Season win totals are one of the more profitable NFL betting markets. These futures bets allow you to predict how many games a team will win (or lose) during the regular season. Some people don't realize that this market is fluid and fluctuates throughout the season. This page will update every week during the NFL season to keep you updated on the NFL season win totals market.
Dive into the latest team news, strength of schedule and my best value bets on the 2026 NFL win totals board. Below is how things stand at FanDuel as we barrel through the NFL off-season.
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2026 NFL Win Totals Odds
| Team | 2026 Win Total | OVER | UNDER | 2025 Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 4.5 | +115 | -135 | 8-9 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7.5 | -110 | -110 | 8-9 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 11.5 | +115 | -135 | 12-5 |
| Buffalo Bills | 10.5 | -125 | +105 | 13-4 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6.5 | -120 | +100 | 5-12 |
| Chicago Bears | 9.5 | +115 | +135 | 5-12 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 | +105 | -125 | 9-8 |
| Cleveland Browns | 6.5 | +150 | -175 | 3-14 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 8.5 | -140 | +120 | 7-10 |
| Denver Broncos | 12.5 | +100 | -120 | 10-7 |
| Detroit Lions | 10.5 | -125 | +105 | 15-2 |
| Green Bay Packers | 10.5 | +110 | -130 | 11-6 |
| Houston Texans | 9.5 | -110 | -110 | 10-7 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 | -110 | -110 | 8-9 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 9.5 | +110 | -130 | 4-13 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10.5 | +125 | -145 | 15-2 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 5.5 | +100 | -120 | 4-13 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 9.5 | -130 | +110 | 11-6 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.5 | +100 | -120 | 10-7 |
| Miami Dolphins | 4.5 | -115 | -105 | 8-9 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.5 | +115 | -135 | 14-3 |
| New England Patriots | 9.5 | -120 | +100 | 4-13 |
| New Orleans Saints | 6.5 | -150 | +125 | 5-12 |
| New York Giants | 7.5 | +110 | -130 | 3-14 |
| New York Jets | 5.5 | +100 | -120 | 5-12 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10.5 | +110 | -130 | 14-3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 7.5 | -120 | +100 | 10-7 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 9.5 | -150 | +130 | 6-11 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 11.5 | +110 | -130 | 10-7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8.5 | -105 | -115 | 10-7 |
| Tennessee Titans | 6.5 | +100 | -120 | 3-14 |
| Washington Commanders | 7.5 | -130 | +110 | 12-5 |
Odds as of March 11th at FanDuel
There are a myriad of factors that will go into betting success or failure in the NFL Win Totals odds market, but there is value to be found. Be sure to check out our NFL betting sites to find the best lines.
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How To Read the NFL Win Totals Table
When you visit any NFL betting site, you’ll see NFL OVER/UNDER listed like so:
Kansas City Chiefs
OVER 11.5 (+100)
UNDER 11.5 (-120)
If you think the Chiefs are going to win 12 or more games, you would take the OVER. Conversely, if you think they’ll win 11 or fewer games, you would bet the UNDER. The numbers in brackets are the actual odds. For instance, if you lay down $100 on the OVER at +100 and Kansas City wins 12 games, you’d get a payout of $200 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $100.
If you think they’ll win fewer than 12 games and you lay down $100 on the UNDER at -120, you’d get a payout of $183.33 – your original money is returned along with your winnings of $83.33.
Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much your payout would be based on the odds and amount bet.
2026 NFL Win Totals By division
Dive into the NFL Win Totals by division with odds and analysis.
AFC East Win Totals 2026
Buffalo looks set to bounce back with new head coach Joe Brady at the helm, and an improved defensive line. I'm leaning OVER on the Bills 10.5 wins.
While the Patriots aim to return to the Super Bowl by winning a bunch of win now moves. However, they'll play a first place schedule this season against the uber-competitive AFC West, and the always strong NFC North. I'm fading the Patriots win total at plus money.
If you're betting anything but the UNDERs on the Dolphins or Jets, well, good luck.
AFC North Win Totals 2026
The NFL's preeminent black and blue division gets healthy for another run. Baltimore will once again be the division favorite, and aim to cross 11.5 wins. Even with Trey Hendrickson in tow, I'm leaning UNDER - pre NFL draft that is.
Joe Burrow is healthy, but is offensive line lacks talent, and the Bengals defense remains a dumpster fire. I like the idea of betting the Bengals to bounce back, but urge caution on the win total of 9.5 at this time.
Cleveland's win total of 6.5 seems a tad high to me - as questions remain about Shedeur Sanders under center. While the Steelers still don't have a quarterback.
AFC South Win totals 2026
Could the Tennessee Titans surprise in their first year under new head coach Robert Saleh? Cam Ward gets another off-season of development but with their lack of talent 6.5 wins seems to be a bridge too far.
