NFL Divisional Playoffs Betting Trends
The Dallas Cowboys are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games as they prepare to face the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field this weekend and we take a look at the NFL betting trends for the Divisional Round of the 2015 playoffs.
Dallas, however, is 0-3 both SU and ATS in its last three games against Green Bay, and the Cowboys are betting underdogs for their NFC Divisional Round matchup on Sunday afternoon. The OVER has gone 13-3 for totals bettors in the last 16 games between the two teams.
[ See the latest NFL odds and bonus specials at Bovada ]
The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers in the other NFC Divisional Round matchup on Saturday night, with Carolina opening as an 11-point underdog and sitting at 1-13 SU but 8-6 ATS in its last 14 games as a double-digit underdog. The Seahawks are 26-3 SU and 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games.
But historically, the bigger the spread, the less likely the favorites are to cover in the divisional round. In 13 games with a spread of eight points or more since Jan. 15, 2006, the underdogs are 10-3 ATS.
The AFC Divisional Round kicks off on Saturday afternoon with the Baltimore Ravens on the road at New England, and the Patriots are 16-1 SU and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games. The Ravens, however, are 6-0 ATS in their last six playoff games and 3-0 ATS in their last three playoff games against the Patriots.
Finally, the Indianapolis Colts and the Denver Broncos close out the Divisional Round late on Sunday afternoon at Mile High, with the Colts 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against the Broncos. The Broncos are 17-1 SU but just 10-8 ATS in their last 18 home games, and 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine playoff home games.
Divisional Playoffs NFL Betting Trends
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots
Ravens 6-0 ATS last 6 playoff games (5-1 SU)
Ravens 3-0 ATS last 3 playoff meetings with Patriots (2-1 SU)
Ravens 8-2-1 ATS last 11 road games vs. AFC East (7-4 SU)
Ravens 3-1 SU & ATS last 4 road games
Ravens 3-8 SU last 11 meetings with Patriots (4-6-1 ATS)
Patriots 16-1 SU last 17 home games (12-5 ATS)
Patriots 13-3 SU last 16 home games vs. AFC North (9-6-1 ATS)
Patriots 3-10 ATS last 13 playoff games (6-7 SU)
UNDER 6-1 in Baltimore’s last 7 road games vs. AFC East
OVER 10-3 in New England’s last 13 home games
OVER 7-3 in New England’s last 10 home games vs. AFC North
Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks
Panthers 1-13 SU last 14 games as double-digit underdogs (8-6 ATS)
Panthers 1-6 SU last 7 meetings with Seahawks (3-4 ATS)
Panthers 1-4 SU & ATS last 5 road games vs. NFC West
Panthers 1-3 SU & ATS last 4 playoff games
Panthers 5-0 SU last 5 games (3-2 ATS)
Seahawks 28-2 SU last 30 games as double-digit favorites (16-13-1 ATS)
Seahawks 4-1 SU & ATS last 5 playoff games
Seahawks 22-7 ATS last 29 home games (26-3 SU)
Seahawks 11-4 SU last 15 home games vs. NFC South (8-7 ATS)
Seahawks 6-0 SU & ATS last 6 games
UNDER 4-1 in last 5 meetings
UNDER 5-2 in Carolina’s last 7 games as double-digit underdogs
OVER 6-1 in Carolina’s last 7 road games
OVER 5-2 in Seattle’s last 7 home games vs. NFC South
UNDER 3-0 in Seattle’s last 3 home games
Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Cowboys 9-0 SU last 9 road games (7-2 ATS)
Cowboys 0-3 SU & ATS last 3 meetings with Packers
Cowboys 1-6 SU last 7 road games vs. NFC North (2-5 ATS)
Cowboys 2-7 SU & ATS last 9 playoff games
Cowboys 5-0 SU last 5 games (4-1 ATS)
Packers 8-0 SU last 8 home games (6-1-1 ATS)
Packers 5-2 SU & ATS last 7 home games vs. NFC East
Packers 2-5-1 ATS last 8 home playoff games (3-5 SU)
OVER 13-3 in last 16 meetings
OVER 7-0 in Dallas’ last 7 road games
OVER 5-0 in Dallas’ last 5 road games vs. NFC North
UNDER 6-2 in Dallas’ last 8 playoff games
OVER 7-1 in Green Bay’s last 8 home games
OVER 5-1 in Green Bay’s last 6 home games vs. NFC East
Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
Colts 7-0 ATS last 7 meetings with Broncos (6-1 SU)
Colts 5-1 ATS last 6 road games vs. AFC West (4-2 SU)
Colts 2-8 SU & ATS last 10 road playoff games
Broncos 17-1 SU last 18 home games (10-8 ATS)
Broncos 6-3 ATS last 9 home playoff games (7-2 SU)
Broncos 3-7 ATS last 10 home games vs. AFC South (5-5 SU)
OVER 8-1 in last 9 meetings
UNDER 3-0 in Indy’s last 3 road games
UNDER 8-2 in Indy’s last 10 road games vs. AFC West
UNDER 9-3 in Indy’s last 12 road playoff games (5-1 L6)
OVER 4-0 in Denver’s last 4 home games vs. AFC South
OVER 5-1 in Denver’s last 6 home games
--ARCHIVED ARTICLE FROM 2014 PLAYOFFS-----------------------------------------
Three of four road teams in the NFL Wild Card round won outright. The visitors were 2-1-1 ATS. This week oddsmakers aren't giving three of the visitors much of a chance.
