The Guardians are going UNDER on the road at a high clip

MLB’s Best Home And Away OVER/UNDER Teams: Guardians Go Under At Home

The first half of the 2023 MLB season is in the books. We know what teams are expected to do well through the rest of the year and which teams are expected not to do so well.

We know the Braves, Rays and Dodgers are going to do well based on what they've shown us so far. It gets difficult to find value by simply betting on the MLB moneyline right now because of this. 

Playing the totals might be a good way to find some value this late in the season. So let’s look at the teams that are more likely to hit the OVER or UNDER at home or on the road and then look at the more profitable teams for each.

Read our How To Bet On Baseball guide if you’re new to baseball betting or need a refresher on how to bet on the MLB.

First, the best OVER/UNDER teams at home and on the road:

MLB Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Teams

Best home OVER bets
TeamHome OVER RecordProfits
Pittsburgh Pirates42-24-2 (63.6%)+$1,401.38
Tampa Bay Rays41-26-1 (61.2%)+$1,126.85
Detroit Tigers37-26-1 (58.7%)+$732.56
Texas Rangers36-25-5 (59%)+$695.77
Atlanta Braves37-28-1 (56.9%)+$602.01
Best Home UNDER bets
TeamHome UNDER RecordProfits
Cleveland Guardians44-22 (66.7%)+$1,827.84
New York Mets40-20-2 (66.7%)+$1,690.99
San Francisco Giants39-25-2 (60.9%)+$1,058.77
Arizona Diamondbacks37-25-5 (59.7%)+$890.84
Toronto Blue Jays35-23-4 (60.3%)+$882.42
Best Road OVER bets
TeamRoad OVER RecordProfits
Los Angeles Dodgers43-21-1 (67.2%)+$1,876.32
Oakland Athletics37-24-5 (60.7%)+$902.05
Baltimore Orioles34-25-6 (57.6%)+$613.20
Cincinnati Reds38-29 (56.7%)+$559.43
Boston Red Sox36-28-1 (56.2%)+$486.55
Best Road UNDER bets
TeamRoad UNDER RecordProfits
Colorado Rockies41-27-1 (60.3%)+$1,041.54
Milwaukee Brewers36-26-3 (58.1%)+$713.83
Detroit Tigers35-28-2 (55.6%)+$436.56
St. Louis Cardinals35-28-3 (55.6%)+$395.32
Toronto Blue Jays37-30-2 (55.2%)+$389.89

Takeaways From Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Teams

There are a few significant takeaways from these tables.

The first is how frequently the top teams in MLB hit the OVER at home. Texas, Tampa Bay and Atlanta are all hitting home OVERs at top-five rates. These squads are taking advantage of visiting pitchers and smashing totals.

On the other hand, the Dodgers are exploding on the road with a staggering 67.2% hit rate to the OVER in away games. If you're looking to attend a high-scoring contest, check to see when LA visits your city.

The Braves and Dodgers hold healthy leads over the field in World Series odds. These teams have been smoking the books on totals all year, earning their respect in the futures market.

MLB Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Pitchers

Best home OVER Pitchers
TeamHome OVER RecordProfits
Miles Mikolas11-3 (78.6%)+$737.94
Joe Ryan10-2 (83.3%)+$698.32
Spencer Strider10-3 (76.9%)+$603.79
Roansy Contreras6-1 (85.7%)+$444.10
Jack Flaherty7-2-1 (77.8%)+$438.53
Best Home UNDER Pitchers
TeamHome UNDER RecordProfits
Merrill Kelly11-1 (91.7%)+$927.59
Tanner Bibee9-1 (90%)+$709.63
Chris Bassitt10-2-1 (83.3%)+$705.16
Andrew Abbott7-0 (100%)+$630.36
MacKenzie Gore9-2 (81.8%)+$615.06
Best Road OVER Pitchers
TeamRoad OVER RecordProfits
Lance Lynn10-4 (71.4%)+$492.26
Chris Sale6-1-1 (85.7%)+$443.40
Noah Syndergaard7-2 (77.8%)+$439.45
Brady Singer8-3 (72.7%)+$430.68
David Peterson7-2 (77.8%)+$425.54
Best Road UNDER Pitchers
TeamRoad UNDER RecordProfits
Eury Perez7-0 (100%)+$646.22
Dane Dunning9-2 (81.8%)+$617.88
Austin Gomber9-3 (75%)+$528.74
Josiah Gray10-4-1 (71.4%)+$520.41
Kodai Senga8-3 (72.7%)+$455.63
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