NFL Conference Championship Trends
After the first two weeks of the NFL playoffs road teams are 4-4 SU and 5-2-1 ATS, while underdogs are 5-2-1 ATS, with three winning outright.
Over the past four seasons in the conference championships, road teams are 6-2 ATS while underdogs are 4-4 ATS.
According to the lines at 5Dimes for Sunday's conference championships, the AFC's top-seeded Denver Broncos are -4.5 to second-seeded New England, down from the opening line of 6.5. In the NFC, top-seed Seattle is -3.5 to division-rival and defending conference champion San Francisco.
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Looking at these games in-depth, beginning with the AFC title clash and the highly-anticipated showdown between quarterbacks Tom Brady and Peyton Manning in Denver . . .
New England has won and covered five of its last six in this series, but the Patriots are mired in a 2-7 road ATS skid and a 3-9 spread slide in the playoffs. New England is also in on ATS win streaks of 7-2 as an underdog and a perfect 8-0 against AFC West teams. And though Denver is in on an 8-3 ATS win streak overall, it's also failed to cover seven of its last nine in the playoffs, and has lost five straight on the field and at the window against AFC East teams.
For totals lovers, the Broncos have stayed UNDER in four straight games, but the OVER has cashed in the last four times these two have played. The number is 55
In the NFC Championship Game at Seattle, make note the Seahawks have covered eight of their last 10 when hosting the 49ers. The Seahawks have also covered six in a row when hosting a playoff game, and have won 21 of their last 24 SU when installed as the favorite. San Francisco has won three straight playoff games on the highway, and is in on winning streaks of 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS against NFC West foes.
In regards to the total, which is 39, the Seahawks have stayed UNDER the last five times they were favored, while the UNDER has cashed in six of the last seven times they've played intradivision foes.
San Francisco +3.5 at Seattle, total 39.5
Niners have won three straight playoff road games
Seahawks won six straight playoff home games
Seahawks have played five straight UNDERs when favored
Seahawks are 21-3 SU past 24 games as favorites
UNDER is 6-1 past seven Seahawks games vs. NFC West foes
49ers won five straight vs. NFC West foes (4-1 ATS)
Seattle is 8-2 ATS past 10 at home to San Francisco
New England +4.5 at Denver, total 55
Home team has won and covered three playoff meetings of these teams
Past four meetings played OVER the total
Patriots are 5-1 SU and ATS past six vs Broncos
Patriots are 2-7 ATS past nine road games
Patriots are 7-2 ATS past nine games as underdogs
Broncos have played four straight UNDERs
Denver is 8-3 ATS past 11 games overall
Broncos are 2-7 ATS past nine playoff games
Patriots are 3-9 ATS past 12 playoff games
Patriots won and covered eight straight vs AFC West teams
Broncos on 0-5 SU and ATS run vs AFC East teams