NBA Game Preview - Celtics underdogs vs Warriors at Golden State

Boston CelticsGolden State Warriors
Dec 29, 10:30 PM | Oracle Arena

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Odds

14-14TEAM RECORD20-10



Boston travels to Golden State on Saturday, hoping to boost its 14-14 mark with a victory over the Warriors.

The Celtics will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 10-15-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Warriors are 18-10-2 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). Boston is 15-12-1 on the totals; Golden State is 18-12.



View Boston vs Golden State Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as Sportsbook had the Warriors installed as 2.5-point favorites in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks, including Sportsbook, at 197.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Warriors - Celtics odds would favor the Warriors if the lines were set according to power ranks. Golden State is rated No. 10 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Celtics sit at No. 20. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 101-98 win for the Warriors.



How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Golden State's No. 9-ranked offense (101.3 PPG) against a Celtics defense that ranks No. 15 at 97.3 PPG. The Warriors have averaged 45.3% from the field per game, less than the Celtics have managed so far this season (46.6% on average).

Defensively, the Celtics feature the league's No. 14-rated defense on the road, giving up 98.6 points per game. Golden State, meanwhile, comes in at No. 9 in the league in scoring at home.

Boston lost its last outing, a 106-77 result against the Clippers on December 27. The Celtics failed to cover in that game as a 9-point underdog, while the 183 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Boston was crushed on Thursday, getting run out of the gym by Los Angeles and falling 106-77 at STAPLES Center.

The Warriors were a 96-89 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against the 76ers. They covered the 6-point spread as favorites, while the total score (185) made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors. David Lee scored 25 points and added 12 rebounds for a double-double, leading Golden State over Philadelphia, 96-89, on Friday at Oracle Arena.


Boston Celtics Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Sacramento are 7-3
After playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing LA Clippers are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After a win are 6-4


A few Celtics at Warriors trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
Golden State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Golden State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games


Next up:
Boston at Sacramento, Sunday, December 30
Golden State home to LA Clippers, Wednesday, January 2

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