2024 Home Run Leader Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | +380 |
| Matt Olson | +750 |
| Kyle Schwarber | +850 |
| Pete Alonso | +850 |
| Shohei Ohtani | +1000 |
| Yordan Alvarez | +1000 |
| Juan Soto | +1700 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. | +1900 |
When healthy, Aaron Judge is the most feared power hitter in baseball. A season after posting an AL-record 62 homers, the Bronx Bomber banged 37 dingers in 106 games in 2023. He finished well off MLB's lead in the statistic, but his 55-homer pace would've put him right up there with the leaders had he played 160 games. Now, Judge has Juan Soto protecting him in the Yankees lineup, too.
Best Value Pick: Pete Alonso, Mets
Pete Alonso has played four full seasons at the MLB level. He's posted no fewer than 37 HR in any of those campaigns, broken 40 three times, and averaged 46.5 during the stretch. He's led baseball in HR once already, and now the Polar Bear enters a contract year looking to secure the bag. I'm expecting plenty of power from Alonso.
Past MLB HR Leaders History
| Year | Player (HRs) |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Matt Olson (54) |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge (62) |
| 2021 | Vlad Guerrero Jr/Sal Perez (48) |
| 2020 | Luke Voit (22)* |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso (53) |
| 2018 | Khris Davis (48) |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton (59) |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo (47) |
| 2015 | Chris Davis (47 |
| 2014 | Nelson Cruz (40) |
*Shortened Season
How To Bet Regular Season Stat Leader Odds
When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll find odds for MLB futures like World Series odds and division pennants. But, in the offseason you'll also find MLB regular season stat leader odds for all the major counting categories — hits, RBI, homers, and more. Betting on which player will lead these categories is just like any other futures wager, which means you’re betting on markets that will finalize in time.
You would see odds listed like this, for home run leader as an example:
- Aaron Judge +375
- Shohei Ohtani +450
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +1200
- Matt Olson +1200
- Giancarlo Stanton +1500
Unlike a moneyline bet, where there would be a clear favorite and underdog, the player with the lowest odds to lead in homers is the closest thing to a fave. In this case, it’s Aaron Judge at +350. The team with the highest odds would be the closest thing to a underdog. Here, it’s Giancarlo Stanton at +1500.
If you were to bet $100 on Stanton at the beginning of the season and he led baseball in homers, you’d get a payout of $1,600 – your original $100 is returned, along with your winnings of $1,500. On the other hand, the same bet amount on Judge would give you a payout of $475 – you get your $100 back, plus your loot of $375. The longer the odds, the better the payout.