Jacksonville had an outstanding season in 2025, but lost Travis Etienne and other in free agency. Head coach Liam Coen needs to get Bhayshul Tuten up to speed, and fast to cross 9.5 wins in 2026.
Indianapolis fell off a cliff in the second-half of last season, and lost a number of meaningful defensive contributors in free agency. Can Daniel Jones stay healthy behind a rebuilt offensive line? 8.5 wins seems slightly too high to me.
While the Texans 9.5 win total seems achievable with a few more offensive reinforcements this off-season. Former Colts right tackle Braden Smith is a good start.
AFC West Win totals 2026
The AFC West will once again be one of the league's most competitive divisions, especially with offensive guru Klint Kubiak joining the Raiders. However, I doubt the Raiders push 5.5 wins this season - because I doubt they'll want to. Projected first overall pick Fernando Mendoza may not even start initially, and Las Vegas would love to grab another top-five pick in a star studded 2027 NFL Draft class.
Jim Harbaugh's Chargers are fairly priced at 9.5 wins. If their tackles are healthy (big if), they could fly past this number. But, losing defensive coordinator Jesse Minter hurts their ceiling.
Denver is one of the most disrespected 14-win squads in recent memory. Say what you want about Bo Nix, I think the Broncos defense can power them to 10 wins in 2026 on their own.
The mighty have fallen in Kansas City, but can the rest of the AFC West keep them down. 10.5 wins seems like a large total, especially with games coming against the talented teams of the NFC North, but they'll also play the AFC East, and historically have dominated the West. Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes will bounce back.
NFC East Win Totals 2026
Jerry Jones is going "all-in" on the 2026 Cowboys, but his off-season moves have been perplexing thus far. The UNDER 8.5 wins at plus money is the play.
How well does Jalen Hurts fit into Sean Mannion's offense? And what can Mannion, in his first-year calling plays, coax out of the NFL's most dramatic offensive group. There are far more questions than answers in Philadelphia, so I'm leaning UNDER 10.5 wins.
The Giants will need a few years to get their roster turned around under John Harbaugh. I think their 7.5 win total is an overreaction to Harbaugh's consistency in Baltimore, and will be fading New York this season.
On the flip side, I like the Commanders to bounce back in 2026, and am big fan of some of their under the radar signings. 7.5 wins is a realistic mark for a Commanders team with a healthy Jayden Daniels.
NFC North Win totals 2026
The Chicago Bears overachieved last season, and will play a first-place schedule as a result in 2026. I like them to crash back down to earth this season, and love the UNDER 9.5 wins.
In Green Bay, the arrow is up for Jordan Love and the Packers. As long as Love and Micah Parsons stay healthy, you can book 11 wins in.
Detroit will bounce back from a rough 2025, but I think they've lost too much talent up front to win 11 games. Recovering from Frank Ragnow's retirement and the loss of Taylor Decker will be tough for the Lions.
Meanwhile, I'm fading the Vikings no matter who is under center in Minnesota this season. 8.5 wins is far too high for a team that lacks front seven and offensive line talent.
NFC south Win Totals 2026
Tampa Bay lost Mike Evans - a brutal loss for a young Bucs squad. Plus, Tampa's defense will be without Jamel Dean and has had a ton of veterans depart over the past two years. I'm also not a big fan of Todd Bowles' late-game strategies, so the UNDER 8.5 wins is the play.
New Orleans OVER 6.5 wins is one of the few OVER plays I'll be making this summer. I like what Kellen Moore is cooking in the Bayou, and Tyler Shough gets another year of seasoning.
Carolina overcame a ton of adversity last year, but can lightning strike twice? I think they outperform 6.5 wins and am leaning towards the OVER.
Atlanta is a dumpster fire, and are without a first round pick this season. Their leading pass-rusher may not play in 2026, and this team still needs front seven help. UNDER 7.5 wins is the only play I'm making on the Falcons.
NFC West Win totals
Sportsbooks are hedging their bets on the Rams. After the blockbuster Trent McDuffie trade (F them picks) LA is all-in once again in what could be the last year of Matthew Stafford's career. Davante Adams, Puka Nacua and an ascending defensive line will power the Rams to a ton of victories in 2026, but can they stay healthy enough to eclipse 11.5 wins?
San Francisco has the talent, and offensive creativity, to regroup in 2026. 9.5 wins is very achievable provided they get a little positive injury regressions this season.
Seattle's 11.5 win total is intriguing. The Seahawks lost a ton of talent from their Super Bowl winning squad, including Super Bowl MVP Kenneth Walker, pass-rusher Boya Mafe and corner Tariq Woolen. Can they find suitable replacements in free agency and the draft? A first-place schedule in the ever competitive NFC West makes 12 wins tough.
