NFL Divisional Round Betting Trends
Three of four road teams in the NFL Wild Card round won outright. The visitors were 2-1-1 ATS. This week oddsmakers aren't giving three of the visitors much of a chance.
Yet if recent history repeats itself, bettors won't concern themselves with divisional playoff point spreads and will simply bet OVER the total (since 11 of the past 12 games at this stage of the NFL playoffs have gone that way).
On Saturday, the Seahawks are laying -8 to the Saints and the Patriots are laying -7 to Indianapolis, with both lines courtesy of Bovada.
The Seahawks have won and covered five of seven against the Saints since 2000. New Orleans, meanwhile, is in on a 10-2-1 ATS playoff run since 1991. However, the Saints have failed to cover their last four when catching +8 or more points, since 2005.
The Colts have covered four of their last five trips to New England. And while the Patriots are mired in a 2-6 ATS home playoff slide since 2008, they're also in on winning runs of 5-1 ATS as a home favorite and 16-2 SU and 11-6-1 ATS when playing teams from the AFC South, since 2003. Indianapolis has played six straight OVERs at AFC East foes and the Patriots have gone OVER the last five times they hosted AFC South teams.
On Sunday, also at 5Dimes, the 49ers are laying -2 at Carolina, while Denver is -9.5 against the Chargers.
The 49ers arrive in Carolina on win streaks of 9-1 both SU and ATS when laying points on the road. Meanwhile, the Panthers are in on ATS win streaks of 15-3 versus the Niners since 1995, 7-3 lifetime in the postseason, 8-1-1 at home, and 8-3 as an underdog. These two have gone over 12 of the last 15 meetings.
San Diego is on a 6-1-1 ATS run in Denver, is 4-1 on the playoff road, is 6-1 when visiting AFC West foes, and is 6-2-1 when catching +9 or more points. Denver, which has failed to cover six of its last eight playoff games, comes in on win streaks of 14-2 SU and 11-5 ATS against divisional opponents.
San Diego has stayed UNDER in seven of nine playoff games, but Denver has gone OVER in six of seven in the postseason and is 10-2-1 OVER at home.
New Orleans +8 at Seattle, 47.5
Seahawks are 5-2 SU and ATS vs Saints since 2000
UNDER is 7-1 past eight Saints games overall
OVER is 5-1 past six Seattle playoff games
Saints are 0-4 ATS past four games as underdog of 8 or more points since 2005
Saints just 5-10 ATS in playoffs since 1988
Seahawks have won five straight playoff home games SU
Indianapolis +7 at New England, 53
Colts are 4-1 ATS past five trips to New England
Patriots are just 2-6 ATS at home in playoffs since 2008
Patriots are 5-1 ATS when favored at home
Colts have played six straight OVERs on road vs AFC East teams
Patriots have played five straight OVERs at home vs AFC South teams
Patriots are 16-2 SU, 11-6-1 ATS vs AFC South since 2003
San Francisco -2 at Carolina, 43
49ers are 2-7 ATS at Carolina since 1995
Carolina is 15-3 ATS vs Niners since 1995
OVER is 12-3 past 15 meetings
49ers are 11-3-1 ATS past 15 road games
49ers are 9-1 SU and ATS past 10 games as road chalk
Panthers are 7-3 ATS lifetime in the playoffs
Panthers are 8-1-1 ATS past 10 home games
Panthers are 8-3 ATS past 11 games as underdogs
San Diego +9 at Denver, 54.5
Chargers are 6-1-1 ATS past eight visits to Denver
Chargers are 4-1 ATS past five playoff road games
Chargers are 6-2-1 ATS past nine games as underdog of nine or more points
OVER is 10-2-1 past 13 Denver home games
Broncos are 2-6 ATS past eight playoff games
OVER is 6-1 past seven Denver playoff games
UNDER is 7-2 past nine San Diego playoff games
Chargers are 6-1 ATS past seven on road vs divisional foes
Broncos are 14-2 SU, 11-5 ATS past 16 games vs divisional foes