Yet if recent history repeats itself, bettors won't concern themselves with divisional playoff point spreads and will simply bet OVER the total (since 11 of the past 12 games at this stage of the NFL playoffs have gone that way).
On Saturday, the Seahawks are laying -8 to the Saints and the Patriots are laying -7 to Indianapolis.
The Seahawks have won and covered five of seven against the Saints since 2000. New Orleans, meanwhile, is in on a 10-2-1 ATS playoff run since 1991. However, the Saints have failed to cover their last four when catching +8 or more points, since 2005.
The Colts have covered four of their last five trips to New England. And while the Patriots are mired in a 2-6 ATS home playoff slide since 2008, they're also in on winning runs of 5-1 ATS as a home favorite and 16-2 SU and 11-6-1 ATS when playing teams from the AFC South, since 2003. Indianapolis has played six straight OVERs at AFC East foes and the Patriots have gone OVER the last five times they hosted AFC South teams.
On Sunday the 49ers are laying -2 at Carolina, while Denver is -9.5 against the Chargers.
The 49ers arrive in Carolina on win streaks of 9-1 both SU and ATS when laying points on the road. Meanwhile, the Panthers are in on ATS win streaks of 15-3 versus the Niners since 1995, 7-3 lifetime in the postseason, 8-1-1 at home, and 8-3 as an underdog. These two have gone over 12 of the last 15 meetings.
San Diego is on a 6-1-1 ATS run in Denver, is 4-1 on the playoff road, is 6-1 when visiting AFC West foes, and is 6-2-1 when catching +9 or more points. Denver, which has failed to cover six of its last eight playoff games, comes in on win streaks of 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS against divisional opponents.
San Diego has stayed UNDER in seven of nine playoff games, but Denver has gone OVER in six of seven in the postseason and is 10-2-1 OVER at home.
New Orleans +8 at Seattle, 47.5
Seahawks are 5-2 SU and ATS vs Saints since 2000
UNDER is 7-1 past eight Saints games overall
OVER is 5-1 past six Seattle playoff games
Saints are 0-4 ATS past four games as underdog of 8 or more points since 2005
Saints just 5-10 ATS in playoffs since 1988
Seahawks have won five straight playoff home games SU
Indianapolis +7 at New England, 53
Colts are 4-1 ATS past five trips to New England
Patriots are just 2-6 ATS at home in playoffs since 2008
Patriots are 5-1 ATS when favored at home
Colts have played six straight OVERs on road vs AFC East teams
Patriots have played five straight OVERs at home vs AFC South teams
Patriots are 16-2 SU, 11-6-1 ATS vs AFC South since 2003
San Francisco -2 at Carolina, 43
49ers are 2-7 ATS at Carolina since 1995
Carolina is 15-3 ATS vs Niners since 1995
OVER is 12-3 past 15 meetings
49ers are 11-3-1 ATS past 15 road games
49ers are 9-1 SU and ATS past 10 games as road chalk
Panthers are 7-3 ATS lifetime in the playoffs
Panthers are 8-1-1 ATS past 10 home games
Panthers are 8-3 ATS past 11 games as underdogs
San Diego +9 at Denver, 54.5
Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS past eight visits to Denver
Chargers are 4-1 ATS past five playoff road games
Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS past nine games as underdog of ine or more points
OVER is 10-2-1 past 13 Denver home games
Broncos are 2-6 ATS past eight playoff games
OVER is 6-1 past seven Denver playoff games
UNDER is 7-2 past nine San Diego playoff games
Chargers are 6-1 ATS past seven on road vs divisional foes
Broncos are 14-2 SU, 11-5 ATS past 16 games vs divisional foes