The Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings face off in one of three Christmas Day games. The Lions are still mathematically alive in the playoff race, but they'll need to win out and get some help from other results. The Vikings, however, have already been eliminated from playoff contention. Detroit is favored by 7.5 points after being favored by 5.5 earlier in the week, and the total for this game has dipped from 44.5 to 43.5 points.
Lions vs Vikings Odds
Matchup Page: Lions Vs Vikings, Dec. 25, 4:30 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | -7.5 (-102) | -370 | OVER 43.5 (-105) |
| Minnesota Vikings | +7.5 (-120) | +295 | UNDER 43.5 (-115) |
Odds as of December 24th, 2025 at FanDuel
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Lions vs Vikings Pick
OVER 44.5, -110 at FanDuel
The over is 8-2 in the last 10 matchups between the Lions and Vikings, per our NFL betting database. The totals were 49.5 and 56.5 the two times the under cashed during that stretch. With a relatively low total of 44.5 for this game, that should prime them for another over.
I'm more confident in that, thanks to the scoring that these two teams have been doing of late. Starting with the Vikings, they've put up at least 31 points in two of their last three games. Minnesota fell short in its most recent game against the Giants, but that game featured a multitude of strange tips and drops. One of those tips led to an interception, and one of those drops cost the Vikings a touchdown on an end-zone shot to Jordan Addison. There were multiple rough weeks with J.J. McCarthy under center, but the offense has begun to find its footing.
On the Detroit side, the Lions have one of the league's most banged-up defenses. The team has given up 24.9 points per game (the Vikings have allowed 21.3), and the Lions have surrendered at least 27 points in four straight contests.
Offensively, Detroit ranks second in scoring with 30.1 PPG, trailing only the Rams at 30.5 PPG. The Lions have scored at least 24 points in their last five games and in seven of their last eight en route to that ranking. Detroit has the NFL's third-ranked passer with Jared Goff throwing for 4,036 yards, the seventh-ranked rusher with Jahmyr Gibbs tallying 1,102 yards on the ground, and the fifth-ranked receiver with Amon-Ra St. Brown having 1,194 yards. That three-headed monster should continue to prove effective this week, and the Lions' defensive woes should give Minnesota enough chances to see this game hit its over.
*Pick made Dec. 22nd at 11:58 am ET prior to line movement. I'm less confident in this pick now that Max Brosmer will be playing quarterback for the Vikings. However, with a new total that's one point lower, I'd still consider it.
Lions vs Vikings Prop Pick
Justin Jefferson 70+ Receiving Yards, +128 at FanDuel
Jefferson has historically dominated Detroit. The LSU product has put up 78 receptions for 1,255 yards and five touchdowns in 11 career games against the Lions. That's an average of 7.1 catches, 114.1 yards, and 0.5 touchdowns per matchup. Getting plus-money for the All-Pro to hit 70+ feels excellent. Jefferson has put up at least 70 yards in seven games despite some of Minnesota's offensive woes.
*Pick made Dec. 22nd at 1:21 pm ET
