Thunder on verge of a Houston sweep
The Oklahoma City Thunder don't have Russell Westbrook in their lineup, but they can still pull off a first-round sweep of the Houston Rockets as those teams meet in Game 4 on Monday night.
Oklahoma City extended their series lead to 3-0 on Saturday with a 104-101 road win in Houston as a 1-point underdog on the NBA betting lines at the sportsbooks. Kevin Durant poured in a game-high 41 points for the Thunder in that Game 3 victory.
The Thunder will try to spoil to the party on Monday; they are 48-31-3 ATS against the number this season, while the Rockets are 41-40-1 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). Oklahoma City is 36-43-3 on the totals; Houston is 41-41.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Rockets - Thunder odds would favor the Thunder if the lines were set according to power ranks. Houston is rated No. 11 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Thunder sit at No. 1. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 112-106 win for the Thunder.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Houston's No. 2-ranked offense, averaging 106 PPG, against a Thunder defense that ranks No. 9 at 96.5 PPG. The Rockets field goal percentage has averaged 46.1% so far, less than the Thunder shooters have achieved on the year, 48.1% per game.
In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Thunder own the league's No. 11-rated mark, allowing 97.5 points per game when playing on the road. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 3 in scoring on their home court.
Oklahoma City won its last outing, a 104-101 result against the Rockets on April 27. The Thunder covered in that game as a 1-point underdog, while the 205 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Houston was victimized by Kevin Durant for 41 points as the Thunder defeated the Rockets 104-101 in NBA action on Saturday.
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Monday are 8-2
Before playing Houston are 7-3
After playing Houston are 10-0
After a win are 7-3
Houston Rockets Trends:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Oklahoma City are 1-9
After playing Oklahoma City are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5
A few Thunder at Rockets trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Houston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
Oklahoma City home to Houston, Wednesday, May 1
Houston at Oklahoma City, Wednesday, May 1