The first half of the 2023 MLB season is in the books. We know what teams are expected to do well through the rest of the year and which teams are expected not to do so well.
We know the Braves, Rays and Dodgers are going to do well based on what they've shown us so far. It gets difficult to find value by simply betting on the MLB moneyline right now because of this.
Playing the totals might be a good way to find some value this late in the season. So let’s look at the teams that are more likely to hit the OVER or UNDER at home or on the road and then look at the more profitable teams for each.
Read our How To Bet On Baseball guide if you’re new to baseball betting or need a refresher on how to bet on the MLB.
First, the best OVER/UNDER teams at home and on the road:
MLB Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Teams
Team | Home OVER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Pittsburgh Pirates | 42-24-2 (63.6%) | +$1,401.38 |
Tampa Bay Rays | 41-26-1 (61.2%) | +$1,126.85 |
Detroit Tigers | 37-26-1 (58.7%) | +$732.56 |
Texas Rangers | 36-25-5 (59%) | +$695.77 |
Atlanta Braves | 37-28-1 (56.9%) | +$602.01 |
Team | Home UNDER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Cleveland Guardians | 44-22 (66.7%) | +$1,827.84 |
New York Mets | 40-20-2 (66.7%) | +$1,690.99 |
San Francisco Giants | 39-25-2 (60.9%) | +$1,058.77 |
Arizona Diamondbacks | 37-25-5 (59.7%) | +$890.84 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 35-23-4 (60.3%) | +$882.42 |
Team | Road OVER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Los Angeles Dodgers | 43-21-1 (67.2%) | +$1,876.32 |
Oakland Athletics | 37-24-5 (60.7%) | +$902.05 |
Baltimore Orioles | 34-25-6 (57.6%) | +$613.20 |
Cincinnati Reds | 38-29 (56.7%) | +$559.43 |
Boston Red Sox | 36-28-1 (56.2%) | +$486.55 |
Team | Road UNDER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Colorado Rockies | 41-27-1 (60.3%) | +$1,041.54 |
Milwaukee Brewers | 36-26-3 (58.1%) | +$713.83 |
Detroit Tigers | 35-28-2 (55.6%) | +$436.56 |
St. Louis Cardinals | 35-28-3 (55.6%) | +$395.32 |
Toronto Blue Jays | 37-30-2 (55.2%) | +$389.89 |
Takeaways From Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Teams
There are a few significant takeaways from these tables.
The first is how frequently the top teams in MLB hit the OVER at home. Texas, Tampa Bay and Atlanta are all hitting home OVERs at top-five rates. These squads are taking advantage of visiting pitchers and smashing totals.
On the other hand, the Dodgers are exploding on the road with a staggering 67.2% hit rate to the OVER in away games. If you're looking to attend a high-scoring contest, check to see when LA visits your city.
The Braves and Dodgers hold healthy leads over the field in World Series odds. These teams have been smoking the books on totals all year, earning their respect in the futures market.
MLB Best Home and Away OVER/UNDER Pitchers
Team | Home OVER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Miles Mikolas | 11-3 (78.6%) | +$737.94 |
Joe Ryan | 10-2 (83.3%) | +$698.32 |
Spencer Strider | 10-3 (76.9%) | +$603.79 |
Roansy Contreras | 6-1 (85.7%) | +$444.10 |
Jack Flaherty | 7-2-1 (77.8%) | +$438.53 |
Team | Home UNDER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Merrill Kelly | 11-1 (91.7%) | +$927.59 |
Tanner Bibee | 9-1 (90%) | +$709.63 |
Chris Bassitt | 10-2-1 (83.3%) | +$705.16 |
Andrew Abbott | 7-0 (100%) | +$630.36 |
MacKenzie Gore | 9-2 (81.8%) | +$615.06 |
Team | Road OVER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Lance Lynn | 10-4 (71.4%) | +$492.26 |
Chris Sale | 6-1-1 (85.7%) | +$443.40 |
Noah Syndergaard | 7-2 (77.8%) | +$439.45 |
Brady Singer | 8-3 (72.7%) | +$430.68 |
David Peterson | 7-2 (77.8%) | +$425.54 |
Team | Road UNDER Record | Profits |
---|---|---|
Eury Perez | 7-0 (100%) | +$646.22 |
Dane Dunning | 9-2 (81.8%) | +$617.88 |
Austin Gomber | 9-3 (75%) | +$528.74 |
Josiah Gray | 10-4-1 (71.4%) | +$520.41 |
Kodai Senga | 8-3 (72.7%) | +$455.63 |