in 2023.

Based on 2022-23 records, the Jaguars have the sixth-easiest strength of schedule in the AFC. All three squads in their division (Titans, Colts, Texans) will have rookie QBs this year and are in a retool or rebuilding mode. Add in a few more soft games against teams like the Steelers and Buccaneers and the Jags could have 12 or more victories this year.

Eagles OVER 10.5

This OVER is a bit more straightforward. The Eagles won 14 games last year, posted the NFL's third-best point differential, and came a few scores away from the Super Bowl. Annnnnnnnd now their win total is way down at 10.5?

Philly lost a bit of talent this year, like DB CJ Gardner-Johnson and RB Miles Sanders. But, they also had one of the most efficient offseasons in the league. With two first-round picks, the Eagles were able to add elite talent like Jalen Carter and Nolan Smith, and traded for a running back replacement in De'Andre Swift. There's no reason to think 2023 won't be another 12+ win campaign in Philly.

Chiefs Lead Odds To Go Undefeated

NFL Last Remaining Undefeated Team Odds 2023/24
TeamOdds
Kansas City Chiefs+750
Cincinnati Bengals+800
San Francisco 49ers+1000
Philadelphia Eagles+1000
Buffalo Bills+1100
Baltimore Ravens+1200

The Chiefs are, naturally, the favorites to go undefeated in 2023. The closest Kansas City has come to a perfect season was a 14-2 record in 2020.

Bengals Best Bet To Go 17-0

The Bengals may not be the betting favorite to go 17-0 this season, but they have the type of schedule and firepower to run the table.

Of the 'top' teams in the NFL this year, the Bengals have the easiest expected schedule. Usually, teams that win the division have a tough schedule the next season, but Cinci's 2023-24 competition held just a collective .512 win percentage last year (17th-hardest in the NFL).

As well, the Bengals invested further in the offensive line this summer, signing top free agent LT Orlando Brown Jr. to a massive deal. That should help keep QB Joe Burrow safe in the pocket, and he's arguably the league's best passer when that's the case.

Cardinals Lead NFL's Odds To Go Winless

NFL Last Remaining Winless Team Odds 2023/24
TeamOdds
Arizona Cardinals+500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1000
Houston Texans+1000
Tennessee Titans+1200
Los Angeles Rams+1200
Indianapolis Colts+1200

The Arizona Cardinals don't have much talent or motivation to win games this year, and that could be a recipe for a winless season.

With QB Kyler Murray potentially missing over half the season with an ACL injury, the Cards' offense will struggle to score. And last year, Arizona's defense ranked second-worst in points allowed.

In all likelihood, the Cardinals find a week or two to snatch an upset win. But, if there's a team this season that's primed to go 0-17, it's Arizona. Start scouting the NFL Draft Cardinals fans!

What Is An NFL Season Win Totals Bet?

Sometimes called an OVER/UNDER bet, you would need to decide if a team’s total wins would be more or less than the oddsmaker’s set number. These betting lines are generally created before gameplay starts. Oddsmakers look at previous wins, past performances, coaching moves, roster changes, injuries and the schedule before settling on a number.

Understanding NFL OVER/UNDER Odds

When you visit any NFL betting site, you’ll see NFL OVER/UNDER listed like so:

Kansas City Chiefs

OVER 12.5 (-150)

UNDER 12.5 (+120)

If you think the Chiefs are going to win 13 or more games, you would take the OVER. Conversely, if you think they’ll win 12 or fewer games, you would bet the UNDER. The numbers in brackets are the actual odds. For instance, if you lay down $100 on the OVER at -150 and Kansas City wins 13 games, you’d get a payout of $166.67 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $66.7.

If you think they’ll win fewer than 13 games and you lay down $100 on the UNDER at +120, you’d get a payout of $220 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $120.

Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much your payout would be based on the odds and amount bet.

NFL Win Totals FAQ

Can I bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals?

Yes, you can certainly bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals. Oddsmakers set these OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals for all 32 NFL teams before the regular-season gets underway. Online sportsbooks take into consideration previous wins, past performances, coaching changes, roster moves, injuries, and the strength of schedules before settling on a number.

How do I bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals?

An NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals bet is where sportsbooks predict a particular number (in this case how many games a team will win), and you wager on whether the actual number will be higher or lower than the oddsmakers’ set number. So long as you have a sports betting account set up, you can bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals.

Which NFL teams are projected to have the most wins this season?

Oddsmakers currently have the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers win totals set at 11.5, the highest in the NFL. The team with the lowest projecting O-U win total for the 2022 NFL season is the Houston Texans at 4.5.

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