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NFL Comeback POY Odds: Big Ben and Cam Newton Ready To Bounce Back

NFL Comeback Player Of The Year Award 2020 Ben Roethlisberger

The beauty of the brutality of football and the NFL is the comeback story. A player could be left for dead due to a devastating injury or poor performance and then the next season, he can rise up from the ashes like a phoenix and reclaim his position of dominance.

That’s why the best football betting sites have tabbed Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and New England Patriots quarterback Cam Newton as the +300 co-favorites to win the Associated Press NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award in 2020.

Roethlisberger is coming off an elbow injury that forced him to miss all but one game in 2019 while Newton’s tenure in Carolina ended after he only played two games last season due to a foot injury.

This can be a fun betting prop to wager on because you’re rooting for something good to happen to a player who shows perseverance in overcoming adversity. If you’re unsure of how to bet on something like this, make sure to read up on Odds Shark’s guide of How To Bet on Football.

For now, here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year:

Odds to win the 2020 AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award
PlayerOdds
Ben Roethlisberger+300
Cam Newton+300
JJ Watt+725
Matthew Stafford+725
Rob Gronkowski+725
AJ Green+1000
Alex Smith+1200
Colin Kaepernick+1500
Myles Garrett+1500
Andy Dalton+2200
Antonio Brown+2200
Bradley Chubb+3300
DeSean Jackson+3300
Joe Flacco+4400
Jordan Reed+5500
Alshon Jeffery+6600
TY Hilton+6600
Akiem Hicks+7700
Keanu Neal+7700
Kwon Alexander+7700
Malcolm Butler+7700
Stephen Gostkowski+7700
Trent Williams+7700
Xavien Howard+9000
Jerick McKinnon+10000
Josh Rosen+12500
Lamar Miller+15000

Odds as of August 28 at Bovada

Why Roethlisberger and Newton Are The Favorites

Talent, opportunity, the severity of the injury – these are just some of the reasons why Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and new Patriots signal-caller Cam Newton are the favorites to win NFL Comeback Player of the Year. Here are the cases for each of the QBs:

Ben Roethlisberger

Big Ben was expected to lead Pittsburgh back to the playoffs in 2019 and with the headaches of WR Antonio Brown and RB Le’Veon Bell out of the picture, he wasn’t expected to have the distractions.

The elbow injury that took him out in 2019 was not one that most players easily return from, especially at 38 years old. The Steelers need him back desperately after the brief Mason Rudolph-Duck Hodges era.

Back in 2018 before this happened, Roethlisberger was a stud signal-caller who led the NFL with 5,129 passing yards. Pittsburgh’s offense also scored a franchise-record 53 touchdowns that season so if Ben is even 80 percent of what he was before the elbow issue, he should be able to win this award in a landslide.

Cam Newton

2015 feels like a lifetime ago but that was Cam Newton’s peak as an NFL quarterback when he led the Panthers to a 15-1 record and a Super Bowl appearance and won NFL MVP.

The dual-threat QB has had some ups and downs in Carolina since while struggling with a litany of ailments. Shoulder and foot surgeries may have limited him but now that he’s in New England, he could be in line for a HUGE bounce-back campaign. 

It can’t be understated how much of an impact the coaching staff of Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels should have on Newton’s career. The Patriots rely on offensive sets that get rid of the ball quickly and feature a heavy dose of running with RB Sony Michel. 

McDaniels has already stated in interviews that he’s excited to have Newton in the fold. While Tom Brady is the G.O.A.T., the Golden Boy is very limited in his mobility outside the pocket, which can sometimes stifle offensive creativity. With Newton, nearly any type of offensive play is on the table. 

If Newton stays healthy (that’s a big if), and the Patriots win the AFC East, he almost feels like a lock to win this award.

Other Players To Consider for Comeback POY

Looking back at the AP Comeback Player of the Year winners since 2010, all but one had two things in common: they were returning from injury and their teams made the playoffs.

With those two factors in mind and also considering the best “story,” the two players who immediately stand out are Alex Smith (+1200) and Myles Garrett (+1500).

Alex Smith

Suffering one of the most gruesome leg injuries ever on a football field, Washington quarterback Alex Smith would easily be the best story if he’s able to suit up this season.

Smith has had to undergo a multitude of procedures on his lower leg just to regain the ability to walk but all of his hard work over the last two years has paid off. Head coach Ron Rivera has stated that Smith will be in competition for the starting job with Dwayne Haskins.

Washington is projected to finish near the bottom of the standings in 2020 but if Smith is able to get back on the field and perhaps carry the team to a 7-9 or 8-8 record, you’d have to have an evil heart to not vote for him for this award.

Myles Garrett

Then there’s Myles Garrett, already one of the premier defensive ends in the NFL with the Cleveland Browns, whose reputation was tarnished when he yanked Steelers QB Mason Rudolph’s helmet off and hit him in the head with it. There are some things you just can’t unsee in an NFL game and that was one of them.

Garrett was on his way to potentially leading the NFL in sacks and in the conversation for NFL Defensive Player of the Year. If he can duplicate that performance while leading the woeful Cleveland Browns back to the postseason, he may be in line to win this award, especially if Roethlisberger or Newton struggle in their returns.


Understanding NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds

At any sportsbook, you’ll see prop odds laid out like this:

Ben Roethlisberger +300

Cam Newton +300

Alex Smith +1200

Unlike a moneyline bet where favorites are designated with the minus sign (-), in this case, the player with the lowest odds is the favorite. Here, it’s Ben Roethlisberger and Cam Newton

Let’s say you’re loving Alex Smith at +1200. If you were to lay down $100 on him, you’d get a payout of $1,300 – your $100 is returned along with your winnings of $1,200. On the other hand, if you believe that Cam Newton is going to have a stellar season, that same $100 on him would give you a payout of $400 – you get your original money back coupled with your prize of $300. 

To find out how much you’d win based on what you bet, check out our Odds Calculator.

What is a Prop Bet?

To wager on NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds, you would make a prop bet. This is a bet on the occurrence or non-occurrence of team or player milestones that may not directly affect the outcome of a certain football game.

Short for proposition, this kind of bet can be made as soon as the odds are released. If you see action you like, it’s best to jump on those odds early. As more games unfold, a player’s odds will shift to reflect their performance, whether it’s good or bad.