Odds to win the Coke Zero Sugar 400

Following a high-speed, rain-delayed race at Chicagoland Speedway, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series continues its pedal to the metal approach at Daytona International Speedway this Saturday night in the Coke Zero Sugar 400. Alex Bowman earned his first Cup series victory last week and he has +1800 odds to repeat, however, it is Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski with odds of +700 who top the oddsboard.

Sportsbook has Logano and Keselowski as the favorites at +700 followed by Denny Hamlin at +1000, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick at +1100 and Kurt Busch, Ryan Blaney and Clint Bowyer at +1400 to round out the top drivers on the oddsboard.

Standout Stats

Ford has won five of the last 10 races at Daytona and Toyota has won three runnings over that span, including the last two in a row, while Chevrolet has just two victories.
There hasn’t been a repeat Sportsbook at this track since Jimmie Johnson did so in the two races in 2013. Denny Hamlin looks to become the latest driver to do it as he won the Daytona 500 in February.
Only once over the last 17 races at Daytona has the Sportsbook started on the pole and that was Dale Earnhardt Jr. in 2015. The average starting position for the driver who carried the checkered flag over that span was 12.53.
Alex Bowman (+1800) picked up the first checkered flag of his Cup series career last week at Chicagoland and has had good qualifying speed at Daytona recently. He has started first or second in each of the last three runnings at this track, but has finished 10th or worse, so until he can find the same speed in the race, I will stay away.
Logano (+700) has had better success during the Daytona 500 than he has in the midseason race at this track. In the 500, he has an average finish position of 13.28, including winning in 2015, but he has an average finish position of 21.2 in the July race and has crashed in each of the last two runnings.
Keselowski (+700) has had a string of bad luck at Daytona recently, having crashed in four of the last five races there, but six races ago at this track, he drove to victory lane. He has five wins at Talladega, another restrictor-plate track, so he knows how to compete in these races. Look for him to be in the hunt Saturday night.
Kyle Busch (+1100) not as a favorite seems like an automatic bet, but Daytona has gotten the better of him for most of his career. Busch won the July race in 2008, marking the only time he has driven to victory lane at Daytona, and he has just three top-five finishes there over the last 14 races, but he was the runner-up in this year’s Daytona 500.
I have been fading Kevin Harvick (+1100) all season long as he hadn’t shown signs of his former dominant self until last week. He looked strong at Chicagoland, leading 132 of the 267 laps, but ultimately finished 14th. Harvick has crashed in four of the five races at Daytona since switching to Ford in 2017 but he led multiple laps in three of those runnings. Assuming he keeps his nose clean, this could be a good spot for Harvick.

My Best Bet for the Coke Zero Sugar 400

Kevin Harvick +1100

As I mentioned above, last week it appeared Kevin Harvick woke up and perhaps this is a good time to jump on him at 11/1. He has had his difficulties staying on the track at Daytona so it’s a little hard to cap, but he has qualified sixth or better in all five of his starts in a Ford and led multiple laps in three of those. Basically, it’s a question of whether he can stay clean for the race.

Brad Keselowski +700

Similarly to Harvick, Keselowski has had some tough luck at the superspeedway, but he certainly knows how to maneuver his way to the front of the pack in these restrictor-plate races. He has five wins at Talladega and one at Daytona so if trouble avoids him, he has a serious chance of driving to victory lane on Saturday night.

Here’s a look at the full list of odds for the Coke Zero Sugar 400:

Odds to Win the Coke Zero Sugar 400