The NBA Finals tip-off tonght with Game 1 between the Dallas Mavericks and the Miami Heat in Miami.
The Mavericks have won 10 straight versus the Heat inluding going 2-0 SU and ATS versus Miami this season. They last met up on December 20 when Dallas picked up a 98-96 win as a 6.5-point road underdog. Dirk Nowitzki led Dallas with 26 points, while Dwyane Wade had 22 points for the Heat.
View Dallas vs Miami Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The Mavericks are listed as 5-point underdogs at many online sportsbooks, with the total listed at 188.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 3 (Heat) and the No. 6 (Mavericks) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 106-102 result in favor of the Heat is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Miami's No. 9-rated squad against Dallas's No. 14-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Miami rates No. 11 in the league with 6.7 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 8 with 7.9 per outing.
Defensively, the Mavericks feature the league's No. 9-rated defense on the road, allowing 96.8 points per game. Miami, meanwhile, comes in at No. 10 in the league in scoring at home.
The Mavericks were a 100-96 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against the Thunder. They failed to cover the 6.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (196) made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors.
Miami won its last outing, an 83-80 result against the Bulls on May 26. The Heat covered in that game as a 3-point underdog, while the 163 combined points took the game UNDER the total. LeBron James scored 28 points and chipped in with 11 rebounds for Miami on Thursday, leading the Heat to an 83-80 victory over Chicago at United Center.
Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Miami are 10-0
After playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After a win are 8-2
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Dallas are 4-6
After playing Chicago are 8-2
After a win are 7-3
A few Mavericks at Heat trends to consider:
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Dallas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Next up:
Dallas at Miami, Thursday, June 2
Miami home to Dallas, Thursday, June 2
