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MLB Baseball - Money Lost

The worst pitcher to bet on in Major League Baseball this year might surprise you.

Because it might be a solid starter, who happens to have struggled with his form lately or has been the victim of poor run support.

Check out the Pitcher Money Lost charts here at OddsShark.com as part of your handicapping regime. The data factors in making the same $100 wager on the pitcher every time he starts, regardless of the odds. (more below)

Previous Seasons:
Pitcher Games Money Lost ERA
Jake Peavy | Log 21 -1195 4.71
Jeff Samardzija | Log 22 -962 2.92
Kevin Correia | Log 21 -695 5.06
Mike Bolsinger | Log 9 -686 5.50
Jhoulys Chacin | Log 11 -682 5.40
Drew Smyly | Log 18 -677 3.93
Brandon McCarthy | Log 22 -646 4.56
Eric Stults | Log 21 -628 5.22
Edwin Jackson | Log 22 -627 5.72
Nathan Eovaldi | Log 22 -590 4.50
Robbie Ross | Log 9 -574 5.61
David Phelps | Log 16 -571 4.06
Vidal Nuno | Log 18 -570 4.97
Michael Wacha | Log 15 -562 2.79
Ubaldo Jimenez | Log 18 -546 4.52
Alex Wood | Log 14 -528 3.30
Matt Cain | Log 15 -526 4.38
Trevor Cahill | Log 7 -523 5.59
Tony Cingrani | Log 11 -521 4.55
Scott Feldman | Log 19 -515 4.39
Yohan Flande | Log 5 -500 5.72
Stephen Strasburg | Log 23 -495 3.55
Tyler Matzek | Log 9 -472 4.39
Brandon Workman | Log 9 -457 4.08
Hector Santiago | Log 14 -454 3.86
Jake Odorizzi | Log 21 -450 3.80
Josh Tomlin | Log 14 -416 4.47
Joe Saunders | Log 8 -404 6.13
Tyler Lyons | Log 4 -400 5.79
Raphael Montero | Log 4 -400 5.40
Scott Baker | Log 4 -400 6.05
Nick Tepesch | Log 12 -394 4.84
Charlie Morton | Log 22 -388 3.54
Nick Martinez | Log 13 -364 5.08
Collin McHugh | Log 15 -360 3.45
Jose Quintana | Log 22 -360 3.15
Mike Leake | Log 22 -352 3.60
Dustin McGowan | Log 8 -347 4.07
Clay Buchholz | Log 17 -337 5.87
Homer Bailey | Log 21 -336 4.03
Daniel Straily | Log 7 -332 4.93
Hiroki Kuroda | Log 22 -320 3.98
Brandon Maurer | Log 7 -308 5.21
Taylor Jordan | Log 5 -306 5.61
Lucas Harrell | Log 3 -300 9.49
Christian Friedrich | Log 3 -300 9.45
Danny Duffy | Log 16 -298 2.42
Carlos Villanueva | Log 5 -293 5.49
Cliff Lee | Log 12 -280 3.78
Felix Doubront | Log 10 -276 6.07
Blake Treinen | Log 5 -272 2.29
Brandon Morrow | Log 6 -268 5.93
Cesar Ramos | Log 7 -255 4.00
Miles Mikolas | Log 5 -253 8.55
Franklin Morales | Log 15 -250 5.18
Mat Latos | Log 8 -248 3.31
Ian Kennedy | Log 22 -245 3.66
Paul Maholm | Log 8 -233 4.85
Zack Wheeler | Log 22 -232 3.45
Matt Harrison | Log 4 -229 4.15
Felipe Paulino | Log 4 -225 11.29
Josh Beckett | Log 19 -225 2.82
C.J. Wilson | Log 19 -219 4.33
Erasmo Ramirez | Log 12 -218 4.35
Wandy Rodriguez | Log 6 -208 6.75
Matt Garza | Log 22 -208 3.74
Tanner Scheppers | Log 4 -208 9.00
Chris Archer | Log 21 -207 3.37
Carlos Carrasco | Log 4 -203 3.60
Dallas Beeler | Log 2 -200 3.27
Matt Moore | Log 2 -200 2.70
Robbie Erlin | Log 8 -194 4.53
Jacob deGrom | Log 14 -180 2.79
Dan Haren | Log 21 -176 4.49
Anibal Sanchez | Log 19 -173 3.57
Brett Oberholtzer | Log 14 -171 4.30
Kyle Kendrick | Log 22 -170 4.91
Randy Wolf | Log 4 -168 5.26
Justin Verlander | Log 22 -166 4.79
Andrew Heaney | Log 4 -162 6.53
R.A. Dickey | Log 23 -160 3.91
Dillon Gee | Log 12 -159 3.77
Brad Hand | Log 8 -158 4.15
Rubby De La Rosa | Log 9 -155 3.64
Cole Hamels | Log 19 -153 2.55
Yordano Ventura | Log 19 -151 3.63
Brad Peacock | Log 15 -145 4.93
Robbie Ray | Log 3 -143 4.70
Ervin Santana | Log 20 -141 3.63
Danny Salazar | Log 10 -141 4.96
CC Sabathia | Log 8 -132 5.28
Tsuyoshi wada | Log 3 -131 3.38
Yovani Gallardo | Log 22 -127 3.38
Marco Gonzales | Log 3 -123 7.07
Samuel Deduno | Log 8 -123 4.32
Tim Stauffer | Log 3 -123 3.98
Mike Minor | Log 16 -121 5.23
Alex Cobb | Log 16 -120 3.54
Erik Bedard | Log 15 -112 4.88
Drew Pomeranz | Log 8 -111 2.91
Taijuan Walker | Log 3 -109 3.60
Zach McAllister | Log 13 -101 5.66
Jake Buchanan | Log 1 -100 5.57
Donn Roach | Log 1 -100 4.75
Pedro Hernandez | Log 1 -100 4.76
Tom Wilhelmsen | Log 1 -100 2.34
Drew Verhagen | Log 1 -100 5.40
Phil Irwin | Log 1 -100 6.75
Rudy Owens | Log 1 -100 7.94
Jason Lane | Log 1 -100 0.87
Zeke Spruill | Log 1 -100 4.82
Chris Capuano | Log 1 -100 4.30
Aaron Brooks | Log 1 -100 43.82
Josh Lindblom | Log 1 -100 3.85
Logan Darnell | Log 1 -100 7.88
Sean O'Sullivan | Log 1 -100 6.35
Charles Leesman | Log 1 -100 20.22
Blake Beaven | Log 1 -100 4.50
Stephen Fife | Log 1 -100 6.00
Eddie Butler | Log 1 -100 10.13
Billy Buckner | Log 1 -100 4.76
Jeff Francis | Log 1 -100 5.85
Kris Johnson | Log 3 -99 4.73
Jamie Garcia | Log 7 -98 4.12
Tyson Ross | Log 23 -94 2.60
Brett Anderson | Log 7 -90 3.12
AJ Burnett | Log 23 -79 4.15
Jordan Zimmermann | Log 21 -74 3.17
Shelby Miller | Log 21 -74 4.14
Odrisamer Despaigne | Log 7 -65 2.68
Brandon Cumpton | Log 10 -64 4.98
Anthony DeSclafani | Log 5 -57 7.40
Fausto Carmona | Log 19 -56 4.14
Yusmeiro Petit | Log 6 -51 4.00
Marcus Stroman | Log 11 -50 3.03
Christian Bergman | Log 3 -47 7.20
Jimmy Nelson | Log 4 -42 4.30
Michael Pineda | Log 4 -38 1.83
Tyler Chatwood | Log 4 -37 4.50
Ivan Nova | Log 4 -34 8.27
Zack Greinke | Log 22 -29 2.65
Trevor Bauer | Log 15 -24 4.25
Jair Jurrjens | Log 2 -22 10.60
Michael Pelfrey | Log 5 -18 7.99
Jordan Lyles | Log 12 -16 3.52
Andrew Cashner | Log 12 -16 2.36
Jonathan Pettibone | Log 2 -8 9.00