Finally, I have little faith in whatever the Arizona Cardinals are doing this year. 2026 looks like another lost season in Arizona, but maybe tank for Arch Manning becomes a thing? The Cardinals 4.5 win total is too low for me to recommend betting the UNDER, but that's the only play I'd make.
Best OVER Bets for 2026
Saints OVER 6.5 Wins (-150)
New Orleans came on strong down the stretch, with the Saints defense cooking late and finishing as a top-10 unit by EPA per play over the last two months of the year. Jettisoning some longtime veterans will hurt Saints fans, but will work out in the long run for this ascending squad.
There's all to play for in the NFC South, and I expect the Saints to be in the running down the stretch of the 2026 season. Meaning I love the OVER 6.5 here. Are we truly sure Tyler Shough isn't the second best quarterback in the whole division? Moore might be the best play-caller, making this an easy play for me.
Best UNDER Bets for 2026
Giants UNDER 7.5 -130
A little high here for a team that has a ton of question marks heading into the draft. Sure, Harbaugh provides stability, but Jaxson Dart is no Lamar Jackson. Eight wins is a large hill to climb for a team going through drastic changes throughout the building and in the locker room.
The defensive line is fantastic, the offensive line, is not.
Vikings UNDER 8.5 -135
There’s a reason the Vikings UNDER 8.5 wins is juiced. Questions surround No.9 JJ McCarthy under center, and the rest of the Vikings aging roster leaves a lot to be desired. Justin Jefferson is there, and so are many talented front seven pieces.
But, losing Harrison Smith is a big play, that it remains to be seen if the Vikings can recover from. On top of that, there offensive line under performed last year, and can’t seem to stay healthy.
A whole lot would have to go right in Minnesota for the Vikings to win nine games this season.
Historical NFL Win Total Trends
Some teams "just win, baby!", while others consistently fall short of their season long win total. Trends aren't everything in this market, especially with so much roster turnover in the NFL. However, we can identify squads who tend to overachieve, and those that clearly lack structure year after year.
Teams that Consistently Beat their Win total
The Pittsburgh Steelers consistently outperformed their season win total in nearly two decades under Mike Tomlin’s guidance. However, crossing the eight win bridge with Mike McCarthy and a considerable lack of talent, in an uber-competitive division is another story.
Regardless, the Steelers have been the picture of NFL win total consistently of late, never failing to win less than eight games throughout Tomlin’s 19-year tenure as head coach.
Teams That have Consistently Miss their Win total
The Dallas Cowboys come to mind as a squad that nearly always underachieves. Some of that has to do with the fact that oddsmakers juice the Cowboys win total year after year. As one of the NFL's most popular squads, Cowboys fans flock to the window to bet on their team to have a big year, and they're almost always let down.
How NFL Win Totals Betting Works
Sometimes called an OVER/UNDER bet, you would need to decide if a team’s total wins would be more or less than the oddsmakers' set number. These betting lines are generally created before gameplay starts. Sportsbooks look at previous wins, past performances, coaching moves, roster changes, injuries and strength of schedule before settling on a number.
Use our NFL database to complete your own analysis.
What Happens If a Team Hits Their Exact Win Total?
This happens far less often these days, as oddsmakers add the .5 hook to almost every win total. However, provided a team falls smack on the dot of say their 10 win total for 2026, your bet would PUSH, and the total amount of your original stake would be returned in full. You wouldn't see any profit, but also wouldn't take a loss.
When is the Best time to Bet NFL Win Totals
There are pros and cons to betting NFL win totals early, and the same for betting them too late.
However, the best time to bet NFL win totals is usually right after sportsbooks release them in the spring. As a fan of your squad, you likely have some insight as to their off-season strategy. Be it possible free agent signings, positions of need, and maybe even NFL draft thresholds and possible targets. You can use that insight to get out in front of the sportsbooks price, and wager on your team to beat their season win total, or falter depending on the situation.
Early NFL win totals lines often rely heavily on each team's previous season's record, giving you an advantage if you believe in a young, ascending quarterback (say Tyler Shough and the Saints). Or believe a team wil bounce back to earth after an easy schedule (we see you Pats fans).
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NFL Win Totals FAQ
Can I bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals?
Yes, you can certainly bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals. Oddsmakers set these OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals for all 32 NFL teams before the regular-season gets underway. Online sportsbooks take into consideration previous wins, past performances, coaching changes, roster moves, injuries, and the strength of schedules before settling on a number.
How do I bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals?
An NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals bet is where sportsbooks predict a particular number (in this case how many games a team will win), and you wager on whether the actual number will be higher or lower than the oddsmakers’ set number. So long as you have a sports betting account set up, you can bet on NFL OVER/UNDER regular-season win totals.
Which NFL teams are projected to have the most wins this season?
Oddsmakers currently have the Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers win totals set at 11.5, the highest in the NFL. The team with the lowest projecting O-U win total for the 2022 NFL season is the Houston Texans at 4.5.
