Warriors look to close out Nuggets
The Golden State Warriors hold a 3-2 advantage in their best-of-seven first-round playoff series against the Denver Nuggets with those teams meeting in Game 6 on Thursday night.
Denver came up with a big 107-100 victory as a 7.5-point home favorite on the NBA odds at the sportsbooks in Game 5 on Tuesday, with Andre Iguodala pouring in 25 points in that contest for the Nuggets. Golden State is 5-0 ATS in the playoffs.
The Warriors bring a 47-35 record (42-38-2 ATS) to the battle against the 57-25 Nuggets, who are 49-33 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Golden State go 46-35-1 so far and the Nuggets go 46-36. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news).
Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Warriors installed as 1.5-point underdogs in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks, including , at 211.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Power Rankings at Odds Shark have the No. 4-rated Nuggets taking on the No. 7-rated Warriors in this contest. Computer models indicate a possible 107-103 win for the Nuggets on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Golden State's No. 7-ranked offense (101.2 PPG) against a Nuggets defense that ranks No. 23 at 101.1 PPG. The Warriors have averaged 45.8% from the field per game, less than the Nuggets have managed so far this season (47.8% on average).
In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Nuggets own the league's No. 26-rated mark, allowing 104.4 points per game when playing on the road. Golden State, on the other hand, rates No. 11 in scoring on their home court.
Last time out for Golden State, they were a 107-100 loser as they battled the Nuggets on the road. The Warriors covered in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 207 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Golden State suffered a 107-100 loss against Denver on Tuesday, getting 23 points from Harrison Barnes in a losing effort at Pepsi Center.
Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
Before playing Golden State are 5-5
After playing Golden State are 5-5
After a win are 7-3
Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Denver are 8-2
After playing Denver are 6-4
After a loss are 8-2
A few Nuggets at Warriors trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games
Denver is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games at home
Denver home to Golden State, Saturday, May 4
Golden State at Denver, Saturday, May 4