The Cy Young award candidate might be the one of the worst pitchers to bet on this season. How can that be?
 
If he is a solid pitcher (or on a popular team), he is probably favored every time he starts. When he wins, your profit on that victory is smaller than if you bet on an underdog team.

Meanwhile, every time he loses, your bankroll shrinks by the full $100 per game (in our example).

It can mean that the mediocre pitcher with the 7-11 record has been a better bet because he pays out a bigger profit on the games he wins (because he is an underdog).

Consider this Worst Pitchers to bet on list and also consider the Pitcher Run Support charts when looking for an edge this baseball season. Again, that Cy Young candidate might play on an offensively challenged team, meaning his run support per game may be very low. He will lose some 2-1 games and some 3-2 games when he should be winning. He will be facing the aces of the opposing team’s pitching staff each outing, making his job that much harder.

Here at Odds Shark, we break out the pitchers who have lost the most money for bettors from the winners in separate charts. If you don’t see your favorite pitchers on the Money Lost list, he’ll be on the Money Won list.

It’s true that starting pitchers are the biggest handicapping consideration for anyone looking to bet on baseball. You might also look at the umpire stats to see if the home plate umpire for tonight’s game seems to call more strikeouts or walks.

But knowing which pitchers are traditionally moneyline winners is more important than knowing which ones are game winners. See today’s baseball odds on the probable pitchers list here at Odds Shark.