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Wimbledon Trophy is Now Federer’s to Lose

A destiny, if you believe in that kind of thing, is something you can’t control and for Roger Federer, it seemed like it was only a matter of time before he claimed that record-setting eighth victory at Wimbledon. He’s been the end-to-end favorite at the 2017 Championships and with obstacles evaporating for Rog at every turn, another win at Wimbledon is starting to feel like fate.

Opening the tournament as the +200 favorite, Federer has seen all of the other five men who came into Wimbledon with top-six odds drop out due to one reason or another and online shop Intertops now has the Swiss star pegged as the massive -303 favorite in their futures market.

Fed, still yet to lose a set at Wimbledon, will face Tomas Berdych in the competition’s semifinal, looking to improve his all-time record against the Czech vet to 19-6. The two haven’t met on grass since the 2010 edition of the tournament when Berdych knocked Federer out in the quarterfinals, ending Rog’s seven-year streak of making the finals at the All England Club.

In recent years, though, Rog has dominated Berdych and currently owns a seven-match win streak against him.

The other semifinal in the gentlemen’s draw features a matchup between American Sam Querrey and the Bosnian-born Marin Cilic. The latter of the two holds the honor of being the only man not named Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Andy Murray, Stan Wawrinka or Rafael Nadal to win a Grand Slam in the last seven years and he’s the second favorite behind Rog to win this one (+350).

His opponent will be making his first-ever appearance in the semifinal of a singles Grand Slam tournament and is probably in over his head despite his massive upset over Andy Murray in the last round.

Murray, the defending champ, was clearly not fit for play and he could have justifiably retired at any point during his quarterfinal match with Querrey.

All that said, everyone is really just along for the ride on Roger’s redemption run and there are very few scenarios where anyone but the 18-time Slam winner lifts the Wimbledon trophy this coming Sunday.

2017 Wimbledon Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of July 13 at Intertops

  • Roger Federer -303
  • Marin Cilic +350
  • Tomas Berdych +1200
  • Sam Querrey +2000

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If Rafael Nadal is the King of Clay, Roger Federer is the Class of Grass. The Swiss star is favored to win the Championships at Wimbledon for a record eighth time and after taking the clay-court season off to rest his 35-year-old body, Rog should have the energy to match his motivation.

Standing in Federer’s way are the usual names like Rafa and Novak Djokovic but a group of young up-and-comers could challenge the old guard for grass-court supremacy at the All England Club in the days to come.

Online shop Bovada opened Rog as the +200 favorite with the defending champion and No. 1-seeded Andy Murray trailing closely behind at +350. The Scot has had some injury troubles, however, and could be forced to retire early if the hip issue that’s been plaguing him persists.

If that were to happen, there would be little standing between Federer and an 11th appearance in the final match at Wimbledon as his half of the draw is not as heavily stacked with tour superstars.

That said, Nick Kyrgios (+1600), Alexander Zverev (+2000) and Dominic Thiem (+2500) could all be threats to Federer’s bid at a second Grand Slam title in as many tries this season. Kyrgios is great on grass, Zverev looks like the sport’s next bright star and Thiem was the best young player at Roland Garros.

Milos Raonic (+1400) and Stan Wawrinka (+2500) are some names to look at as well. Raonic made up one half of last year’s final, eventually losing to Murray, while a win at Wimbledon would complete the career Slam for Wawrinka.

Although he’s never had much success on grass, Stan the Man has been awesome this year and gives you some great value at 25/1.

