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2021 NFL Free Agency Predictions: Odds For a Loaded FA Class

2021 NFL Free Agency Predictions: Odds For a Loaded FA Class

The Vince Lombardi Trophy is back in Florida, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won their second Super Bowl in franchise history in a 31-9 dismantling of the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 55.

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While the action on the gridiron is on hiatus until September, the NFL is a year-round league. That means a fresh new batch of betting props getting released for the 2021 offseason, which officially opened when the new league year began on March 17.

As of March 24, a lot of big-name free agents have already found new teams, but there are still plenty of players on the market. 

2021 NFL Free Agency Predictions

Online shop Bovada has updated its prop specials for free agency. With a huge number of big-name players available on the open market, this could end up being the craziest free-agent period in recent memory.

On March 1, J.J. Watt became the first domino to fall when the star defensive end signed with the Arizona Cardinals. Prior to Watt’s decision, the Cardinals weren’t even on the board in betting markets on which team he’d sign with, as the Green Bay Packers (+185) were the perceived front-runners. 

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Here’s a breakdown of top remaining free agents in our 2021 edition of NFL free agency predictions. This piece will be updated throughout the offseason as new signings happen and odds shift.

Top Remaining NFL Free-Agent Odds

Which Team Will Antonio Brown Sign With?

Antonio Brown is one of the Buccaneers’ two remaining free-agent wide receivers entering the offseason. Brown has expressed an interest in returning to the team for a full season in 2021, as the four-time All-Pro wideout was one of the many productive aspects of Tampa Bay’s lights-out passing offense during the Bucs’ Super Bowl run.

Turning 33 this offseason, Brown is clearly in the twilight of his NFL career. No other team was willing to take a risk on the oft-troubled receiver prior to last year, and it would be a major shock to see him on any other roster besides the Bucs in 2021.

The pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -500

Odds on Where Antonio Brown Will Play in 2021
TeamOdds
Tampa Bay Buccaneers-500
Seattle Seahawks+450
Baltimore Ravens+650
Green Bay Packers+750
Philadelphia Eagles+1200
Indianapolis Colts+2800
Jacksonville Jaguars+3800

Odds as of March 24 at Bovada

Which Team Will Richard Sherman Sign With?

Richard Sherman is not likely to return to the San Francisco 49ers with free agency opening, so the veteran cornerback will likely be looking for a new team in 2021. 

Sherman, who turns 33 on March 30, is coming off a season in which he missed 11 games due to a calf condition. He could be among a group of veteran players who feels the impact of the league’s lowering salary cap.

Sherman has not ruled out a transition to free safety, which could help him to perform better at this point in his career. A return to Seattle makes a lot of sense, as the Seahawks will surely be looking to shore up a defense that ranked among the worst in the NFL in 2020.

The pick: Seattle Seahawks +1500

Odds on Where Richard Sherman Will Play in 2021
TeamOdds
Las Vegas Raiders+225
Minnesota Vikings+350
New Orleans Saints+350
San Francisco 49ers+400
Los Angeles Chargers+400
New York Jets+1200
Miami Dolphins+1500
Seattle Seahawks+1500
Washington Football Team+2000

Odds as of March 24 at Bovada

Which Team Will T.Y. Hilton Sign With?

T.Y. Hilton’s time with the Indianapolis Colts looks like it could be coming to an end. The wide receiver tweeted a GIF of himself dancing on March 1, stating: “No matter where I go. No matter who I pick. The Ghost Is Ready To Work!! #FreeAgency”.

Colts head coach Frank Reich has told the media he hopes Hilton will be back, but he recognizes it might not be possible due to financial reasons. If Hilton leaves, he’ll surely be looking to join a contender in his age-32 season.

It’s very possible the Colts could bring Hilton back if they wanted to, given the team’s plethora of cap space.

Sammy Watkins is reportedly visiting with the Colts, though, leading many pundits to believe Indianapolis is set on moving on from Hilton. If Watkins opts to sign with the Colts, the Ravens could make a push for Hilton.

Baltimore is in desperate need of a wide receiver, and Hilton makes a lot of sense there. It’s well worth a shot at +1500.

The pick: Baltimore Ravens +1500

Odds on Where T.Y. Hilton Will Play in 2021
TeamOdds
Indianapolis Colts+110
Kansas City Chiefs+205
Los Angeles Chargers+325
Jacksonville Jaguars+1500
New York Jets+1500
Green Bay Packers+1500
Miami Dolphins+1500
Las Vegas Raiders+1500
Baltimore Ravens+1500
New England Patriots+1800

Odds as of March 24 at Bovada