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Odds to Win the NFL Coach of the Year Award

Head coach Matt Nagy of the Chicago Bears yells congratulations after a nice play against the Denver Broncos during an NFL preseason game at Broncos Stadium at Mile High on August 18, 2018 in Denver, Colorado.

When it comes to odds on which man will be named NFL Coach of the Year in the 2018 NFL season, two men reign supreme as the likeliest candidates in the eyes of oddsmakers.

Doug Pederson and Matt Nagy are the +1000 co-favorites to become the 2018 Coach of the Year.

At 5Dimes, Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson and Chicago Bears bench boss Matt Nagy each have +1000 chances of garnering the bragging rights at the end of the campaign. Last year’s Coach of the Year, the L.A. Rams’ Sean McVay, is +1200, while the Chargers’ Anthony Lynn (+1300), New England’s Bill Belichick (+1300), the New York Giants’ Pat Shurmur (+1350), San Francisco’s Kyle Shanahan (+1400), Minnesota’s Mike Zimmer (+1400), Oakland’s Jon Gruden (+1550) and Kansas City’s Andy Reid (+1600) comprise the rest of the top 10 at the shop.

Can McVay go back to back?

In his rookie season as a head coach at the tender age of 31, McVay guided his Rams to an 11-5 record and a playoff berth in 2017. As a result, he received 35 of 50 votes to be crowned the Coach of the Year during the NFL honors award show. Zimmer (11) and Doug Marrone (2) also received votes, while the two Super Bowl 52 coaches – Pederson and Belichick – earned one vote each.

After a busy offseason that upgraded both the offense and defense, the Rams are loaded for a Super Bowl run in 2018, and it wouldn’t surprise anyone to see McVay be crowned the cream of the crop for the second year in a row. A shot on him at +1200 odds seems like a worthy preseason bet.

Where’s the value?

Seeing Pederson at the top of the list makes sense considering he led the Eagles to their first championship, but Nagy’s +1000 price is a little confusing to me. The Bears are a trendy pick to surprise some teams in 2018, yet they’re far from a lock to make the playoffs, and it may take the team a little while to adjust to Nagy’s new system in his first year in Illinois since coming over from Kansas City.

In terms of value, I like Sean Payton and Marrone at +1800. On the heels of three consecutive 7-9 seasons, the Saints bounced back in a big way in 2017 by winning the NFC South with a strong 11-5 record. New Orleans suffered a heartbreaker to Minnesota in the divisional round in what’s been dubbed the “Minneapolis Miracle,” but they figure to be a force to be reckoned with this time around.

The Jaguars have hovered around the basement for the majority of their tenancy in the NFL since joining the league in 1995, but “Sacksonville” took a major step forward a year ago en route to winning the franchise’s first AFC South banner. Jacksonville topped the Bills in the wild-card round and the Steelers in the divisional round before falling to the mighty Patriots in the AFC championship game. Marrone’s impact on the Jags hasn’t gone unnoticed, and if they keep the momentum going, he could be a legitimate Coach of the Year candidate.

Odds on which NFL coach will win the 2018 NFL Coach of the Year Award
CoachOdds
Doug Pederson (Eagles)+1000
Matt Nagy (Bears)+1000
Sean McVay (Rams)+1200
Anthony Lynn (Chargers)+1300
Bill Belichick (Patriots)+1300
Pat Shurmur (Giants)+1350
Kyle Shanahan (49ers)+1400
Mike Zimmer (Vikings)+1400
Jon Gruden (Raiders)+1550
Andy Reid (Chiefs)+1600
Bill O'Brien (Texans)+1600
Dan Quinn (Falcons)+1800
Doug Marrone (Jaguars)+1800
Mike McCarthy (Packers)+1800
Mike Tomlin (Steelers)+1800
Sean Payton (Saints)+1800
Ron Rivera (Panthers)+2000
Vance Joseph (Broncos)+2000
Jason Garrett (Cowboys)+2000
Jay Gruden (Redskins)+2000
Mike Vrabel (Titans)+2200
John Harbaugh (Ravens)+2500
Dirk Koetter (Buccaneers)+2500
Frank Reich (Colts)+2800
Pete Carroll (Seahawks)+3300
Steve Wilks (Cardinals)+3300
Marvin Lewis (Bengals)+4000
Matt Patricia (Lions)+4000
Hue Jackson (Browns)+4000
Adam Gase (Dolphins)+4000
Sean McDermott (Bills)+4500
Todd Bowles (Jets)+5000

Odds as of September 7 at 5Dimes

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