Spurs host Heat: NBA Odds Preview
The San Antonio Spurs will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak against LeBron James and the Miami Heat on Sunday night as those two contenders hit the hardwood in NBA betting action.
San Antonio is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS over its last three games against Miami, falling 105-100 as a 13-point road underdog when the teams last met on November 29. The OVER had paid out for totals bettors in three of the last four Spurs vs. Heat contests.
The Heat will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 38-34 ATS against the number this season, while the Spurs are 37-33-2 ATS. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). Miami is 37-35 on the totals; San Antonio is 32-39-1.
Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Spurs installed as 1.5-point favorites in this particular matchup. The over-under number was listed by most sportsbooks, including , at 198.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 3 (Spurs) and the No. 6 (Heat) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 110-108 result in favor of the Spurs is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up San Antonio's No. 4-ranked offense (104.2 PPG) against a Heat defense that ranks No. 7 at 95.5 PPG. The Spurs have averaged 48.7% from the field per game, less than the Heat have managed so far this season (49.7% on average).
Defensively, the Heat feature the league's No. 3-rated defense on the road, giving up 94.9 points per game. San Antonio, meanwhile, comes in at No. 5 in the league in scoring at home.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 108-89 winner as they battled the Hornets on the road. The Heat covered in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 197 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Heat got a 36-point performance from LeBron James as Miami handed New Orleans a 108-89 defeat on Friday at New Orleans Arena.
San Antonio won its last outing, a 104-102 result against the Clippers on March 29. The Spurs failed to cover in that game as a 4-point favorite, while the 206 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Spurs got a 34-point performance from Tim Duncan as San Antonio handed Los Angeles a 104-102 defeat on Friday at AT&T Center.
Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing New York are 7-3
After playing New Orleans are 5-5
After a win are 9-1
San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Memphis are 5-5
After playing LA Clippers are 8-2
After a win are 6-4
A few Heat at Spurs trends to consider:
Miami is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Miami is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 11 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami home to New York, Tuesday, April 2
San Antonio at Memphis, Monday, April 1