Devin Booker and Luka Doncic

NBA Expert Picks For Feb. 22: Suns Underdogs On Road Against Mavericks

Following a week off from games due to All-Star Weekend, here are three spread, moneyline, and OVER/UNDER bets to check out for the slate of NBA games taking place on Thursday, February 22, 2024:

Jump To Picks:

Recent Picks: February 14, 2024 (0-3)

GameBetResultW or LUnits
Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto RaptorsPacers ATS -4127-125 PacersL-1
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State WarriorsWarriors ML130-125 ClippersL-1
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte HornetsOVER 238 Total Points220 Total PointsL-1
Overall0-3  -3

Season Picks: Since January 8, 2024

MarketRecordUnits
Moneyline6-10-4.4
Spread8-10-2.44
OVER/UNDER10-72.01
Overall24-27-4.83

Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks

The Game: Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks, 7:30 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Phoenix Suns+1.5 (-108)+110O 245 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks-1.5 (-112)-130U 245 (-110)

Pick: Phoenix Suns ML

Even with Bradley Beal's status in limbo due to a tender hamstring, there's enough reason here to think the Phoenix Suns can take this game at the American Airlines Center.

The Suns blew out Dallas 132-109 on the road back on Jan. 24 thanks in large part to Devin Booker's 46-point outburst, although Kyrie Irving didn't suit up for the Dallas Mavericks. The road team has actually taken both meetings this season by double-digit margins.

The Mavericks are in the midst of a season-best six-game winning streak, but the Suns are no slouches themselves having won seven of their last nine. The spread being 1.5 points goes to show how close oddsmakers anticipate this game being. Phoenix has more value as the underdog, and we'll need to see if the break hindered Dallas' momentum at all. 

Los Angeles Clippers Vs. Oklahoma City Thunder

The Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, 8 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Los Angeles Clippers+1.5 (-114)+100O 235.5 (-112)
Oklahoma City Thunder-1.5 (-106)-118U 235.5 (-108)

Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -1.5

Only half a game separates the Los Angeles Clippers and Oklahoma City Thunder in the race for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, making this game all the more important for both sides to create breathing room with the season series locked at one apiece. 

Unlike the Suns and Mavericks, the home team has held firm in their backyard for both matchups between Los Angeles and Oklahoma City, with the one similarity being both games were decided by 10 or more points.

The Thunder are tied for the most home victories in the West with 21 and have fallen only once at the Paycom Center in 2024, and that was to the lone team ahead of them in the standings (Minnesota Timberwolves). 

San Antonio Spurs Vs. Sacramento Kings

The Game: San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings, 10 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
San Antonio Spurs+9 (-110)+320O 241 (-108)
Sacramento Kings-9 (-110)-405U 241 (-112)

Pick: UNDER 241 Total Points

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging the fourth-fewest points across the Association in 11 games since Jan. 26 (107.9), which equates to the second-worst offense at 107.2 points per 100 possessions. As a result, the Spurs have gone UNDER in 10 of those games. 

Thursday's total of 241 points was toppled the last time San Antonio took on the Sacramento Kings on Nov. 17 at 249 points. Sacramento has also hit the OVER in six of its last eight games, as well. 

Even so, the Spurs are in clearly some sort of a drought offensively, and even against a generous Kings defense (18th in NBA), taking the UNDER feels right until San Antonio starts putting up numbers again. 

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