2017 Wimbledon Men’s Futures Odds

Odds as of June 30 at Bovada

  • Roger Federer +200
  • Andy Murray +350
  • Rafael Nadal +400
  • Novak Djokovic +600
  • Milos Raonic +1400
  • Nick Kyrgios +1600
  • Marin Cilic +1600
  • Alexander Zverev +2000
  • Grigor Dimitrov +2500
  • Stan Wawrinka +2500
  • Dominic Thiem +2500
  • Juan Martin Del Potro +2800
  • Kei Nishikori +6600
  • Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +6600
  • Bernard Tomic +10000
  • Gilles Muller +10000
  • Jack Sock +10000
  • Lucas Pouille +10000
  • Tomas Berdych +10000
  • Feliciano Lopez +10000
  • John Isner +12500
  • Gael Monfils +12500
  • Mischa Zverev +15000
  • Steve Johnson +15000
  • Richard Gasquet +15000
  • Kevin Anderson +15000
  • Denis Shapovalov +20000
  • Fernando Verdasco +20000
  • Sam Querrey +20000
  • Gilles Simon +20000
  • Philipp Kohlschreiber +20000
  • Borna Coric +25000
  • Daniel Evans +25000
  • Donald Young +25000
  • Viktor Troicki +25000
  • Aleksandr Dolgopolov +30000
  • Andrey Kuznetsov +30000
  • David Ferrer +30000
  • Dustin Brown +30000
  • Fabio Fognini +30000
  • Pablo Cuevas +40000
  • Ernests Gulbis +50000
  • Benoit Paire +50000

Women's Draw is wide open

If you’re looking for star power on the women’s side of things, you’ve come to the wrong place. The field is wide open so if you know your stuff, there’s a good opportunity to make some money here.

Two Czech women, Petra Kvitova and Karolina Pliskova, lead the way in futures odds at +500 and +550 respectively but there’s plenty of other names to consider in a tournament that really looks like it could be a toss-up.

One of those names is Jelena Ostapenko at +1400. The 20-year-old Latvian pro is coming off a win at the French Open as an unseeded player and she’ll likely be a popular bet given her price.

Higher-end names like Angelique Kerber (+1400) and Simona Halep (+2000) are offering a ton of value but they’ll have to get their heads screwed on straight if they’re to challenge in the later stages of this tournament.

Someone to possibly avoid in your futures betting is Venus Williams. A car accident she was found at fault for earlier this month left a man dead so tennis may not be her No. 1 priority right now – justifiably so.

2017 Wimbledon Women’s Futures Odds

Odds as of June 30 at Bovada

  • Petra Kvitova +500
  • Karolina Pliskova +550
  • Garbine Muguruza +900
  • Johanna Konta +1200
  • Venus Williams +1200
  • Angelique Kerber +1400
  • Jelena Ostapenko +1400
  • Victoria Azarenka +1600
  • Coco Vandeweghe +1800
  • Madison Keys +2000
  • Simona Halep +2000
  • Elina Svitolina +2500
  • Kristina Mladenovic +2500
  • Ashleigh Barty +2500
  • Caroline Wozniacki +2800
  • Agnieszka Radwanska +3300
  • Sabine Lisicki +3300
  • Dominika Cibulkova +4000
  • Anett Kontaveit +4000
  • Julia Goerges +5000
  • Monica Puig +5000
  • Eugenie Bouchard +5000
  • Daria Kasatkina +5000
  • Timea Bacsinszky +5000
  • Lucie Safarova +5000
  • Anastasija Sevastova +6600
  • Donna Vekic +6600
  • Elena Vesnina +6600
  • Kristyna Pliskova +6600
  • Belinda Bencic +6600
  • Ana Konjuh +6600
  • Caroline Garcia +6600
  • Sloane Stephens +6600
  • Ekaterina Makarova +6600
  • Svetlana Kuznetsova +6600
  • Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova +6600
  • Barbora Strycova +8000
  • Kiki Bertens +8000
  • Catherine Cartan Bellis +10000
  • Daria Gavrilova +10000
  • Lauren Davis +10000
  • Yulia Putintseva +10000
  • Sam Stosur +10000
  • Alize Cornet +15000
  • Camila Giorgi +15000
  • Carina Witthoeft +15000
  • Lesia Tsurenko +15000
  • Misaki Doi +15000
  • Carla Suarez Navarro +15000
  • Heather Watson +15000
  • Sara Errani +20000
  • Jelena Jankovic +25000
  • Laura Robson +40000

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