The San Antonio Spurs will try to pick up an ATS win over the Oklahoma City Thunder for the first time in six tries on Monday night as those two teams take the floor in a marquee Western Conference matchup.
The Spurs last covered a posted spread against the Thunder back in May, going 0-4-1 ATS in the last five matchups between the two teams. San Antonio pushed a 2-point spread on the NBA betting lines in an 86-84 win over Oklahoma City in a November 1 meeting.
Oklahoma City will face the 19-6 Spurs, who own a 16-8-1 ATS mark on the season. (Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). In totals betting, the Thunder are 12-10-1 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Spurs are 14-11 favoring the OVER.
Sportsbooks such as 5Dimes had set the Thunder as 5.5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed earler at 204.5, but may be on the move at and other top sites.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Thunder - Spurs odds would favor the Spurs if the lines were set according to power ranks. Oklahoma City is rated No. 4 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Spurs sit at No. 1. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 110-109 win for the Thunder.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Oklahoma City's No. 1-ranked offense, averaging 105.7 PPG, against a Spurs defense that ranks No. 12 at 97 PPG. The Thunder field goal percentage has averaged 48.9% so far, more than the Spurs shooters have achieved on the year, 48.1% per game.
In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Spurs own the league's No. 16-rated mark, allowing 99.5 points per game when playing on the road. Oklahoma City, on the other hand, rates No. 1 in scoring on their home court.
In their last action, San Antonio was a 103-88 winner at home against the Celtics. They covered the 9-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (191) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. San Antonio got 22 points from Tony Parker en route to a 103-88 victory over Boston on Saturday at AT&T Center.
Oklahoma City won its last outing, a 113-103 result against the Kings on December 14. The Thunder failed to cover in that game as a 13-point favorite, while the 216 combined points took the game OVER the total. Kevin Durant poured in 31 points for Oklahoma City on Friday, as they defeated Sacramento 113-103 at Chesapeake Energy Arena.
San Antonio Spurs Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Denver are 6-4
After playing Boston are 6-4
After a win are 8-2
Oklahoma City Thunder Trends:
When playing on Monday are 5-5
Before playing Atlanta are 7-3
After playing Sacramento are 4-6
After a win are 9-1
A few Spurs at Thunder trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
San Antonio is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
San Antonio is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio at Denver, Tuesday, December 18
Oklahoma City at Atlanta, Wednesday, December 19