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Saints’ Sean Payton Favored to Win NFL Coach of the Year

NFL Coach of the Year Odds

Every year there are familiar faces among the nominees for the NFL Coach of the Year Award and as we have reached the midway point of the season, it appears to be the same old hat, but there are a few new faces that deserve mention.

At the beginning of the season, it was Cleveland Browns head coach Freddie Kitchens who was favored to win NFL Coach of the Year at +650, but he can now be found among the favorites to be the next coach to be fired. New Orleans Saints head coach Sean Payton is the new favorite for Coach of the Year at +130.

Online sportsbook Bovada has Payton as the favorite at +130 followed by Kyle Shanahan of the San Francisco 49ers at +250, Frank Reich of the Indianapolis Colts at +350, Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots at +600, and Pete Carroll of the Seattle Seahawks and Sean McDermott of the Buffalo Bills at +1600 to round out the oddsboard.

Why is Payton the Favorite?

The New Orleans Saints were one of the Super Bowl favorites from the outset of the season but a thumb injury to Drew Brees in Week 2 put those hopes in jeopardy. The veteran QB was set to miss six weeks and Teddy Bridgewater was going to have to keep the boat afloat to keep the season alive and he did just that. In the five games that Teddy B started, the Saints went 5-0, including wins at Seattle and Chicago and a home triumph over Dallas.

New Orleans heads into the back half of the season with a 7-1 record and a healthy Brees, as he returned in Week 8 in a 31-9 victory over Arizona. Down the stretch, the Saints have winnable games against Atlanta (two), Carolina (two) and Tampa Bay. Sean Payton was able to draw up great game plans to help the team succeed with Bridgewater under center, as well as with the more recent injury to running back Alvin Kamara, who has missed three games. The team has the fourth-best point differential in the NFC at +39 and has allowed the fourth-fewest points in the conference.

There’s no reason why this team shouldn’t win 12 or more games this season and it could very well be the No. 1 seed heading into the playoffs despite the key injuries and that’s why Payton is the favorite.

What Non-Favorite has the Best Chance to win Coach of the Year?

There are two head coaches who I think have a good chance to be named NFL Coach of the Year outside of Sean Payton and one is more obvious than the other.

The first is San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan. The Niners are the lone undefeated team in the NFL, have the second-best point differential in the league and have allowed the second-fewest points as well.

Granted, the schedule has been very favorable thus far and there are very tough tests looming, notably: home to Seattle, Green Bay and the Los Angeles Rams, visits to Baltimore, New Orleans and Seattle. How San Fran does through this gauntlet could really determine the Coach of the Year, especially that Week 14 matchup at New Orleans with the favorite Sean Payton.

The second coach who deserves some recognition has the most value as well and that’s Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott. The Bills defense has been causing problems for opponents, including limiting the Patriots to just 16 points.

The offense isn’t anything to write home about, scoring the sixth-fewest points in the AFC, but the team is 6-2 at the midway point of the year. With a few more favorable matchups down the stretch, the Bills could end up with double-digit wins and a playoff appearance, a considerable achievement for a squad that wasn’t expected to do much heading into 2019.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the NFL Coach of the Year:

Odds to Win the 2019 NFL Coach of the Year Award
Sean Payton+130
Kyle Shanahan+250
Frank Reich+350
Bill Belichick+600
Pete Carroll+1600
Sean McDermott+1600

Odds as of November 10 at Bovada

Understanding NFL Coach of the Year Odds

When it comes to online betting, your sportsbook of choice will show prop odds like this:

Sean Payton +130

Kyle Shanahan +350

Pete Carroll +1000

In this scenario, Sean Payton has the best odds to get coach of the year at +130. If you were to bet $100 on him and he did win the award, you’d get a payout of $230 – your original money is returned along with your prize of $130. On the other hand, if you think Pete Carroll is going to work some magic, that same $100 would give you $1100 – you get your $100 back plus your winnings of $1000.

Check out our Odds Calculator to see how much your payout would be based on the amount bet and odds.

What is a Prop Bet for the NFL?

This is bet made on the occurrence or nonoccurrence of certain milestones that may not correlate exactly with the outcome of a specific game. Here, the prop bet is on each coach’s odds of getting a celebrated award. When oddsmakers create the lines, they’re not set in stone. As the season progresses and teams rise and fall in the standings, the odds will shift to reflect how a coach is wrangling his squad. If you see odds you like, jump on them early otherwise they could move so much that they’re lacking all betting value.